Ponferradina vs Barakaldo• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#90.8:0.816:4524/10 · Ponferrada1.2:1.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.911XBX3.12MAR24.20B365Margin at best8.2%Books3Markets47Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.91	3.12	3.82	10.6%
Bet365	1.80	3.10	4.20	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.12	3.72	11.8%
Best of all books	1.91	3.12	4.20	8.2%
Average	1.87	3.11	3.91	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PonferradinaBarakaldo

Last 10#9Table position#151.50Points per game1.138Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.240Attack rating6060Defence rating4062Form rating3864H2H rating3682Goals model1863Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Ponferradina

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:8 · per match 1.1 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	Zamora	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Real Avilés	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Mirandes	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Pontevedra	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Mérida AD	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Deportivo La Coruña II	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Lugo	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	UD Ourense	1-0	W
19 Aug	H	Real Madrid II	2-2	D
8 Aug	A	Marino de Luanco	3-0	W

Barakaldo

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	H	Mirandes	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	UD Ourense	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Arenas Getxo	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Real Avilés	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	Racing Ferrol	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	Extremadura 1924	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	CD Coria	1-4	L
30 Aug	H	Cultural Leonesa	0-0	D
14 Aug	A	Portugalete	0-2	L
23 May	H	Celta de Vigo II	1-1	D

Head to head

2Ponferradina wins

1draws

1Barakaldo wins

4 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Ponferradina

19 Apr 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Ponferradina1-0Barakaldo
9 Nov 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Barakaldo0-0Ponferradina
7 Feb 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Ponferradina0-1Barakaldo
17 Nov 2024Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Barakaldo0-1Ponferradina

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 22 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Ponferradina sit 9th with 12 points from 8 games, while Barakaldo are 15th with 9 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	8	7	1	0	15:4	+11	22
2	UD Logroñés	8	5	2	1	17:11	+6	17
3	Racing Ferrol	8	5	1	2	9:5	+4	16
4	Mérida AD	8	4	0	4	15:12	+3	12
5	Athletic Club II	8	3	3	2	13:10	+3	12
6	Zamora	8	3	3	2	10:8	+2	12
7	Cultural Leonesa	8	3	3	2	9:7	+2	12
8	Cacereño	8	3	3	2	7:5	+2	12
9	Ponferradina	8	3	3	2	6:6	0	12
10	Real Avilés	8	3	2	3	14:10	+4	11
11	Pontevedra	8	3	2	3	10:10	0	11
12	Mirandes	8	3	2	3	10:10	0	11
13	Real Unión	8	2	4	2	15:13	+2	10
14	Extremadura 1924	8	3	1	4	11:10	+1	10
15	Barakaldo	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
16	Deportivo La Coruña II	8	2	2	4	8:11	-3	8
17	CD Coria	8	2	2	4	12:16	-4	8
18	Unionistas de Salamanca	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
19	UD Ourense	8	1	2	5	3:13	-10	5
20	Arenas Getxo	8	0	2	6	5:22	-17	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.87X29%3.11223%3.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Best of all books	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Average	2.32	1.53	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.02	1.69	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.67	9.4%
Best of all books	2.25	1.69	3.6%
Average	2.10	1.64	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ponferradina 45%Draw 45%Barakaldo 10%

The statistical model rates Ponferradina at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Barakaldo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.11 | 3.91, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Ponferradina win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Ponferradina are 9th (12 pts, 6-6 goals), Barakaldo 15th (9 pts, 8-10).

Over their last five matches, Ponferradina averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Barakaldo averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ponferradina or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.11	3.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.74	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.10	1.64

1st half

1	X	2
2.57	1.94	4.80

2nd half

1	X	2
2.41	2.23	4.05

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.94	16.1	42.3
HT X	4.57	4.40	8.30
HT 2	29.7	16.3	6.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	6.85	2.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.97
1.5	1.41	2.60
2.5	2.32	1.53
3.5	4.37	1.16
4.5	8.63	1.02
5.5	13.0	1.01
6.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.50
1	1.07	5.80
1.25	1.24	3.34
1.75	1.51	2.26
2	1.69	1.95
2.25	1.99	1.68
2.75	2.66	1.37
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.92	1.18
3.75	5.50	1.08
4	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.22	1.28
-1	2.81	1.36
-0.75	2.16	1.59
-0.5	1.85	1.95
-0.25	1.63	2.13
0	1.37	2.83

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.40	1.01
-2.25	7.90	1.02
-2	7.20	1.05
-1.75	4.73	1.14
-1.5	3.65	1.23
+0.25	1.27	3.33
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.12	5.20
+1	1.05	7.67
+1.25	1.01	8.57

Next Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches

23 Oct	Real Unión – Lugo
24 Oct	Deportivo La Coruña II – Extremadura 1924
24 Oct	Arenas Getxo – UD Ourense
24 Oct	Mirandes – Racing Ferrol
24 Oct	Cacereño – Zamora
24 Oct	Real Avilés – UD Logroñés

All Primera División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División RFEF - Group 1 results

18 Oct	UD Logroñés 1-1 Cultural Leonesa
18 Oct	Real Avilés 3-0 UD Ourense
18 Oct	Pontevedra 1-0 Cacereño
18 Oct	Arenas Getxo 0-4 Mérida AD
18 Oct	CD Coria 2-1 Athletic Club II
17 Oct	Zamora 1-1 Ponferradina