Real Unión vs Lugo• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#131.0:1.417:00Today · Stadium Gal, Irun2.2:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60BFRX3.40BFR22.67PINMargin at best5.3%Books10Markets61Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.55	3.30	2.65	7.3%
BetVictor	2.50	3.30	2.70	7.3%
Betfair	2.45	3.40	2.63	8.3%
Betano	2.55	3.20	2.60	8.9%
Pinnacle	2.54	3.14	2.64	9.1%
Bet365	2.45	3.20	2.55	11.3%
1xBet	2.44	3.12	2.57	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.44	3.12	2.57	11.9%
William Hill	2.50	2.90	2.60	12.9%
SBO	2.29	2.96	2.53	17.0%
Best of all books	2.55	3.40	2.70	5.7%
Average	2.47	3.16	2.60	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real UniónLugo

Last 10#13Table position#11.25Points per game2.754Form pts · last 5151.0Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 50.631Attack rating6930Defence rating7021Form rating7936H2H rating6437Goals model6333Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC

Real Unión

3W 5D 2L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	A	Extremadura 1924	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Athletic Club II	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	UD Ourense	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Deportivo La Coruña II	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Mirandes	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Racing Ferrol	2-3	L
5 Sep	A	Unionistas de Salamanca	4-2	W
30 Aug	H	CD Coria	4-1	W
8 Aug	H	Eibar	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	PAU	2-1	W

Lugo

9W 1D 0L · goals 18:5 · per match 1.8 for, 0.5 against

17 Oct	H	Deportivo La Coruña II	3-0	W
12 Oct	H	UD Logroñés	3-1	W
2 Oct	A	Real Avilés	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Racing Ferrol	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Zamora	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	CD Coria	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Ponferradina	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Unionistas de Salamanca	3-1	W
21 Aug	H	Ourense CF	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Coruxo	2-1	W

Head to head

1Real Unión wins

1draws

2Lugo wins

4 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Real Unión

13 Apr 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Real Unión3-0Lugo
1 Dec 2024Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Lugo3-1Real Unión
3 Feb 2024Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Real Unión0-0Lugo
29 Oct 2023Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Lugo2-0Real Unión

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Real Unión sit 13th with 10 points from 8 games, while Lugo are 1st with 22 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	8	7	1	0	15:4	+11	22
2	UD Logroñés	8	5	2	1	17:11	+6	17
3	Racing Ferrol	8	5	1	2	9:5	+4	16
4	Mérida AD	8	4	0	4	15:12	+3	12
5	Athletic Club II	8	3	3	2	13:10	+3	12
6	Zamora	8	3	3	2	10:8	+2	12
7	Cultural Leonesa	8	3	3	2	9:7	+2	12
8	Cacereño	8	3	3	2	7:5	+2	12
9	Ponferradina	8	3	3	2	6:6	0	12
10	Real Avilés	8	3	2	3	14:10	+4	11
11	Pontevedra	8	3	2	3	10:10	0	11
12	Mirandes	8	3	2	3	10:10	0	11
13	Real Unión	8	2	4	2	15:13	+2	10
14	Extremadura 1924	8	3	1	4	11:10	+1	10
15	Barakaldo	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
16	Deportivo La Coruña II	8	2	2	4	8:11	-3	8
17	CD Coria	8	2	2	4	12:16	-4	8
18	Unionistas de Salamanca	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
19	UD Ourense	8	1	2	5	3:13	-10	5
20	Arenas Getxo	8	0	2	6	5:22	-17	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.50X28%3.19235%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.31 → 2.50 +8.2%X3.29 → 3.19 -3.0%22.79 → 2.58 -7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.98	1.81	5.8%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
SBO	1.93	1.83	6.5%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
BetVictor	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.87	3.5%
Average	1.93	1.80	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
Betano	1.72	1.98	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.98	9.3%
Best of all books	1.80	2.10	3.2%
Average	1.72	2.00	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Unión 10%Draw 45%Lugo 45%

The statistical model rates Real Unión at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lugo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.50 | 3.19 | 2.58, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Real Unión are 13th (10 pts, 15-13 goals), Lugo 1st (22 pts, 15-4).

Over their last five matches, Real Unión averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lugo averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lugo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.47	3.16	2.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.45	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.79	1.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
3.07	2.07	3.22

2nd half

1	X	2
2.80	2.38	2.90

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.01	13.6	29.1
HT X	5.85	4.89	6.15
HT 2	27.9	13.8	4.26

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	10.1	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.16
1.5	1.28	3.32
2.5	1.93	1.80
3.5	3.32	1.28
4.5	6.40	1.08
5.5	12.0	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.78
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.13	4.50
1.75	1.33	2.95
2	1.44	2.51
2.25	1.68	2.03
2.75	2.17	1.60
3	2.62	1.41
3.25	2.99	1.32
3.75	4.11	1.16
4	5.70	1.08
4.25	6.10	1.06
4.75	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.02	1.33
-0.5	2.48	1.48
-0.25	2.14	1.63
0	1.81	1.91
+0.25	1.57	2.23
+0.5	1.45	2.59

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.70	1.01
-2	8.70	1.02
-1.75	6.87	1.06
-1.5	5.22	1.12
-1.25	4.68	1.14
-1	4.18	1.17
+0.75	1.30	3.14
+1	1.16	4.45
+1.25	1.13	4.97
+1.5	1.10	5.53
+1.75	1.05	7.33
+2	1.02	8.90
+2.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.69
7.5	1.29	3.04
8.5	1.58	2.21
9.5	1.99	1.76
10.5	2.53	1.43
11.5	3.48	1.22
12.5	5.13	1.08

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.14	4.23
8	1.38	2.70
9	1.74	1.97
10	2.27	1.55
11	3.16	1.27
12	4.74	1.10

Next Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches

24 Oct	Deportivo La Coruña II – Extremadura 1924
24 Oct	Arenas Getxo – UD Ourense
24 Oct	Mirandes – Racing Ferrol
24 Oct	Cacereño – Zamora
24 Oct	Real Avilés – UD Logroñés
24 Oct	Unionistas de Salamanca – Athletic Club II

All Primera División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División RFEF - Group 1 results

18 Oct	UD Logroñés 1-1 Cultural Leonesa
18 Oct	Real Avilés 3-0 UD Ourense
18 Oct	Pontevedra 1-0 Cacereño
18 Oct	Arenas Getxo 0-4 Mérida AD
18 Oct	CD Coria 2-1 Athletic Club II
17 Oct	Zamora 1-1 Ponferradina