Real Avilés vs UD Ourense• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#142.0:1.416:15Tomorrow · Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta0.6:1.4#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88PINX3.50BVC23.90BVCMargin at best7.4%Books6Markets57Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.87	3.50	3.90	7.7%
Pinnacle	1.88	3.42	3.72	9.3%
1xBet	1.84	3.28	3.88	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.82	3.28	3.78	11.9%
Bet365	1.80	3.30	3.75	12.5%
William Hill	1.85	3.00	3.75	14.1%
Best of all books	1.88	3.50	3.90	7.4%
Average	1.84	3.30	3.80	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real AvilésUD Ourense

Last 10#14Table position#191.14Points per game0.718Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 51.477Attack rating2350Defence rating5062Form rating380H2H rating071Goals model2965Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

Real Avilés

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	Ponferradina	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	Lugo	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Barakaldo	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	CD Coria	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Unionistas de Salamanca	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Athletic Club II	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Pontevedra	0-1	L
21 Aug	H	Sporting Gijón II	4-2	W
15 Aug	A	Mosconia	2-0	W
13 Aug	A	Racing Ferrol	1-1	D

UD Ourense

4W 2D 4L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Barakaldo	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Real Unión	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Cacereño	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Unionistas de Salamanca	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	UD Logroñés	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Mirandes	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Ponferradina	0-1	L
31 May	A	Conquense	2-0	W
24 May	H	Conquense	1-0	W
16 May	H	Reddis	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Real Avilés and UD Ourense on record.

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Real Avilés sit 14th with 8 points from 7 games, while UD Ourense are 19th with 5 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	8	7	1	0	15:4	+11	22
2	UD Logroñés	7	5	1	1	16:10	+6	16
3	Racing Ferrol	8	5	1	2	9:5	+4	16
4	Athletic Club II	7	3	3	1	12:8	+4	12
5	Cacereño	7	3	3	1	7:4	+3	12
6	Zamora	8	3	3	2	10:8	+2	12
7	Ponferradina	8	3	3	2	6:6	0	12
8	Cultural Leonesa	7	3	2	2	8:6	+2	11
9	Mirandes	8	3	2	3	10:10	0	11
10	Real Unión	8	2	4	2	15:13	+2	10
11	Extremadura 1924	8	3	1	4	11:10	+1	10
12	Mérida AD	7	3	0	4	11:12	-1	9
13	Barakaldo	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
14	Real Avilés	7	2	2	3	11:10	+1	8
15	Pontevedra	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
16	Deportivo La Coruña II	8	2	2	4	8:11	-3	8
17	Unionistas de Salamanca	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
18	CD Coria	7	1	2	4	10:15	-5	5
19	UD Ourense	7	1	2	4	3:10	-7	5
20	Arenas Getxo	7	0	2	5	5:18	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.85X27%3.29224%3.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.65 → 1.85 +12.1%X3.62 → 3.29 -9.1%24.56 → 3.79 -16.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.83	5.9%
BetVictor	1.90	1.78	8.8%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.93	1.79	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.81	1.88	8.4%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.85	9.3%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Best of all books	1.83	1.93	6.5%
Average	1.80	1.88	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Avilés 45%Draw 45%UD Ourense 10%

The statistical model rates Real Avilés at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and UD Ourense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.29 | 3.79, which imply roughly 54.1% for a Real Avilés win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Real Avilés are 14th (8 pts, 11-10 goals), UD Ourense 19th (5 pts, 3-10).

Over their last five matches, Real Avilés averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; UD Ourense averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Real Avilés or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.84	3.30	3.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.80	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.45	2.12	4.44

2nd half

1	X	2
2.22	2.42	3.96

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.89	14.2	39.0
HT X	4.65	5.07	8.50
HT 2	26.0	15.8	6.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	9.05	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.93
1.5	1.30	3.22
2.5	1.93	1.79
3.5	3.34	1.27
4.5	6.45	1.07
5.5	11.5	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.95
1.25	1.16	4.14
1.75	1.35	2.80
2	1.47	2.43
2.25	1.70	2.01
2.75	2.18	1.59
3	2.62	1.40
3.25	2.95	1.32
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.50	1.08
4.25	5.80	1.07
5	9.25	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.99	1.34
-1	2.63	1.43
-0.75	2.10	1.64
-0.5	1.86	1.88
-0.25	1.60	2.17
0	1.37	2.79

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.30	1.01
-3	8.85	1.02
-2.75	7.45	1.05
-2.5	6.73	1.07
-2.25	6.36	1.08
-2	5.90	1.09
-1.75	4.15	1.18
-1.5	3.29	1.27
+0.25	1.28	3.26
+0.5	1.25	3.80
+0.75	1.13	4.92
+1	1.03	7.40
+1.25	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.02	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	2.00	1.73