Arenas Getxo vs Mérida AD• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#200.6:2.610:00Tomorrow · Estadio Municipal de Fadura, Getxo2.0:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70B365X3.34PIN22.42PINMargin at best8.3%Books6Markets62Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.63	3.50	2.45	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.64	3.34	2.42	9.1%
Bet365	2.70	3.30	2.25	11.8%
1xBet	2.57	3.24	2.38	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.57	3.24	2.38	11.8%
William Hill	2.62	3.00	2.38	13.5%
Best of all books	2.70	3.50	2.45	6.4%
Average	2.62	3.27	2.38	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arenas GetxoMérida AD

Last 10#20Table position#120.29Points per game1.291Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 52.02.6Goals against · last 52.223Attack rating7746Defence rating5414Form rating8650H2H rating5029Goals model7134Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

Arenas Getxo

1W 2D 7L · goals 6:24 · per match 0.6 for, 2.4 against

12 Oct	A	Cultural Leonesa	1-4	L
3 Oct	A	Barakaldo	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Athletic Club II	0-3	L
20 Sep	A	Cacereño	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Zamora	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Pontevedra	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Racing Ferrol	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Laredo	0-1	L
1 Aug	A	Eibar	0-5	L
23 May	H	Zamora	1-0	W

Mérida AD

4W 0D 6L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

11 Oct	A	Pontevedra	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Cacereño	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	UD Logroñés	3-5	L
19 Sep	A	Ponferradina	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Mirandes	3-4	L
6 Sep	A	Cultural Leonesa	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Deportivo La Coruña II	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Alcorcon	2-1	W
7 Aug	A	Leganes	0-3	L
28 Jul	H	Al-Nassr	0-2	L

Head to head

1Arenas Getxo wins

0draws

1Mérida AD wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Arenas Getxo

24 Apr 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Arenas Getxo2-0Mérida AD
5 Oct 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Mérida AD3-0Arenas Getxo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Arenas Getxo sit 20th with 2 points from 7 games, while Mérida AD are 12th with 9 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	8	7	1	0	15:4	+11	22
2	UD Logroñés	7	5	1	1	16:10	+6	16
3	Racing Ferrol	8	5	1	2	9:5	+4	16
4	Athletic Club II	7	3	3	1	12:8	+4	12
5	Cacereño	7	3	3	1	7:4	+3	12
6	Zamora	8	3	3	2	10:8	+2	12
7	Ponferradina	8	3	3	2	6:6	0	12
8	Cultural Leonesa	7	3	2	2	8:6	+2	11
9	Mirandes	8	3	2	3	10:10	0	11
10	Real Unión	8	2	4	2	15:13	+2	10
11	Extremadura 1924	8	3	1	4	11:10	+1	10
12	Mérida AD	7	3	0	4	11:12	-1	9
13	Barakaldo	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
14	Real Avilés	7	2	2	3	11:10	+1	8
15	Pontevedra	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
16	Deportivo La Coruña II	8	2	2	4	8:11	-3	8
17	Unionistas de Salamanca	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
18	CD Coria	7	1	2	4	10:15	-5	5
19	UD Ourense	7	1	2	4	3:10	-7	5
20	Arenas Getxo	7	0	2	5	5:18	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.62X28%3.22238%2.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.13 → 2.62 -16.3%X3.36 → 3.22 -4.2%22.08 → 2.36 +13.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.75	2.03	6.4%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
BetVictor	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.72	2.01	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.58	2.21	8.5%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.17	9.4%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.58	2.21	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arenas Getxo 10%Draw 45%Mérida AD 45%

The statistical model rates Arenas Getxo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mérida AD at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 3.22 | 2.36, which imply roughly 31.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Arenas Getxo are 20th (2 pts, 5-18 goals), Mérida AD 12th (9 pts, 11-12).

Over their last five matches, Arenas Getxo averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Mérida AD averaged 2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Mérida AD.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.62	3.27	2.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.48	1.38	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.95	1.76

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.21

1st half

1	X	2
3.20	2.20	2.94

2nd half

1	X	2
2.90	2.51	2.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.28	13.3	26.0
HT X	6.37	5.47	5.93
HT 2	27.7	14.0	3.76

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.01	12.8	1.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.63
1.5	1.21	3.84
2.5	1.72	2.01
3.5	2.77	1.37
4.5	5.08	1.12
5.5	9.20	1.02
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.82
1	1.01	8.60
1.25	1.10	5.00
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.32	2.95
2.25	1.53	2.30
2.75	1.89	1.79
3	2.19	1.57
3.25	2.46	1.46
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.60	1.13
5	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.58	1.45
-0.25	2.25	1.57
0	1.94	1.78
+0.25	1.66	2.06
+0.5	1.53	2.37
+0.75	1.37	2.80

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.50	1.01
-1.75	6.57	1.07
-1.5	5.08	1.12
-1.25	4.62	1.15
-1	4.22	1.17
-0.75	3.14	1.30
+1	1.22	3.71
+1.25	1.18	4.12
+1.5	1.15	4.50
+1.75	1.09	5.83
+2	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.27
6.5	1.14	4.18
7.5	1.36	2.77
8.5	1.67	2.09
9.5	2.10	1.65
10.5	2.77	1.36
11.5	3.91	1.17
12.5	5.92	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.03	6.66
7	1.19	3.74
8	1.46	2.46
9	1.89	1.87
10	2.48	1.45
11	3.56	1.21
12	5.50	1.06