Valencia vs Villarreal• La Liga, Spain

#191.0:1.216:30Today · Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia1.4:1.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50BFRX3.701XB22.251XBMargin at best0.0%Books9Markets93Rating32 · 69Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.32	3.70	2.25	1.6%
Pinnacle	3.46	3.67	2.11	3.5%
Dafabet	3.35	3.60	2.16	3.9%
Betfair	3.50	3.60	2.10	4.0%
Marathonbet	3.24	3.60	2.19	4.3%
Betano	3.40	3.40	2.18	4.7%
BetVictor	3.20	3.60	2.15	5.5%
Bet365	3.40	3.50	2.10	5.6%
William Hill	3.00	3.50	2.15	8.4%
Best of all books	3.50	3.70	2.25	0.0%
Average	3.32	3.57	2.15	4.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ValenciaVillarreal

Last 10#19Table position#120.67Points per game1.005Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.042Attack rating5845Defence rating5542Form rating5815H2H rating8515Goals model8532Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

Valencia

1W 3D 6L · goals 6:16 · per match 0.6 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	H	Athletic Club	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Racing Santander	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Real Sociedad	2-3	L
15 Sep	A	Alaves	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	Sevilla	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Barcelona	0-5	L
30 Aug	A	Deportivo La Coruna	1-3	L
25 Aug	H	Real Betis	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Celta Vigo	0-0	D
12 Aug	H	Teruel	0-1	L

Villarreal

3W 1D 6L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

20 Oct	A	Liverpool	3-4	L
17 Oct	H	Elche	0-0	D
13 Oct	H	Napoli	3-1	W
10 Oct	A	Real Madrid	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Levante	3-1	W
17 Sep	A	Malaga	3-1	W
14 Sep	H	Real Betis	1-2	L
8 Sep	A	Borussia Dortmund	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Deportivo La Coruna	2-3	L
28 Aug	A	Alaves	0-1	L

Head to head

14Valencia wins

7draws

13Villarreal wins

34 meetings · goals 46:40 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Valencia

22 Feb 2026La Liga	La Liga	Villarreal2-1Valencia
25 Oct 2025La Liga	La Liga	Valencia0-2Villarreal
15 Feb 2025La Liga	La Liga	Villarreal1-1Valencia
31 Aug 2024La Liga	La Liga	Valencia1-1Villarreal
17 Mar 2024La Liga	La Liga	Villarreal1-0Valencia
2 Jan 2024La Liga	La Liga	Valencia3-1Villarreal
3 May 2023La Liga	La Liga	Valencia1-1Villarreal
31 Dec 2022La Liga	La Liga	Villarreal2-1Valencia
19 Apr 2022La Liga	La Liga	Villarreal2-0Valencia
30 Oct 2021La Liga	La Liga	Valencia2-0Villarreal

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 23 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the La Liga table, Valencia sit 19th with 6 points from 9 games, while Villarreal are 12th with 9 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	9	9	0	0	39:9	+30	27
2	Atletico Madrid	9	7	1	1	19:8	+11	22
3	Real Madrid	9	7	0	2	23:9	+14	21
4	Real Betis	9	6	1	2	16:14	+2	19
5	Real Sociedad	9	5	1	3	17:17	0	16
6	Sevilla	9	4	2	3	14:16	-2	14
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	+3	12
8	Celta Vigo	9	2	5	2	10:7	+3	11
9	Deportivo La Coruna	9	2	5	2	13:12	+1	11
10	Osasuna	9	3	2	4	10:18	-8	11
11	Levante	9	2	4	3	15:17	-2	10
12	Villarreal	9	2	3	4	13:13	0	9
13	Athletic Club	8	2	3	3	8:9	-1	9
14	Rayo Vallecano	8	2	3	3	12:17	-5	9
15	Getafe	9	2	3	4	5:11	-6	9
16	Espanyol	9	2	2	5	11:12	-1	8
17	Racing Santander	9	2	2	5	13:25	-12	8
18	Elche	9	1	4	4	11:17	-6	7
19	Valencia	9	1	3	5	6:15	-9	6
20	Malaga	10	0	5	5	7:19	-12	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.32X27%3.57244%2.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.18 → 3.32 +4.4%X3.58 → 3.57 -0.3%22.15 → 2.15 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.79	2.18	1.7%
Pinnacle	1.75	2.17	3.2%
Betano	1.75	2.12	4.3%
Marathonbet	1.74	2.12	4.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
BetVictor	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Best of all books	1.79	2.18	1.7%
Average	1.73	2.12	4.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Betano	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.58	2.26	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.58	2.27	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Valencia 10%Draw 45%Villarreal 45%

The statistical model rates Valencia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Villarreal at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.32 | 3.57 | 2.15, which imply roughly 28% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Valencia are 19th (6 pts, 6-15 goals), Villarreal 12th (9 pts, 13-13).

Over their last five matches, Valencia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Villarreal averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Villarreal.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.32	3.57	2.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.69	1.34	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.35	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
3.71	2.26	2.67

2nd half

1	X	2
3.30	2.56	2.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.32	13.9	24.6
HT X	7.46	5.62	5.30
HT 2	30.4	13.4	3.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.16	13.1	1.79

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.8
1.5	1.22	4.07
2.5	1.73	2.12
3.5	2.75	1.44
4.5	5.08	1.15
5.5	9.46	1.05
6.5	14.9	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.4
1.25	1.10	5.67
1.75	1.26	3.62
2	1.34	3.21
2.25	1.53	2.47
2.75	1.92	1.89
3	2.21	1.66
3.25	2.48	1.52
3.75	3.26	1.31
4	4.22	1.18
4.25	4.72	1.14
4.75	6.46	1.06
5	9.32	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.20	1.34
-0.25	2.76	1.43
0	2.39	1.59
+0.25	1.97	1.86
+0.5	1.72	2.12
+0.75	1.52	2.48

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.75	10.3	1.01
-1.5	6.76	1.08
-1.25	6.15	1.10
-1	5.72	1.12
-0.75	3.99	1.23
+1	1.34	3.21
+1.25	1.27	3.57
+1.5	1.21	3.94
+1.75	1.13	5.17
+2	1.05	7.60
+2.5	1.03	8.22
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.03	9.75
2.5	1.11	5.80
3.5	1.27	3.50
4.5	1.54	2.41
5.5	1.92	1.85
6.5	2.91	1.38
7.5	3.85	1.23
8.5	5.50	1.13
9.5	7.60	1.07

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.30	3.29
5	1.87	1.94
6	2.64	1.47

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.5
4.5	1.02	12.0
5.5	1.03	8.28
6.5	1.11	5.17
7.5	1.23	3.50
8.5	1.45	2.54
9.5	1.83	1.94
10.5	2.28	1.56
11.5	3.04	1.32
12.5	4.10	1.17
13.5	5.68	1.09
14.5	7.47	1.04
15.5	11.5	1.02
16.5	11.8	1.02
17.5	13.5	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.12	4.12
7.75	1.26	3.20
8	1.26	2.90
8.25	1.38	2.67
8.75	1.52	2.29
9	1.57	2.25
9.25	1.71	1.99
9.75	1.96	1.79
10	2.00	1.75
10.25	2.22	1.57
10.75	2.53	1.42
11	2.53	1.39
11.25	2.97	1.30
12	3.27	1.20
13	4.32	1.10
14	5.49	1.05

Next La Liga matches

24 Oct	Rayo Vallecano – Elche
24 Oct	Racing Santander – Espanyol
24 Oct	Atletico Madrid – Deportivo La Coruna
25 Oct	Athletic Club – Getafe
25 Oct	Celta Vigo – Real Betis
25 Oct	Real Sociedad – Levante

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

23 Oct	Alaves 1-1 Malaga
21 Oct	Levante 3-1 Athletic Club
19 Oct	Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
18 Oct	Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla
18 Oct	Malaga 2-5 Real Sociedad
18 Oct	Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves