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Celta Vigo vs Alaves• La Liga, Spain

#81.4:0.42-1FTToday · Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo1.4:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.33PINX3.311XB23.55PINMargin at best1.3%Books6Markets79Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.373.243.511.5%
Pinnacle2.333.143.572.8%
Marathonbet2.313.153.424.3%
Bet3652.303.203.305.0%
BetVictor2.303.103.405.1%
William Hill2.253.003.308.1%
Best of all books2.373.243.571.1%
Average2.313.143.424.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Celta VigoAlaves
Last 10#8Table position#71.22Points per game1.225Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5078Defence rating2264Form rating3650H2H rating5062Goals model3858Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:41 UTC

Celta Vigo

1W 5D 4L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

15 OctHJuventus1-2L
11 OctAElche0-0D
19 SepHRacing Santander5-0W
16 SepAOmonia Nicosia0-1L
13 SepHMalaga1-1D
7 SepAGetafe1-1D
3 SepAReal Sociedad0-0D
30 AugHAthletic Club0-2L
27 AugHOsasuna1-2L
22 AugAValencia0-0D

Alaves

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

10 OctHAtletico Madrid1-2L
19 SepAAthletic Club0-0D
15 SepHValencia0-1L
12 SepARacing Santander1-2L
6 SepHOsasuna5-2W
28 AugHVillarreal1-0W
20 AugARayo Vallecano1-1D
15 AugHGetafe3-0W
7 AugARacing Santander1-1D
31 JulHCastellón3-0W

Head to head

9Celta Vigo wins
3draws
6Alaves wins

18 meetings · goals 29:20 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Celta Vigo

22 Mar 2026La LigaLa LigaCelta Vigo3-4Alaves
22 Nov 2025La LigaLa LigaAlaves0-1Celta Vigo
27 Jan 2025La LigaLa LigaAlaves1-1Celta Vigo
16 Aug 2024La LigaLa LigaCelta Vigo2-1Alaves
27 Apr 2024La LigaLa LigaAlaves3-0Celta Vigo
28 Sep 2023La LigaLa LigaCelta Vigo1-1Alaves
7 May 2022La LigaLa LigaCelta Vigo4-0Alaves
27 Nov 2021La LigaLa LigaAlaves1-2Celta Vigo
4 Apr 2021La LigaLa LigaAlaves1-3Celta Vigo
20 Dec 2020La LigaLa LigaCelta Vigo2-0Alaves

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 18 Oct 20:20 UTC

In the La Liga table, Celta Vigo sit 8th with 11 points from 9 games, while Alaves are 7th with 11 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona990039:9+3027
2Atletico Madrid971119:8+1122
3Real Betis961216:14+219
4Real Madrid860219:8+1118
5Real Sociedad951317:17016
6Sevilla842213:12+114
7Alaves932413:10+311
8Celta Vigo925210:7+311
9Deportivo La Coruna925213:12+111
10Osasuna932410:18-811
11Athletic Club72327:6+19
12Villarreal923413:1309
13Espanyol922511:12-18
14Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
15Getafe82244:10-68
16Racing Santander922513:25-128
17Levante814312:16-47
18Elche914411:17-67
19Valencia91356:15-96
20Malaga90456:18-124

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.27X30%3.15228%3.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 11:201 2.27X 3.192 3.41
12.10 → 2.27 +8.1%X3.29 → 3.19 -3.0%23.61 → 3.41 -5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.541.611.5%
Pinnacle2.631.523.8%
Marathonbet2.461.564.8%
Bet3652.501.535.4%
BetVictor2.321.528.9%
Best of all books2.631.610.1%
Average2.491.554.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill2.051.755.9%
Bet3652.051.707.6%
1xBet2.021.727.6%
Marathonbet2.021.718.0%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Best of all books2.051.755.9%
Average2.031.727.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Celta Vigo 45%Draw 45%Alaves 10%

The statistical model rated Celta Vigo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alaves at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.15 | 3.47, which imply roughly 44.1% for a Celta Vigo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Celta Vigo are 8th (11 pts, 10-7 goals), Alaves 7th (11 pts, 13-10).

Over their last five matches, Celta Vigo averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Alaves averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Celta Vigo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Celta Vigo

3-4-3

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Goalkeeper

  • 13I. Radu

Defence

  • 20Javi Rodríguez
  • 18Yoel Lago
  • 21S. Cáceres

Midfield

  • 23Hugo Álvarez
  • 30H. Burcio
  • 6I. Moriba
  • 5Sergio Carreira

Attack

  • 24C. Driouech
  • 9Ferran Jutglà
  • 19W. Swedberg
Substitutes (12)
  • 28Andrés Antañón
  • 3Marcos Alonso
  • 31Ángel Arcos
  • 10Iago Aspas
  • 1A. Bayındır
  • 4A. Faye
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 22Javi Galán
  • 16Hugo González
  • 15Álvaro Núñez
  • 17Javi Rueda
  • 25Iván Villar

Alaves

5-3-2

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Goalkeeper

  • 1Sivera

Defence

  • 16V. Koski
  • 14N. Tenaglia
  • 2N. Valentini
  • 17Jonny
  • 21A. Rebbach

Midfield

  • 19Pablo Ibáñez
  • 8Antonio Blanco
  • 10Carles Aleñá

Attack

  • 11Toni Martínez
  • 15L. Boyé
Substitutes (12)
  • 24Selu Diallo
  • 9M. Díaz
  • 3Yusi
  • 6Guevara
  • 20Aitor Mañas
  • 12Hugo Novoa
  • 27X. Olaiz
  • 13A. Giménez
  • 22Miguel Rodríguez
  • 4Denis Suárez
  • 31G. Swiderski
  • 23C. Benavídez

Match Statistics

Celta VigoAlaves
0.91Expected Goals1.05
380Passes accurate394
3Shots insidebox14
3Shots outsidebox6
17Free Kicks14
3Shots on Goal9
8Goalkeeper Saves1
3Shots off Goal5
465Total passes489
6Total Shots20
1Yellow Cards1
0Blocked Shots6
0Offsides3
0Corner Kicks4
14Fouls17
0Red Cards0
48%Ball Possession52%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.313.143.42

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.621.37

Draw no bet

12
1.572.28

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.031.72

1st half

1X2
3.011.954.17

2nd half

1X2
2.672.233.65

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6515.742.0
HT X5.274.217.13
HT 233.715.75.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.867.052.39

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.30
1.51.472.57
2.52.491.55
3.54.761.16
4.510.91.03
5.520.51.01
6.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.085.94
11.125.33
1.251.303.28
1.751.602.25
21.831.93
2.252.171.69
2.752.921.38
33.851.23
3.254.101.20
3.756.031.08
49.101.01
4.258.601.01
512.01.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.721.43
-0.52.251.63
-0.251.941.88
01.602.38
+0.251.412.81
+0.51.323.35
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.11.01
-2.258.881.01
-29.801.02
-1.756.351.08
-1.54.741.14
-1.254.291.19
-13.781.24
+0.751.204.34
+11.076.95
+1.251.067.38
+1.51.038.10

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.402.85
41.572.37
4.51.851.90
52.371.58
5.52.741.43

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.055.91
6.51.153.95
7.51.342.79
8.51.662.10
9.52.081.68
10.52.661.38
11.53.531.20
12.54.851.10
13.56.651.04
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.074.85
71.193.37
7.751.362.68
81.472.48
8.251.532.28
8.751.752.01
91.871.92
9.251.941.73
9.752.191.53
102.431.49
10.252.551.39
10.752.941.25
113.021.24
11.253.491.18
124.051.12
135.251.06

Next La Liga matches

19 OctGetafe – Rayo Vallecano
21 OctLevante – Athletic Club

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

18 OctReal Madrid 4-1 Sevilla
18 OctMalaga 2-5 Real Sociedad
18 OctOsasuna 2-0 Racing Santander
17 OctValencia 0-0 Athletic Club
17 OctReal Betis 2-5 Barcelona
17 OctVillarreal 0-0 Elche