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Alaves vs Malaga• La Liga, Spain

#70.6:1.41-1FT23/10 · Estadio de Mendizorroza, Victoria-Gasteiz1.0:2.2#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70BTNX3.90BFR26.00B365Margin at best1.1%Books9Markets99Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.693.905.991.5%
Betano1.673.955.902.1%
Marathonbet1.663.845.903.2%
Pinnacle1.663.855.753.6%
Dafabet1.623.956.003.7%
Betfair1.623.806.004.7%
Bet3651.623.805.755.4%
BetVictor1.603.905.755.5%
William Hill1.623.605.507.7%
Best of all books1.693.956.001.2%
Average1.643.845.844.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlavesMalaga
Last 10#7Table position#201.20Points per game0.501Form pts · last 520.6Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 52.238Attack rating6361Defence rating3933Form rating6780H2H rating2093Goals model763Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Alaves

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

18 OctACelta Vigo1-2L
10 OctHAtletico Madrid1-2L
19 SepAAthletic Club0-0D
15 SepHValencia0-1L
12 SepARacing Santander1-2L
6 SepHOsasuna5-2W
28 AugHVillarreal1-0W
20 AugARayo Vallecano1-1D
15 AugHGetafe3-0W
7 AugARacing Santander1-1D

Malaga

0W 5D 5L · goals 8:20 · per match 0.8 for, 2.0 against

18 OctHReal Sociedad2-5L
9 OctHEspanyol1-1D
20 SepAGetafe0-1L
17 SepHVillarreal1-3L
13 SepACelta Vigo1-1D
6 SepHLevante0-0D
30 AugAReal Madrid0-4L
24 AugHDeportivo La Coruna1-1D
19 AugAAtletico Madrid0-2L
12 AugHFulham2-2D

Head to head

4Alaves wins
1draws
1Malaga wins

6 meetings · goals 9:4 · last 6: 4W 1D 1L for Alaves

20 May 2023Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónAlaves2-1Malaga
18 Dec 2022Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónMalaga1-0Alaves
6 May 2018La LigaLa LigaMalaga0-3Alaves
21 Dec 2017La LigaLa LigaAlaves1-0Malaga
11 Mar 2017La LigaLa LigaMalaga1-2Alaves
16 Oct 2016La LigaLa LigaAlaves1-1Malaga

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 23 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the La Liga table, Alaves sit 7th with 12 points from 10 games, while Malaga are 20th with 5 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona990039:9+3027
2Atletico Madrid971119:8+1122
3Real Madrid970223:9+1421
4Real Betis961216:14+219
5Real Sociedad951317:17016
6Sevilla942314:16-214
7Alaves1033414:11+312
8Celta Vigo925210:7+311
9Deportivo La Coruna925213:12+111
10Osasuna932410:18-811
11Levante924315:17-210
12Villarreal923413:1309
13Athletic Club82338:9-19
14Rayo Vallecano823312:17-59
15Getafe92345:11-69
16Espanyol922511:12-18
17Racing Santander922513:25-128
18Elche914411:17-67
19Valencia91356:15-96
20Malaga100557:19-125

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.63X25%3.81216%5.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Oct 00:0023 Oct 10:301 1.65X 3.792 5.79
11.77 → 1.65 -6.8%X3.56 → 3.79 +6.5%24.72 → 5.79 +22.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.101.861.4%
Pinnacle2.081.813.3%
Betano2.051.823.7%
Marathonbet2.031.804.8%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betfair2.001.805.6%
BetVictor1.941.749.0%
Best of all books2.101.861.4%
Average2.031.804.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.981.786.7%
Betfair1.911.837.0%
Bet3652.001.757.1%
William Hill2.001.757.1%
1xBet1.981.757.6%
Marathonbet1.981.748.0%
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
Best of all books2.001.834.6%
Average1.971.767.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alaves 45%Draw 45%Malaga 10%

The statistical model rated Alaves at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Malaga at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.63 | 3.81 | 5.96, which imply roughly 61.3% for a Alaves win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Alaves are 7th (12 pts, 14-11 goals), Malaga 20th (5 pts, 7-19).

Over their last five matches, Alaves averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Malaga averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alaves or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Alaves

5-3-2

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Goalkeeper

  • 1Sivera

Defence

  • 7Angel Pérez
  • 14N. Tenaglia
  • 16V. Koski
  • 2N. Valentini
  • 21A. Rebbach

Midfield

  • 19Pablo Ibáñez
  • 8Antonio Blanco
  • 10Carles Aleñá

Attack

  • 15L. Boyé
  • 9M. Díaz
Substitutes (12)
  • 23C. Benavídez
  • 4Denis Suárez
  • 22Miguel Rodríguez
  • 13A. Giménez
  • 27X. Olaiz
  • 12Hugo Novoa
  • 33Rubén Montero
  • 20Aitor Mañas
  • 11Toni Martínez
  • 3Yusi
  • 24Selu Diallo
  • 17Jonny

Malaga

4-1-4-1

Coach: Funes

Goalkeeper

  • 1Alfonso Herrero

Defence

  • 3Puga
  • 4Einar Galilea
  • 15Ángel Recio
  • 31Rafita

Midfield

  • 6Ramón Enríquez
  • 10David Larrubia
  • 22Dani Lorenzo
  • 8Carlos Dotor
  • 39Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh

Attack

  • 21Adrián Niño Heredia
Substitutes (12)
  • 2J. Cajuste
  • 23Izan Merino
  • 20Fernando Calero
  • 9Chupe
  • 17Eneko Jauregi
  • 13Carlos López
  • 5Álex Pastor
  • 14Rafa Rodríguez
  • 12José Salinas
  • 7H. Abaida
  • 32J. Fernandez
  • 25Juan Berrocal

Match Statistics

AlavesMalaga
1.88Expected Goals0.62
368Passes accurate384
12Shots insidebox5
6Shots outsidebox2
6Blocked Shots0
12Free Kicks14
4Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
8Shots off Goal4
426Total passes464
18Total Shots7
2Yellow Cards1
7Corner Kicks2
0Offsides2
14Fouls12
0Red Cards0
63%Ball Possession37%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.643.845.84

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.251.26

Draw no bet

12
1.204.15

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.971.76

1st half

1X2
2.172.205.83

2nd half

1X2
1.982.495.22

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4415.852.6
HT X4.325.3211.4
HT 225.816.99.79

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.528.253.13

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.059.10
1.51.333.24
2.52.031.80
3.53.481.29
4.56.881.09
5.512.81.02
6.519.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.057.53
11.076.63
1.251.204.19
1.751.412.82
21.542.48
2.251.782.02
2.752.331.62
32.841.43
3.253.151.34
3.754.151.19
45.871.11
4.256.071.09
58.701.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.791.44
-1.252.431.56
-12.091.74
-0.751.772.03
-0.51.612.32
-0.251.402.87
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.31.02
-39.431.03
-2.756.661.08
-2.55.421.13
-2.254.871.15
-24.521.18
-1.753.341.31
01.204.20
+0.251.164.85
+0.51.125.60
+0.751.066.91
+1.51.0211.3

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.086.80
2.51.253.75
3.51.542.42
4.52.111.68
5.52.951.37
6.54.351.19
7.56.401.09
8.59.001.04
9.511.31.02
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.283.54
41.792.04
52.791.41

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.0
4.51.0213.9
5.51.048.27
6.51.125.01
7.51.243.43
8.51.472.50
9.51.821.93
10.52.291.55
11.53.041.31
12.54.131.17
13.55.891.08
14.57.201.05
15.510.51.02
16.512.01.02
17.513.51.01
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.57
71.134.00
7.751.273.14
81.282.82
8.251.392.63
8.751.542.25
91.602.24
9.251.741.95
9.752.001.76
102.041.73
10.252.261.55
10.752.601.40
112.621.37
11.253.041.29
123.371.19
134.471.10
145.621.04

Next La Liga matches

24 OctRayo Vallecano – Elche
24 OctRacing Santander – Espanyol
24 OctValencia – Villarreal
24 OctAtletico Madrid – Deportivo La Coruna
25 OctAthletic Club – Getafe
25 OctCelta Vigo – Real Betis

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

21 OctLevante 3-1 Athletic Club
19 OctGetafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
18 OctReal Madrid 4-1 Sevilla
18 OctMalaga 2-5 Real Sociedad
18 OctCelta Vigo 2-1 Alaves
18 OctOsasuna 2-0 Racing Santander