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Real Madrid vs Sevilla• La Liga, Spain

#41.8:1.219:00Tomorrow · Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid1.4:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.271XBX7.00B365212.41XBMargin at best1.1%Books6Markets98Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:13 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.276.7612.41.6%
Marathonbet1.256.6512.33.2%
Pinnacle1.246.8211.34.1%
BetVictor1.226.5012.05.7%
Bet3651.227.0010.06.3%
William Hill1.256.0010.06.7%
Best of all books1.277.0012.41.1%
Average1.246.6211.34.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real MadridSevilla
Last 10#4Table position#52.25Points per game1.7512Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.456Attack rating4454Defence rating4653Form rating47100H2H rating076Goals model2464Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Real Madrid

8W 0D 2L · goals 25:12 · per match 2.5 for, 1.2 against

14 OctAAS Roma4-3W
10 OctHVillarreal1-0W
20 SepAAtletico Madrid1-2L
15 SepAElche3-2W
12 SepHRayo Vallecano4-1W
8 SepHInter2-1W
4 SepAReal Betis0-1L
30 AugHMalaga4-0W
26 AugHReal Sociedad4-1W
22 AugAEspanyol2-1W

Sevilla

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

12 OctALevante3-3D
2 OctHAston Villa1-3L
19 SepHBarcelona1-3L
16 SepADeportivo La Coruna1-0W
11 SepHValencia1-0W
6 SepAEspanyol1-1D
29 AugHAtletico Madrid1-3L
22 AugAAthletic Club3-1W
15 AugHRayo Vallecano2-1W
8 AugABayer Leverkusen1-2L

Head to head

25Real Madrid wins
2draws
6Sevilla wins

33 meetings · goals 83:39 · last 10: 9W 1D 0L for Real Madrid

17 May 2026La LigaLa LigaSevilla0-1Real Madrid
20 Dec 2025La LigaLa LigaReal Madrid2-0Sevilla
18 May 2025La LigaLa LigaSevilla0-2Real Madrid
22 Dec 2024La LigaLa LigaReal Madrid4-2Sevilla
25 Feb 2024La LigaLa LigaReal Madrid1-0Sevilla
21 Oct 2023La LigaLa LigaSevilla1-1Real Madrid
27 May 2023La LigaLa LigaSevilla1-2Real Madrid
22 Oct 2022La LigaLa LigaReal Madrid3-1Sevilla
17 Apr 2022La LigaLa LigaSevilla2-3Real Madrid
28 Nov 2021La LigaLa LigaReal Madrid2-1Sevilla

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the La Liga table, Real Madrid sit 4th with 18 points from 8 games, while Sevilla are 5th with 14 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona990039:9+3027
2Atletico Madrid971119:8+1122
3Real Betis961216:14+219
4Real Madrid860219:8+1118
5Sevilla842213:12+114
6Real Sociedad841312:15-313
7Alaves832312:8+411
8Deportivo La Coruna925213:12+111
9Villarreal923413:1309
10Celta Vigo81528:6+28
11Athletic Club62227:6+18
12Espanyol922511:12-18
13Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
14Getafe82244:10-68
15Racing Santander822413:23-108
16Osasuna82248:18-108
17Levante814312:16-47
18Elche914411:17-67
19Valencia81256:15-95
20Malaga80444:13-94

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg177%1.24X14%6.6228%11.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0117 Oct 15:501 1.24X 6.622 11.3
11.25 → 1.24 -0.8%X6.34 → 6.62 +4.4%29.96 → 11.3 +13.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.403.004.8%
Pinnacle1.412.925.2%
1xBet1.402.777.5%
Marathonbet1.402.777.5%
BetVictor1.402.669.0%
Best of all books1.413.004.3%
Average1.402.826.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.914.7%
William Hill1.851.916.4%
1xBet1.851.877.5%
Marathonbet1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.831.878.1%
Best of all books1.911.914.7%
Average1.861.887.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Madrid 45%Draw 45%Sevilla 10%

The statistical model rates Real Madrid at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sevilla at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.24 | 6.62 | 11.33, which imply roughly 80.6% for a Real Madrid win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Real Madrid are 4th (18 pts, 19-8 goals), Sevilla 5th (14 pts, 13-12).

Over their last five matches, Real Madrid averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sevilla averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Real Madrid or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.246.6211.3

Double chance

1XX212
1.054.081.12

Draw no bet

12
1.078.33

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.861.88

1st half

1X2
1.592.958.63

2nd half

1X2
1.463.458.03

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.6422.351.3
HT X4.079.9322.3
HT 220.323.720.5

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2623.53.85

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0123.0
1.51.105.88
2.51.402.82
3.52.051.78
4.53.211.32
5.55.851.10
6.511.01.05
7.521.01.01
8.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0117.0
1.751.125.21
21.154.62
2.251.283.42
2.751.492.52
31.622.25
3.251.851.97
3.752.311.62
42.701.43
4.252.971.36
4.753.811.21
54.951.13
5.255.191.11
68.801.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.551.48
-2.252.331.61
-22.061.75
-1.751.822.00
-1.51.662.21
-1.251.472.59
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.57.401.03
-4.256.601.11
-46.621.07
-3.755.331.12
-3.54.301.18
-3.254.011.20
-33.751.23
-2.753.021.36
-11.303.34
-0.751.253.63
-0.51.204.10
-0.251.125.24
01.076.93

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.432.70
41.602.30
4.51.801.96
52.451.53
5.52.511.52

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.25
7.51.193.62
8.51.372.65
9.51.702.05
10.52.121.66
11.52.681.38
12.53.501.20
13.54.741.11
14.56.431.05
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.094.55
81.213.25
8.751.422.44
91.482.45
9.251.602.14
9.751.821.93
101.931.86
10.252.021.67
10.752.281.49
112.411.49
11.252.661.36
11.753.021.24
122.921.26
12.253.601.16
133.871.14
145.001.07