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Malaga vs Real Sociedad• La Liga, Spain

#200.6:1.22-5FTToday · La Rosaleda, Malaga1.8:1.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.301XBX3.681XB22.30PINMargin at best1.0%Books6Markets82Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.303.682.271.5%
Pinnacle3.153.632.302.8%
Marathonbet3.223.582.214.2%
BetVictor3.103.502.255.3%
Bet3653.003.602.255.6%
William Hill3.003.302.209.1%
Best of all books3.303.682.301.0%
Average3.133.552.254.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MalagaReal Sociedad
Last 10#20Table position#50.44Points per game1.783Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.825Attack rating7560Defence rating4023Form rating7750H2H rating5037Goals model6342Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Malaga

0W 5D 5L · goals 7:17 · per match 0.7 for, 1.7 against

9 OctHEspanyol1-1D
20 SepAGetafe0-1L
17 SepHVillarreal1-3L
13 SepACelta Vigo1-1D
6 SepHLevante0-0D
30 AugAReal Madrid0-4L
24 AugHDeportivo La Coruna1-1D
19 AugAAtletico Madrid0-2L
12 AugHFulham2-2D
7 AugAAD Ceuta FC1-2L

Real Sociedad

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:18 · per match 1.4 for, 1.8 against

15 OctAUnion St. Gilloise1-1D
11 OctHDeportivo La Coruna3-2W
2 OctHAthletic Club0-1L
20 SepAValencia3-2W
17 SepHBournemouth1-2L
13 SepHAtletico Madrid0-3L
7 SepAElche3-2W
3 SepHCelta Vigo0-0D
29 AugHEspanyol2-1W
26 AugAReal Madrid1-4L

Head to head

5Malaga wins
5draws
7Real Sociedad wins

17 meetings · goals 21:21 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Malaga

7 Jan 2024Copa del ReyCopa del ReyMalaga0-1Real Sociedad
22 Apr 2018La LigaLa LigaMalaga2-0Real Sociedad
10 Dec 2017La LigaLa LigaReal Sociedad0-2Malaga
14 May 2017La LigaLa LigaReal Sociedad2-2Malaga
16 Jan 2017La LigaLa LigaMalaga0-2Real Sociedad
27 Feb 2016La LigaLa LigaReal Sociedad1-1Malaga
3 Oct 2015La LigaLa LigaMalaga3-1Real Sociedad
4 Apr 2015La LigaLa LigaMalaga1-1Real Sociedad
1 Nov 2014La LigaLa LigaReal Sociedad0-1Malaga
17 Feb 2014La LigaLa LigaMalaga0-1Real Sociedad

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 18 Oct 20:20 UTC

In the La Liga table, Malaga sit 20th with 4 points from 9 games, while Real Sociedad are 5th with 16 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona990039:9+3027
2Atletico Madrid971119:8+1122
3Real Betis961216:14+219
4Real Madrid860219:8+1118
5Real Sociedad951317:17016
6Sevilla842213:12+114
7Alaves932413:10+311
8Celta Vigo925210:7+311
9Deportivo La Coruna925213:12+111
10Osasuna932410:18-811
11Athletic Club72327:6+19
12Villarreal923413:1309
13Espanyol922511:12-18
14Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
15Getafe82244:10-68
16Racing Santander922513:25-128
17Levante814312:16-47
18Elche914411:17-67
19Valencia91356:15-96
20Malaga90456:18-124

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.16X27%3.56243%2.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 12:301 3.13X 3.552 2.25
13.19 → 3.13 -1.9%X3.49 → 3.55 +1.7%22.18 → 2.25 +3.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.742.271.5%
Pinnacle1.682.312.8%
Marathonbet1.692.204.6%
Bet3651.672.205.3%
BetVictor1.632.109.0%
Best of all books1.742.310.8%
Average1.682.224.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.572.307.2%
1xBet1.542.357.5%
Marathonbet1.542.328.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Best of all books1.572.405.4%
Average1.542.327.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Malaga 10%Draw 45%Real Sociedad 45%

The statistical model rated Malaga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Sociedad at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.16 | 3.56 | 2.23, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Malaga are 20th (4 pts, 6-18 goals), Real Sociedad 5th (16 pts, 17-17).

Over their last five matches, Malaga averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Real Sociedad averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Real Sociedad.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Malaga

4-4-2

Coach: Funes

Goalkeeper

  • 1Alfonso Herrero

Defence

  • 31Rafita
  • 20Fernando Calero
  • 15Ángel Recio
  • 12José Salinas

Midfield

  • 10David Larrubia
  • 23Izan Merino
  • 8Carlos Dotor
  • 18Pablo Martínez

Attack

  • 21Adrián Niño Heredia
  • 9Chupe
Substitutes (12)
  • 6Ramón Enríquez
  • 7H. Abaida
  • 4Einar Galilea
  • 17Eneko Jauregi
  • 22Dani Lorenzo
  • 13Carlos López
  • 11Joaquín Muñoz
  • 5Álex Pastor
  • 3Puga
  • 14Rafa Rodríguez
  • 2J. Cajuste
  • 39Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh

Real Sociedad

4-4-2

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Goalkeeper

  • 1Álex Remiro

Defence

  • 22Héctor Fort
  • 6Jon Martín
  • 19M. Sarr
  • 3Aihen Muñoz

Midfield

  • 14T. Kubo
  • 4Jon Gorrotxategi
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 7Barrenetxea

Attack

  • 10Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 9O. Óskarsson
Substitutes (12)
  • 11Gonçalo Guedes
  • 17Sergio Gómez
  • 28A. Lebarbier
  • 29Alex Garcia
  • 13Unai Marrero
  • 12J. Ochieng
  • 16Jon Pacheco
  • 24L. Sučić
  • 8Beñat Turrientes
  • 23A. Zakharyan
  • 5Zubeldia
  • 27Gorka Carrera

Match Statistics

MalagaReal Sociedad
1.1Expected Goals2.43
412Passes accurate525
12Shots insidebox12
5Shots outsidebox9
4Blocked Shots6
8Free Kicks4
6Shots on Goal9
4Goalkeeper Saves4
7Shots off Goal6
2Offsides2
477Total passes589
17Total Shots21
4Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
4Fouls9
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.133.552.25

Double chance

1XX212
1.661.351.30

Draw no bet

12
2.171.64

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.32

1st half

1X2
3.562.292.75

2nd half

1X2
3.202.592.48

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.0514.025.0
HT X7.275.635.63
HT 230.013.83.44

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1314.61.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0313.5
1.51.204.13
2.51.682.22
3.52.561.47
4.54.691.15
5.59.201.03
6.519.01.02
7.534.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.019.43
1–10.2
1.251.105.72
1.751.243.83
21.293.38
2.251.502.61
2.751.841.98
32.051.73
3.252.311.57
3.752.981.35
43.741.21
4.254.151.16
4.755.601.08
57.701.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.021.37
-0.252.671.48
02.301.63
+0.251.881.91
+0.51.652.21
+0.751.482.56
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.301.02
-1.56.171.09
-1.255.831.11
-15.441.12
-0.753.761.25
+11.313.28
+1.251.253.67
+1.51.204.01
+1.751.135.06
+21.046.90
+2.51.027.70

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
41.313.33
4.51.512.49
51.702.13
5.51.951.80
62.571.50
6.53.001.36

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.027.15
6.51.094.93
7.51.213.35
8.51.452.52
9.51.791.99
10.52.221.59
11.52.871.32
12.53.811.17
13.55.191.09
14.55.571.04
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.045.62
71.124.17
7.751.213.25
81.262.93
8.251.342.76
8.751.462.35
91.552.28
9.251.682.10
9.751.851.81
101.991.78
10.252.131.61
10.752.391.44
112.571.44
11.252.811.32
123.251.21
134.291.11
145.451.05

Next La Liga matches

19 OctGetafe – Rayo Vallecano
21 OctLevante – Athletic Club

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

18 OctReal Madrid 4-1 Sevilla
18 OctCelta Vigo 2-1 Alaves
18 OctOsasuna 2-0 Racing Santander
17 OctValencia 0-0 Athletic Club
17 OctReal Betis 2-5 Barcelona
17 OctVillarreal 0-0 Elche