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Villarreal vs Elche• La Liga, Spain

#121.8:1.60-0FT17/10 · Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal1.6:1.6#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.461XBX5.39PIN27.191XBMargin at best1.0%Books6Markets94Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:17 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.465.247.191.5%
Pinnacle1.435.396.743.3%
Marathonbet1.425.107.004.3%
Bet3651.455.006.005.6%
BetVictor1.405.007.005.7%
William Hill1.404.806.008.9%
Best of all books1.465.397.191.0%
Average1.435.096.664.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VillarrealElche
Last 10#12Table position#181.00Points per game0.7810Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 51.653Attack rating4750Defence rating5055Form rating4560H2H rating4039Goals model6153Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 17:31 UTC

Villarreal

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHElche0-0D
13 OctHNapoli3-1W
10 OctAReal Madrid0-1L
20 SepHLevante3-1W
17 SepAMalaga3-1W
14 SepHReal Betis1-2L
8 SepABorussia Dortmund2-3L
5 SepHDeportivo La Coruna2-3L
28 AugAAlaves0-1L
23 AugAAtletico Madrid2-2D

Elche

1W 5D 4L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

11 OctHCelta Vigo0-0D
18 SepAEspanyol3-1W
15 SepHReal Madrid2-3L
12 SepAAthletic Club1-1D
7 SepHReal Sociedad2-3L
28 AugARacing Santander2-3L
23 AugHBarcelona0-5L
17 AugADeportivo La Coruna1-1D
31 JulHCordoba2-2D
28 JulHAl Ain2-2D

Head to head

6Villarreal wins
4draws
2Elche wins

12 meetings · goals 21:12 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Villarreal

8 Mar 2026La LigaLa LigaVillarreal2-1Elche
3 Jan 2026La LigaLa LigaElche1-3Villarreal
4 Feb 2023La LigaLa LigaElche3-1Villarreal
4 Sep 2022La LigaLa LigaVillarreal4-0Elche
16 Jan 2022La LigaLa LigaElche1-0Villarreal
22 Sep 2021La LigaLa LigaVillarreal4-1Elche
6 Feb 2021La LigaLa LigaElche2-2Villarreal
6 Dec 2020La LigaLa LigaVillarreal0-0Elche
10 May 2015La LigaLa LigaVillarreal1-0Elche
3 Jan 2015La LigaLa LigaElche2-2Villarreal

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 18 Oct 20:20 UTC

In the La Liga table, Villarreal sit 12th with 9 points from 9 games, while Elche are 18th with 7 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona990039:9+3027
2Atletico Madrid971119:8+1122
3Real Betis961216:14+219
4Real Madrid860219:8+1118
5Real Sociedad951317:17016
6Sevilla842213:12+114
7Alaves932413:10+311
8Celta Vigo925210:7+311
9Deportivo La Coruna925213:12+111
10Osasuna932410:18-811
11Athletic Club72327:6+19
12Villarreal923413:1309
13Espanyol922511:12-18
14Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
15Getafe82244:10-68
16Racing Santander922513:25-128
17Levante814312:16-47
18Elche914411:17-67
19Valencia91356:15-96
20Malaga90456:18-124

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.43X19%5.09214%6.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 11:201 1.43X 5.092 6.66
11.46 → 1.43 -2.1%X4.68 → 5.09 +8.8%26.20 → 6.66 +7.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.412.994.4%
Bet3651.502.624.8%
1xBet1.382.768.7%
Marathonbet1.382.768.7%
BetVictor1.412.629.1%
Best of all books1.502.990.1%
Average1.422.757.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.572.307.2%
1xBet1.572.287.6%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
Marathonbet1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.702.302.3%
Average1.592.247.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Villarreal 45%Draw 45%Elche 10%

The statistical model rated Villarreal at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Elche at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.43 | 5.09 | 6.67, which imply roughly 69.9% for a Villarreal win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Villarreal are 12th (9 pts, 13-13 goals), Elche 18th (7 pts, 11-17).

Over their last five matches, Villarreal averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Elche averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Villarreal or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Villarreal

4-4-2

Coach: Iñigo Pérez

Goalkeeper

  • 25P. Gulácsi

Defence

  • 3A. Freeman
  • 8J. Foyth
  • 2Logan Costa
  • 23Sergi Cardona

Midfield

  • 11Ilias Akhomach
  • 14Santi Comesaña
  • 16C. Macia
  • 10Alberto Moleiro

Attack

  • 22Ayoze Pérez
  • 21T. Oluwaseyi
Substitutes (12)
  • 18P. Gueye
  • 27N. El Jmili
  • 15S. Mouriño
  • 6Pau Navarro
  • 7Gerard Moreno
  • 9G. Mikautadze
  • 20Carlos Romero
  • 1Luíz Júnior
  • 24N. Saliba
  • 5A. Diatta
  • 12Renato Veiga
  • 28Joselillo Gaitán

Elche

5-3-2

Coach: M. Anselmi

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Dituro

Defence

  • 2Buba Sangaré
  • 47J. Morcillo
  • 23Víctor Chust
  • 3R. Revivo
  • 11Germán Valera

Midfield

  • 12Gonzalo Villar
  • 8Marc Aguado
  • 18T. Lemar

Attack

  • 24A. Osorio
  • 21L. Cepeda
Substitutes (12)
  • 10F. Buonanotte
  • 13Alejandro Iturbe
  • 17Josan
  • 15K. Lomónaco
  • 16Martim Neto
  • 14Fer Niño
  • 9E. Ponce
  • 5F. Redondo
  • 22Rubén Sánchez
  • 20Tete Morente
  • 6Bigas
  • 29Ali Houary

Match Statistics

VillarrealElche
2.23Expected Goals0.31
457Passes accurate311
16Shots insidebox1
4Shots outsidebox6
8Blocked Shots1
6Free Kicks11
7Shots on Goal1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
5Shots off Goal5
6Offsides0
527Total passes389
20Total Shots7
2Yellow Cards4
10Corner Kicks5
12Fouls7
0Red Cards0
58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.435.096.66

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.821.16

Draw no bet

12
1.145.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.592.24

1st half

1X2
1.822.706.16

2nd half

1X2
1.683.115.50

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.9317.147.3
HT X4.378.2315.3
HT 219.718.411.7

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3823.03.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0221.5
1.51.105.95
2.51.422.75
3.52.081.77
4.53.341.29
5.56.281.09
6.513.01.04
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0218.0
1.751.095.42
21.144.70
2.251.273.44
2.751.492.52
31.612.25
3.251.851.97
3.752.311.61
42.711.43
4.252.971.35
4.753.941.19
55.201.10
5.255.451.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.821.39
-1.752.371.58
-1.52.081.76
-1.251.881.95
-11.622.29
-0.751.482.59
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-412.01.01
-3.56.351.06
-3.256.251.08
-35.731.10
-2.754.151.18
-2.53.421.26
-2.253.161.33
-0.51.392.90
-0.251.263.60
01.135.19
+0.251.125.48
+0.51.126.00
+0.751.029.05
+11.0111.5

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.333.19
31.472.65
3.51.831.89
42.251.63
4.52.691.44
52.951.37

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.018.70
6.51.094.93
7.51.213.37
8.51.452.53
9.51.801.95
10.52.251.57
11.52.861.32
12.53.791.17
13.55.151.08
14.55.621.04
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.55
71.124.10
7.751.203.33
81.272.88
8.251.332.80
8.751.452.38
91.582.23
9.251.672.13
9.751.831.83
102.031.73
10.252.081.63
10.752.361.45
112.611.42
11.252.771.34
123.291.20
134.351.10
145.521.05

Next La Liga matches

19 OctGetafe – Rayo Vallecano
21 OctLevante – Athletic Club

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

18 OctReal Madrid 4-1 Sevilla
18 OctMalaga 2-5 Real Sociedad
18 OctCelta Vigo 2-1 Alaves
18 OctOsasuna 2-0 Racing Santander
17 OctValencia 0-0 Athletic Club
17 OctReal Betis 2-5 Barcelona