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Valencia vs Athletic Club• La Liga, Spain

#191.0:2.20-0FTToday · Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia1.2:0.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.341XBX3.431XB22.35PINMargin at best1.6%Books6Markets79Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 14:27 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.343.432.351.6%
Pinnacle3.383.352.312.7%
Marathonbet3.263.342.294.3%
Bet3653.253.252.305.0%
BetVictor3.253.302.255.5%
William Hill3.103.202.258.0%
Best of all books3.383.432.351.3%
Average3.263.312.294.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ValenciaAthletic Club
Last 10#19Table position#110.63Points per game1.334Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 51.22.2Goals against · last 50.645Attack rating5521Defence rating7933Form rating6740H2H rating6014Goals model8634Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Valencia

1W 2D 7L · goals 7:18 · per match 0.7 for, 1.8 against

11 OctARacing Santander2-2D
20 SepHReal Sociedad2-3L
15 SepAAlaves1-0W
11 SepASevilla0-1L
6 SepHBarcelona0-5L
30 AugADeportivo La Coruna1-3L
25 AugHReal Betis0-1L
22 AugHCelta Vigo0-0D
12 AugHTeruel0-1L
8 AugHNewcastle1-2L

Athletic Club

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

2 OctAReal Sociedad1-0W
19 SepHAlaves0-0D
12 SepHElche1-1D
5 SepHAtletico Madrid3-0W
30 AugACelta Vigo2-0W
27 AugABarcelona0-2L
22 AugHSevilla1-3L
21 AugAZaragoza1-3L
14 AugAAtalanta0-1L
9 AugAMarseille1-3L

Head to head

13Valencia wins
13draws
12Athletic Club wins

38 meetings · goals 42:41 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Valencia

10 May 2026La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club0-1Valencia
4 Feb 2026Copa del ReyCopa del ReyValencia1-2Athletic Club
20 Sep 2025La LigaLa LigaValencia2-0Athletic Club
18 May 2025La LigaLa LigaValencia0-1Athletic Club
28 Aug 2024La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club1-0Valencia
20 Jan 2024La LigaLa LigaValencia1-0Athletic Club
29 Oct 2023La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club2-2Valencia
11 Feb 2023La LigaLa LigaValencia1-2Athletic Club
26 Jan 2023Copa del ReyCopa del ReyValencia1-3Athletic Club
21 Aug 2022La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club1-0Valencia

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the La Liga table, Valencia sit 19th with 5 points from 8 games, while Athletic Club are 11th with 8 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona990039:9+3027
2Atletico Madrid971119:8+1122
3Real Betis961216:14+219
4Real Madrid860219:8+1118
5Sevilla842213:12+114
6Real Sociedad841312:15-313
7Alaves832312:8+411
8Deportivo La Coruna925213:12+111
9Villarreal923413:1309
10Celta Vigo81528:6+28
11Athletic Club62227:6+18
12Espanyol922511:12-18
13Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
14Getafe82244:10-68
15Racing Santander822413:23-108
16Osasuna82248:18-108
17Levante814312:16-47
18Elche914411:17-67
19Valencia81256:15-95
20Malaga80444:13-94

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.26X29%3.31242%2.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 23:201 3.21X 3.312 2.31
13.47 → 3.21 -7.5%X3.37 → 3.31 -1.8%22.09 → 2.31 +10.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.151.811.8%
Pinnacle2.141.782.9%
Marathonbet2.091.764.7%
Bet3652.101.735.4%
BetVictor2.001.699.2%
Best of all books2.151.811.8%
Average2.101.754.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.801.956.8%
William Hill1.801.956.8%
1xBet1.801.927.6%
BetVictor1.801.908.2%
Marathonbet1.801.908.2%
Best of all books1.801.956.8%
Average1.801.927.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Valencia 10%Draw 45%Athletic Club 45%

The statistical model rated Valencia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Athletic Club at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.26 | 3.31 | 2.29, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Valencia are 19th (5 pts, 6-15 goals), Athletic Club 11th (8 pts, 7-6).

Over their last five matches, Valencia averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Athletic Club averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Athletic Club.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Valencia

5-4-1

Coach: J. Aguirre

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Dimitrievski

Defence

  • 24Pablo Maffeo
  • 5César Tárrega
  • 18Pepelu
  • 12J. de Haas
  • 14José Gayà

Midfield

  • 19Dani Raba
  • 8Javi Guerra
  • 2G. Rodríguez
  • 7A. Danjuma

Attack

  • 9Hugo Duro
Substitutes (12)
  • 10H. Elliott
  • 22Arnau Martínez
  • 33Aaron Mayol
  • 27David Otorbi
  • 11Luis Rioja
  • 39R. Sato
  • 23F. Ugrinic
  • 21Jesús Vázquez
  • 25K. van Oevelen
  • 15A. Dieng
  • 4M. Diakhaby
  • 37Aimar Blázquez

Athletic Club

4-2-3-1

Coach: E. Terzić

Goalkeeper

  • 1Unai Simón

Defence

  • 15Hugo Rincón
  • 4Aitor Paredes
  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 31J. Louis-Jean

Midfield

  • 16Ruíz de Galarreta
  • 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
  • 23Robert Navarro
  • 28Peio Canales
  • 7Álex Berenguer

Attack

  • 9I. Williams
Substitutes (12)
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 17Yuri
  • 12Jesús Areso
  • 33Christian Imga
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar
  • 13Álex Padilla
  • 6Beñat Prados
  • 20Alejandro Rego
  • 21Maroan Sannadi
  • 22Nico Serrano
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 5Yeray

Match Statistics

ValenciaAthletic Club
1.49Expected Goals0.65
267Passes accurate483
13Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox2
1Blocked Shots0
12Free Kicks14
3Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
12Shots off Goal7
2Offsides1
334Total passes568
16Total Shots9
3Yellow Cards3
2Corner Kicks6
14Fouls13
0Red Cards0
37%Ball Possession63%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.263.312.29

Double chance

1XX212
1.621.351.33

Draw no bet

12
2.231.58

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.801.92

1st half

1X2
3.842.102.90

2nd half

1X2
3.392.362.64

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.2015.330.0
HT X7.074.685.37
HT 237.014.43.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.258.651.84

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.28
1.51.333.16
2.52.101.75
3.53.621.26
4.57.901.05
5.516.01.02
6.531.51.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.20
11.066.77
1.251.204.13
1.751.422.74
21.552.38
2.251.841.98
2.752.371.56
32.941.38
3.253.271.30
3.754.591.14
46.501.06
4.256.851.04
511.51.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.231.33
-0.252.751.45
02.331.62
+0.251.871.92
+0.51.652.22
+0.751.452.64
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.759.751.01
-1.57.131.07
-1.256.751.08
-16.191.10
-0.754.041.22
+11.263.59
+1.251.214.04
+1.51.164.49
+1.751.095.86
+2.251.018.35
+2.51.0210.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.273.58
3.51.672.16
41.782.06
4.51.981.77
52.661.45
5.52.891.38

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.046.34
6.51.134.26
7.51.282.94
8.51.562.24
9.51.971.78
10.52.461.47
11.53.261.23
12.54.471.12
13.56.051.05
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.19
71.163.65
7.751.322.86
81.392.75
8.251.442.38
8.751.632.09
91.791.99
9.251.871.87
9.752.151.66
102.261.59
10.252.401.44
10.752.811.33
112.901.31
11.253.241.20
123.721.15
134.891.07