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Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#160.6:0.412:00Today0.8:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45BVCX3.60B36522.65DAFMargin at best6.3%Books7Markets36Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.373.552.658.1%
BetVictor2.453.402.559.4%
Betano2.353.402.5710.9%
Bet3652.203.602.6011.7%
1xBet2.333.422.5012.2%
Marathonbet2.333.422.5012.2%
Pinnacle2.433.152.5312.4%
Best of all books2.453.602.656.3%
Average2.353.422.5610.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
Last 10#16Table position#80.92Points per game1.317Form pts · last 550.6Goals for · last 50.80.4Goals against · last 51.243Attack rating5775Defence rating2558Form rating4280H2H rating2046Goals model5460Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

Victoria Września

2W 6D 2L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

17 OctAUnia Swarzędz0-0D
10 OctHGrom Nowy Staw1-0W
3 OctAGedania Gdansk0-0D
26 SepHLipno Stęszew1-1D
19 SepAStargard Szczeciński1-1D
12 SepHChemik Bydgoszcz2-2D
5 SepHKalisz3-3D
29 AugABałtyk Koszalin0-2L
22 AugHKotwica Kórnik1-0W
19 AugAFlota Świnoujście0-5L

Noteć Czarnków

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

17 OctHBałtyk Koszalin0-3L
10 OctAKotwica Kórnik1-1D
3 OctHFlota Świnoujście3-0W
26 SepALuzino0-2L
19 SepHPolonia Środa0-0D
12 SepALech Poznań II1-2L
5 SepHKluczevia Stargard3-1W
28 AugAWda Świecie1-2L
22 AugHElana Toruń3-1W
19 AugAKalisz1-0W

Head to head

1Victoria Września wins
1draws
0Noteć Czarnków wins

2 meetings · goals 1:0 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Victoria Września

4 Apr 2026III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Victoria Września0-0Noteć Czarnków
12 Sep 2025III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Noteć Czarnków0-1Victoria Września

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Victoria Września sit 16th with 12 points from 13 games, while Noteć Czarnków are 8th with 17 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Polonia Środa13103038:18+2033
2Luzino1391336:16+2028
3Wda Świecie1373320:18+224
4Kluczevia Stargard1271422:20+222
5Stargard Szczeciński1354432:25+719
6Bałtyk Koszalin1354419:16+319
7Lech Poznań II1253424:24018
8Noteć Czarnków1352619:19017
9Kalisz1345418:20-217
10Grom Nowy Staw1351730:29+116
11Elana Toruń1344520:23-316
12Unia Swarzędz1343621:20+115
13Gedania Gdansk1336428:28015
14Flota Świnoujście1342715:22-714
15Chemik Bydgoszcz1326519:26-712
16Victoria Września1326512:23-1112
17Lipno Stęszew1332816:26-1011
18Kotwica Kórnik1332820:36-1611

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.35X26%3.42235%2.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

23 Oct 19:1024 Oct 07:011 2.35X 3.422 2.56
12.26 → 2.35 +4.0%X3.54 → 3.42 -3.4%22.60 → 2.56 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Pinnacle1.682.048.5%
BetVictor1.672.048.9%
1xBet1.652.069.1%
Marathonbet1.652.069.1%
Betano1.572.189.6%
Best of all books1.702.184.7%
Average1.652.088.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
1xBet1.532.299.0%
Marathonbet1.532.2410.0%
Best of all books1.532.308.8%
Average1.532.289.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Victoria Września 45%Draw 45%Noteć Czarnków 10%

The statistical model rates Victoria Września at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Noteć Czarnków at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 3.42 | 2.56, which imply roughly 42.6% for a Victoria Września win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Victoria Września are 16th (12 pts, 12-23 goals), Noteć Czarnków 8th (17 pts, 19-19).

Over their last five matches, Victoria Września averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Noteć Czarnków averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Victoria Września or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.353.422.56

Double chance

1XX212
1.401.481.23

Draw no bet

12
1.761.94

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.532.28

1st half

1X2
2.852.223.11

2nd half

1X2
2.622.572.82

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6713.526.0
HT X5.905.906.47
HT 224.013.74.23

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8514.01.97

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.174.10
2.51.652.08
3.52.561.42
4.55.021.12
5.58.001.06
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.213.58
21.273.18
2.251.472.40
2.751.831.84
32.041.65
3.252.351.49
3.753.141.27
44.151.16

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.781.35
-0.52.391.49
-0.252.061.66
01.791.89
+0.251.572.19
+0.51.442.51
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.701.01
-1.54.701.12
-1.254.301.15
-13.821.18
+0.751.293.03
+11.154.25
+1.51.105.20

Next III Liga - Group 2 matches

24 OctBałtyk Koszalin – Elana Toruń
24 OctChemik Bydgoszcz – Unia Swarzędz
24 OctLuzino – Lech Poznań II
24 OctKotwica Kórnik – Wda Świecie
24 OctLipno Stęszew – Gedania Gdansk
24 OctStargard Szczeciński – Grom Nowy Staw

All III Liga - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

18 OctWda Świecie 1-0 Flota Świnoujście
18 OctLech Poznań II 2-3 Polonia Środa
17 OctLipno Stęszew 1-0 Kalisz
17 OctKluczevia Stargard 3-2 Luzino
17 OctUnia Swarzędz 0-0 Victoria Września
17 OctElana Toruń 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik