Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#122.8:1.60-0FT17/101.0:0.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.74PINX4.00B36524.33B365Margin at best5.6%Books5Markets44Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.73	3.75	4.00	9.5%
1xBet	1.70	3.64	4.06	10.9%
Bet365	1.57	4.00	4.33	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.64	3.96	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.74	3.57	3.67	12.7%
Best of all books	1.74	4.00	4.33	5.6%
Average	1.68	3.72	4.00	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Unia SwarzędzVictoria Września

Last 10#12Table position#161.15Points per game0.928Form pts · last 572.8Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 50.874Attack rating2633Defence rating6750Form rating5050H2H rating5090Goals model1057Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:10 UTC

Unia Swarzędz

3W 3D 4L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	Victoria Września	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Bałtyk Koszalin	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Kotwica Kórnik	7-0	W
26 Sep	A	Flota Świnoujście	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Luzino	1-3	L
11 Sep	A	Polonia Środa	3-4	L
4 Sep	H	Lech Poznań II	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Kluczevia Stargard	0-2	L
23 Aug	H	Wda Świecie	0-1	L
19 Aug	A	Elana Toruń	3-2	W

Victoria Września

2W 6D 2L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Unia Swarzędz	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Grom Nowy Staw	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Gedania Gdansk	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Lipno Stęszew	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Stargard Szczeciński	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Chemik Bydgoszcz	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Kalisz	3-3	D
29 Aug	A	Bałtyk Koszalin	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Kotwica Kórnik	1-0	W
19 Aug	A	Flota Świnoujście	0-5	L

Head to head

1Unia Swarzędz wins

0draws

1Victoria Września wins

2 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Unia Swarzędz

13 May 2026III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Unia Swarzędz2-1Victoria Września
25 Oct 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Victoria Września3-1Unia Swarzędz

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Unia Swarzędz sit 12th with 15 points from 13 games, while Victoria Września are 16th with 12 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	13	10	3	0	38:18	+20	33
2	Luzino	13	9	1	3	36:16	+20	28
3	Wda Świecie	13	7	3	3	20:18	+2	24
4	Kluczevia Stargard	12	7	1	4	22:20	+2	22
5	Stargard Szczeciński	13	5	4	4	32:25	+7	19
6	Bałtyk Koszalin	13	5	4	4	19:16	+3	19
7	Lech Poznań II	12	5	3	4	24:24	0	18
8	Noteć Czarnków	13	5	2	6	19:19	0	17
9	Kalisz	13	4	5	4	18:20	-2	17
10	Grom Nowy Staw	13	5	1	7	30:29	+1	16
11	Elana Toruń	13	4	4	5	20:23	-3	16
12	Unia Swarzędz	13	4	3	6	21:20	+1	15
13	Gedania Gdansk	13	3	6	4	28:28	0	15
14	Flota Świnoujście	13	4	2	7	15:22	-7	14
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	13	2	6	5	19:26	-7	12
16	Victoria Września	13	2	6	5	12:23	-11	12
17	Lipno Stęszew	13	3	2	8	16:26	-10	11
18	Kotwica Kórnik	13	3	2	8	20:36	-16	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.68X24%3.72222%4.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.58 → 1.68 +6.3%X3.93 → 3.76 -4.3%24.41 → 4.00 -9.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
BetVictor	1.58	2.19	9.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.57	2.18	9.6%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.58	2.21	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.18	10.0%
Best of all books	1.56	2.30	7.6%
Average	1.55	2.23	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Unia Swarzędz 45%Draw 45%Victoria Września 10%

The statistical model rated Unia Swarzędz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Victoria Września at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.72 | 4.00, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Unia Swarzędz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Unia Swarzędz are 12th (15 pts, 21-20 goals), Victoria Września 16th (12 pts, 12-23).

Over their last five matches, Unia Swarzędz averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Victoria Września averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Unia Swarzędz.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.72	4.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	1.99	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
2.18	2.34	4.39

2nd half

1	X	2
2.01	2.70	4.01

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.42	15.5	34.5
HT X	4.83	6.50	9.70
HT 2	21.0	16.0	6.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	15.0	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.0
1.5	1.15	4.37
2.5	1.58	2.21
3.5	2.38	1.47
4.5	4.27	1.16
5.5	7.68	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.18	3.84
2	1.23	3.42
2.25	1.41	2.58
2.75	1.71	1.96
3	1.92	1.75
3.25	2.16	1.58
3.75	2.80	1.34
4	3.50	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.72	1.37
-1.25	2.53	1.43
-1	2.18	1.61
-0.75	1.89	1.77
-0.5	1.72	1.98
-0.25	1.50	2.30

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	7.55	1.02
-2.5	5.20	1.10
-2	4.50	1.13
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.31	2.93
+0.25	1.23	3.42
+1	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.02	8.10

Next III Liga - Group 2 matches

24 Oct	Bałtyk Koszalin – Elana Toruń
24 Oct	Chemik Bydgoszcz – Unia Swarzędz
24 Oct	Luzino – Lech Poznań II
24 Oct	Kotwica Kórnik – Wda Świecie
24 Oct	Lipno Stęszew – Gedania Gdansk
24 Oct	Stargard Szczeciński – Grom Nowy Staw

All III Liga - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

18 Oct	Wda Świecie 1-0 Flota Świnoujście
18 Oct	Lech Poznań II 2-3 Polonia Środa
17 Oct	Kluczevia Stargard 3-2 Luzino
17 Oct	Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Kalisz
17 Oct	Elana Toruń 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik
17 Oct	Gedania Gdansk 2-2 Stargard Szczeciński