Lipno Stęszew vs 
Kalisz• III Liga - Group 2, Poland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.34 | 2.27 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.34 | 2.27 | 12.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.55 | 3.27 | 2.35 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 8.8% |
| Average | 2.60 | 3.36 | 2.32 | 11.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC
Lipno Stęszew
3W 1D 6L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against
| 17 Oct | H | Kalisz | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Stargard Szczeciński | 4-3 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Victoria Września | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Bałtyk Koszalin | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Kotwica Kórnik | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Flota Świnoujście | 1-3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Luzino | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Polonia Środa | 2-3 | L |
| 19 Aug | A | Lech Poznań II | 0-1 | L |
Kalisz
2W 4D 4L · goals 14:18 · per match 1.4 for, 1.8 against
| 17 Oct | A | Lipno Stęszew | 0-1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Lech Poznań II | 2-4 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Stargard Szczeciński | 0-5 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Kluczevia Stargard | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Wda Świecie | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Victoria Września | 3-3 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Elana Toruń | 5-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Bałtyk Koszalin | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Aug | H | Noteć Czarnków | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Lipno Stęszew and Kalisz on record.
III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC
In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Lipno Stęszew sit 17th with 11 points from 13 games, while Kalisz are 9th with 17 points from 13.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 38:18 | +20 | 33 |
| 2 | Luzino | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36:16 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | +2 | 24 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 22 |
| 5 | Stargard Szczeciński | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 | Lech Poznań II | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Noteć Czarnków | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Kalisz | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Grom Nowy Staw | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 30:29 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 | Elana Toruń | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Unia Swarzędz | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 | Gedania Gdansk | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 28:28 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Flota Świnoujście | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 14 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 20:36 | -16 | 11 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 2.21 | 8.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 2.20 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 2.20 | 9.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.55 | 2.23 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.23 | 8.5% |
| Average | 1.56 | 2.21 | 9.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 2.45 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 2.44 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 2.39 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.47 | 2.45 | 8.8% |
| Average | 1.47 | 2.43 | 9.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Lipno Stęszew at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Kalisz at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.60 | 3.36 | 2.32, which imply roughly 38.5% for a Lipno Stęszew win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Lipno Stęszew are 17th (11 pts, 16-26 goals), Kalisz 9th (17 pts, 18-20).
Over their last five matches, Lipno Stęszew averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Kalisz averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Lipno Stęszew or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 3.36 | 2.32 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.47 | 1.36 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.95 | 1.78 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.47 | 2.43 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.28 | 2.18 | 2.83 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | 2.61 | 2.56 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.20 | 13.0 | 25.0 |
| HT X | 6.80 | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| HT 2 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 3.50 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.98 | 15.0 | 1.82 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 10.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 4.47 |
| 2.5 | 1.57 | 2.21 |
| 3.5 | 2.35 | 1.49 |
| 4.5 | 4.30 | 1.16 |
| 5.5 | 8.50 | 1.04 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 8.50 |
| 1.75 | 1.18 | 3.92 |
| 2 | 1.22 | 3.48 |
| 2.25 | 1.39 | 2.63 |
| 2.75 | 1.69 | 1.98 |
| 3 | 1.90 | 1.76 |
| 3.25 | 2.13 | 1.60 |
| 3.75 | 2.75 | 1.35 |
| 4 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.54 | 1.44 |
| -0.25 | 2.26 | 1.54 |
| 0 | 1.94 | 1.74 |
| +0.25 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| +0.5 | 1.52 | 2.31 |
| +0.75 | 1.37 | 2.68 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.15 | 1.10 |
| -1 | 4.33 | 1.14 |
| -0.75 | 3.09 | 1.28 |
| +1 | 1.22 | 3.48 |
| +1.25 | 1.18 | 3.88 |
| +1.5 | 1.15 | 4.25 |
| +1.75 | 1.14 | 4.52 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 8.00 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 8.70 |