Lipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#171.6:1.211:00Today2.4:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25BTNX3.82MAR22.85DAFMargin at best5.7%Books7Markets40Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.23	3.60	2.85	7.7%
BetVictor	2.20	3.75	2.70	9.2%
1xBet	2.17	3.82	2.64	10.1%
Betano	2.25	3.50	2.65	10.8%
Marathonbet	2.15	3.82	2.59	11.3%
Bet365	2.20	3.70	2.55	11.7%
Pinnacle	2.18	3.49	2.64	12.4%
Best of all books	2.25	3.82	2.85	5.7%
Average	2.20	3.67	2.66	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lipno StęszewGedania Gdansk

Last 10#17Table position#130.85Points per game1.1510Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 51.640Attack rating6057Defence rating4356Form rating440H2H rating038Goals model6248Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

Lipno Stęszew

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	H	Kalisz	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Stargard Szczeciński	4-3	W
3 Oct	H	Chemik Bydgoszcz	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Victoria Września	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Bałtyk Koszalin	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Kotwica Kórnik	1-4	L
5 Sep	H	Flota Świnoujście	1-3	L
28 Aug	A	Luzino	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Polonia Środa	2-3	L
19 Aug	A	Lech Poznań II	0-1	L

Gedania Gdansk

2W 4D 4L · goals 20:22 · per match 2.0 for, 2.2 against

17 Oct	H	Stargard Szczeciński	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Chemik Bydgoszcz	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Victoria Września	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Bałtyk Koszalin	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Kotwica Kórnik	6-1	W
12 Sep	A	Flota Świnoujście	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Luzino	0-4	L
28 Aug	A	Polonia Środa	3-4	L
23 Aug	H	Lech Poznań II	2-3	L
19 Aug	A	Kluczevia Stargard	2-2	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lipno Stęszew and Gedania Gdansk on record.

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Lipno Stęszew sit 17th with 11 points from 13 games, while Gedania Gdansk are 13th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	13	10	3	0	38:18	+20	33
2	Luzino	13	9	1	3	36:16	+20	28
3	Wda Świecie	13	7	3	3	20:18	+2	24
4	Kluczevia Stargard	12	7	1	4	22:20	+2	22
5	Stargard Szczeciński	13	5	4	4	32:25	+7	19
6	Bałtyk Koszalin	13	5	4	4	19:16	+3	19
7	Lech Poznań II	12	5	3	4	24:24	0	18
8	Noteć Czarnków	13	5	2	6	19:19	0	17
9	Kalisz	13	4	5	4	18:20	-2	17
10	Grom Nowy Staw	13	5	1	7	30:29	+1	16
11	Elana Toruń	13	4	4	5	20:23	-3	16
12	Unia Swarzędz	13	4	3	6	21:20	+1	15
13	Gedania Gdansk	13	3	6	4	28:28	0	15
14	Flota Świnoujście	13	4	2	7	15:22	-7	14
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	13	2	6	5	19:26	-7	12
16	Victoria Września	13	2	6	5	12:23	-11	12
17	Lipno Stęszew	13	3	2	8	16:26	-10	11
18	Kotwica Kórnik	13	3	2	8	20:36	-16	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.20X25%3.67234%2.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.19 → 2.20 +0.5%X3.55 → 3.67 +3.4%22.72 → 2.66 -2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Pinnacle	1.38	2.68	9.8%
Betano	1.55	2.18	10.4%
1xBet	1.37	2.66	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.66	10.6%
Best of all books	1.55	2.75	0.9%
Average	1.43	2.55	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.36	2.90	8.0%
1xBet	1.36	2.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.75	9.9%
Best of all books	1.36	2.90	8.0%
Average	1.36	2.82	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lipno Stęszew 10%Draw 45%Gedania Gdansk 45%

The statistical model rates Lipno Stęszew at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gedania Gdansk at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.20 | 3.67 | 2.66, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Lipno Stęszew are 17th (11 pts, 16-26 goals), Gedania Gdansk 13th (15 pts, 28-28).

Over their last five matches, Lipno Stęszew averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Gedania Gdansk averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gedania Gdansk.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.20	3.67	2.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.53	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.70	2.01

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.36	2.82

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	2.41	3.08

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	2.79	2.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.45	13.0	24.3
HT X	6.10	6.37	6.93
HT 2	21.7	13.5	4.22

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	19.5	1.95

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.12	5.05
2.5	1.43	2.55
3.5	2.00	1.70
4.5	3.23	1.27
5.5	6.43	1.09

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.16	4.10
2	1.12	4.70
2.25	1.25	3.28
2.75	1.47	2.39
3	1.60	2.12
3.25	1.80	1.87
3.75	2.23	1.55
4	2.63	1.38
4.25	2.92	1.31
5	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.49	1.44
-0.5	2.13	1.60
-0.25	1.93	1.76
0	1.68	2.02
+0.25	1.51	2.30
+0.5	1.41	2.60

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.80	1.02
-2	6.85	1.04
-1.5	3.85	1.18
-1.25	3.50	1.22
-1	3.11	1.28
+0.75	1.28	3.08
+1	1.16	4.15
+1.5	1.11	4.90

Next III Liga - Group 2 matches

24 Oct	Bałtyk Koszalin – Elana Toruń
24 Oct	Chemik Bydgoszcz – Unia Swarzędz
24 Oct	Luzino – Lech Poznań II
24 Oct	Kotwica Kórnik – Wda Świecie
24 Oct	Stargard Szczeciński – Grom Nowy Staw
24 Oct	Kalisz – Polonia Środa

All III Liga - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

18 Oct	Wda Świecie 1-0 Flota Świnoujście
18 Oct	Lech Poznań II 2-3 Polonia Środa
17 Oct	Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Kalisz
17 Oct	Kluczevia Stargard 3-2 Luzino
17 Oct	Unia Swarzędz 0-0 Victoria Września
17 Oct	Elana Toruń 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik