Luzino vs Lech Poznań II• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#22.2:1.410:00Today1.8:2.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50BTNX4.60BVC25.271XBMargin at best7.4%Books7Markets47Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.49	4.60	5.20	8.1%
BetVictor	1.45	4.60	5.25	9.8%
Betano	1.50	4.25	4.85	10.8%
1xBet	1.43	4.55	5.27	10.9%
Bet365	1.48	4.50	4.50	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.42	4.55	5.05	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.47	4.34	4.67	12.5%
Best of all books	1.50	4.60	5.27	7.4%
Average	1.46	4.48	4.97	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LuzinoLech Poznań II

Last 10#2Table position#72.15Points per game1.509Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 52.055Attack rating4559Defence rating4156Form rating44100H2H rating072Goals model2860Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

Luzino

6W 0D 4L · goals 25:14 · per match 2.5 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Kluczevia Stargard	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Wda Świecie	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Elana Toruń	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Noteć Czarnków	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Unia Swarzędz	3-1	W
11 Sep	H	Grom Nowy Staw	5-1	W
5 Sep	A	Gedania Gdansk	4-0	W
2 Sep	H	Wisla Plock	2-3	L
28 Aug	H	Lipno Stęszew	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Stargard Szczeciński	1-2	L

Lech Poznań II

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against

18 Oct	H	Polonia Środa	2-3	L
14 Oct	H	Wda Świecie	1-4	L
10 Oct	A	Kalisz	4-2	W
19 Sep	A	Elana Toruń	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Noteć Czarnków	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Unia Swarzędz	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Grom Nowy Staw	2-4	L
23 Aug	A	Gedania Gdansk	3-2	W
19 Aug	H	Lipno Stęszew	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Stargard Szczeciński	2-4	L

Head to head

2Luzino wins

0draws

0Lech Poznań II wins

2 meetings · goals 6:4 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Luzino

28 Feb 2026III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Lech Poznań II1-2Luzino
15 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Luzino4-3Lech Poznań II

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Luzino sit 2nd with 28 points from 13 games, while Lech Poznań II are 7th with 18 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	13	10	3	0	38:18	+20	33
2	Luzino	13	9	1	3	36:16	+20	28
3	Wda Świecie	13	7	3	3	20:18	+2	24
4	Kluczevia Stargard	12	7	1	4	22:20	+2	22
5	Stargard Szczeciński	13	5	4	4	32:25	+7	19
6	Bałtyk Koszalin	13	5	4	4	19:16	+3	19
7	Lech Poznań II	12	5	3	4	24:24	0	18
8	Noteć Czarnków	13	5	2	6	19:19	0	17
9	Kalisz	13	4	5	4	18:20	-2	17
10	Grom Nowy Staw	13	5	1	7	30:29	+1	16
11	Elana Toruń	13	4	4	5	20:23	-3	16
12	Unia Swarzędz	13	4	3	6	21:20	+1	15
13	Gedania Gdansk	13	3	6	4	28:28	0	15
14	Flota Świnoujście	13	4	2	7	15:22	-7	14
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	13	2	6	5	19:26	-7	12
16	Victoria Września	13	2	6	5	12:23	-11	12
17	Lipno Stęszew	13	3	2	8	16:26	-10	11
18	Kotwica Kórnik	13	3	2	8	20:36	-16	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.46X20%4.48218%4.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.51 → 1.46 -3.3%X4.35 → 4.48 +3.0%24.68 → 4.97 +6.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
BetVictor	1.30	3.20	8.2%
1xBet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Best of all books	1.36	3.20	4.8%
Average	1.31	3.04	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.41	2.62	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.56	10.0%
Best of all books	1.41	2.70	8.0%
Average	1.41	2.63	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Luzino 45%Draw 45%Lech Poznań II 10%

The statistical model rates Luzino at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lech Poznań II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 4.48 | 4.97, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Luzino win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Luzino are 2nd (28 pts, 36-16 goals), Lech Poznań II 7th (18 pts, 24-24).

Over their last five matches, Luzino averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lech Poznań II averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Luzino or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.46	4.48	4.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.37	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.82

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.41	2.63

1st half

1	X	2
1.91	2.62	4.70

2nd half

1	X	2
1.72	3.11	4.57

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.14	15.5	38.7
HT X	4.65	7.97	11.8
HT 2	17.5	16.3	7.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	25.0	2.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.08	6.25
2.5	1.32	3.04
3.5	1.85	1.82
4.5	2.89	1.33
5.5	5.08	1.13

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.5
2	1.08	5.70
2.25	1.22	3.50
2.75	1.37	2.70
3	1.46	2.41
3.25	1.65	2.05
3.75	2.03	1.67
4	2.33	1.49
4.25	2.61	1.39
4.75	3.42	1.23
5	4.50	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.48	1.44
-1.5	2.15	1.58
-1.25	1.94	1.75
-1	1.71	1.96
-0.75	1.54	2.22
-0.5	1.46	2.46

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.20	1.03
-3	6.45	1.05
-2.5	3.74	1.19
-2	3.04	1.29
-0.25	1.30	2.97
0	1.16	4.10
+0.25	1.13	4.55
+1	1.05	7.00

Next III Liga - Group 2 matches

24 Oct	Bałtyk Koszalin – Elana Toruń
24 Oct	Chemik Bydgoszcz – Unia Swarzędz
24 Oct	Kotwica Kórnik – Wda Świecie
24 Oct	Lipno Stęszew – Gedania Gdansk
24 Oct	Stargard Szczeciński – Grom Nowy Staw
24 Oct	Kalisz – Polonia Środa

All III Liga - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

18 Oct	Wda Świecie 1-0 Flota Świnoujście
18 Oct	Lech Poznań II 2-3 Polonia Środa
17 Oct	Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Kalisz
17 Oct	Kluczevia Stargard 3-2 Luzino
17 Oct	Unia Swarzędz 0-0 Victoria Września
17 Oct	Elana Toruń 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik