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Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#71.6:1.62-3FT18/10 · Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki2.4:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90B365X3.90B36522.17PINMargin at best6.2%Books5Markets41Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor2.803.802.109.6%
1xBet2.763.722.0911.0%
Marathonbet2.703.722.0712.2%
Pinnacle2.673.462.1712.4%
Bet3652.903.901.9112.5%
Best of all books2.903.902.176.2%
Average2.773.722.0711.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lech Poznań IIPolonia Środa
Last 10#7Table position#11.50Points per game2.547Form pts · last 5111.6Goals for · last 52.41.6Goals against · last 51.040Attack rating6038Defence rating6242Form rating5885H2H rating1519Goals model8149Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

Lech Poznań II

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against

18 OctHPolonia Środa2-3L
14 OctHWda Świecie1-4L
10 OctAKalisz4-2W
19 SepAElana Toruń0-0D
12 SepHNoteć Czarnków2-1W
4 SepAUnia Swarzędz1-1D
29 AugHGrom Nowy Staw2-4L
23 AugAGedania Gdansk3-2W
19 AugHLipno Stęszew1-0W
15 AugAStargard Szczeciński2-4L

Polonia Środa

7W 3D 0L · goals 29:18 · per match 2.9 for, 1.8 against

18 OctALech Poznań II3-2W
9 OctHKluczevia Stargard2-0W
3 OctAWda Świecie4-0W
26 SepHElana Toruń2-2D
19 SepANoteć Czarnków0-0D
11 SepHUnia Swarzędz4-3W
5 SepAGrom Nowy Staw4-4D
1 SepHSandecja Nowy Sącz3-2W
28 AugHGedania Gdansk4-3W
22 AugALipno Stęszew3-2W

Head to head

3Lech Poznań II wins
2draws
0Polonia Środa wins

5 meetings · goals 10:4 · last 5: 3W 2D 0L for Lech Poznań II

21 Mar 2026III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Lech Poznań II1-1Polonia Środa
31 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Polonia Środa1-4Lech Poznań II
2 May 2025III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Lech Poznań II1-1Polonia Środa
4 Oct 2024III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Polonia Środa1-3Lech Poznań II
14 Feb 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsLech Poznań II1-0Polonia Środa

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Lech Poznań II sit 7th with 18 points from 12 games, while Polonia Środa are 1st with 33 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Polonia Środa13103038:18+2033
2Luzino1391336:16+2028
3Wda Świecie1373320:18+224
4Kluczevia Stargard1271422:20+222
5Stargard Szczeciński1354432:25+719
6Bałtyk Koszalin1354419:16+319
7Lech Poznań II1253424:24018
8Noteć Czarnków1352619:19017
9Kalisz1345418:20-217
10Grom Nowy Staw1351730:29+116
11Elana Toruń1344520:23-316
12Unia Swarzędz1343621:20+115
13Gedania Gdansk1336428:28015
14Flota Świnoujście1342715:22-714
15Chemik Bydgoszcz1326519:26-712
16Victoria Września1326512:23-1112
17Lipno Stęszew1332816:26-1011
18Kotwica Kórnik1332820:36-1611

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.77X24%3.72243%2.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 18:5018 Oct 00:301 2.76X 3.712 2.08
12.96 → 2.76 -6.8%X3.86 → 3.71 -3.9%21.92 → 2.08 +8.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
Pinnacle1.402.649.3%
1xBet1.372.6610.6%
Marathonbet1.372.6610.6%
Best of all books1.442.755.8%
Average1.402.679.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
1xBet1.362.829.0%
Marathonbet1.362.759.9%
Best of all books1.362.888.3%
Average1.362.829.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lech Poznań II 10%Draw 45%Polonia Środa 45%

The statistical model rated Lech Poznań II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Polonia Środa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.77 | 3.72 | 2.07, which imply roughly 26.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Lech Poznań II are 7th (18 pts, 24-24 goals), Polonia Środa 1st (33 pts, 38-18).

Over their last five matches, Lech Poznań II averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Polonia Środa averaged 2.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Polonia Środa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.773.722.07

Double chance

1XX212
1.621.321.17

Draw no bet

12
2.261.59

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.362.82

1st half

1X2
3.242.442.50

2nd half

1X2
2.942.822.37

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.5014.521.5
HT X7.706.955.80
HT 225.014.03.03

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0520.51.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0110.5
1.51.125.18
2.51.402.67
3.52.001.70
4.53.271.27
5.56.431.09
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.50
21.124.75
2.251.253.28
2.751.472.40
31.592.14
3.251.801.87
3.752.241.54
42.641.38
4.252.921.31
55.101.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.631.40
-0.252.381.48
02.101.63
+0.251.831.86
+0.51.682.08
+0.751.462.42
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.55.201.10
-14.401.14
-0.753.201.26
+11.302.99
+1.251.253.28
+1.51.203.68
+21.056.45
+2.51.037.20

Next III Liga - Group 2 matches

24 OctBałtyk Koszalin – Elana Toruń
24 OctChemik Bydgoszcz – Unia Swarzędz
24 OctLuzino – Lech Poznań II
24 OctKotwica Kórnik – Wda Świecie
24 OctLipno Stęszew – Gedania Gdansk
24 OctStargard Szczeciński – Grom Nowy Staw

All III Liga - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

18 OctWda Świecie 1-0 Flota Świnoujście
17 OctLipno Stęszew 1-0 Kalisz
17 OctKluczevia Stargard 3-2 Luzino
17 OctUnia Swarzędz 0-0 Victoria Września
17 OctElana Toruń 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik
17 OctGedania Gdansk 2-2 Stargard Szczeciński