Kalisz vs Polonia Środa• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#90.8:2.212:00Today · Stadion Miejski, Kalisz2.2:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.241XBX4.05MAR21.75BTNMargin at best5.4%Books7Markets42Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.95	3.95	1.74	8.1%
BetVictor	4.20	4.00	1.65	9.4%
1xBet	4.24	4.05	1.60	10.8%
Betano	3.75	3.70	1.75	10.8%
Marathonbet	4.15	4.05	1.58	12.1%
Bet365	3.60	4.00	1.67	12.7%
Pinnacle	4.11	3.96	1.58	12.9%
Best of all books	4.24	4.05	1.75	5.4%
Average	4.00	3.96	1.65	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KaliszPolonia Środa

Last 10#9Table position#11.31Points per game2.544Form pts · last 5110.8Goals for · last 52.22.2Goals against · last 50.827Attack rating7327Defence rating7327Form rating730H2H rating10035Goals model6532Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:10 UTC

Kalisz

2W 4D 4L · goals 14:18 · per match 1.4 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	A	Lipno Stęszew	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Lech Poznań II	2-4	L
3 Oct	A	Stargard Szczeciński	0-5	L
27 Sep	H	Kluczevia Stargard	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Chemik Bydgoszcz	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Wda Świecie	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Victoria Września	3-3	D
29 Aug	H	Elana Toruń	5-1	W
23 Aug	A	Bałtyk Koszalin	1-1	D
19 Aug	H	Noteć Czarnków	0-1	L

Polonia Środa

7W 3D 0L · goals 29:18 · per match 2.9 for, 1.8 against

18 Oct	A	Lech Poznań II	3-2	W
9 Oct	H	Kluczevia Stargard	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Wda Świecie	4-0	W
26 Sep	H	Elana Toruń	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Noteć Czarnków	0-0	D
11 Sep	H	Unia Swarzędz	4-3	W
5 Sep	A	Grom Nowy Staw	4-4	D
1 Sep	H	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3-2	W
28 Aug	H	Gedania Gdansk	4-3	W
22 Aug	A	Lipno Stęszew	3-2	W

Head to head

0Kalisz wins

0draws

1Polonia Środa wins

1 meeting · goals 3:4 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Kalisz

17 Feb 2023Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Kalisz3-4Polonia Środa

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Kalisz sit 9th with 17 points from 13 games, while Polonia Środa are 1st with 33 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	13	10	3	0	38:18	+20	33
2	Luzino	13	9	1	3	36:16	+20	28
3	Wda Świecie	13	7	3	3	20:18	+2	24
4	Kluczevia Stargard	12	7	1	4	22:20	+2	22
5	Stargard Szczeciński	13	5	4	4	32:25	+7	19
6	Bałtyk Koszalin	13	5	4	4	19:16	+3	19
7	Lech Poznań II	12	5	3	4	24:24	0	18
8	Noteć Czarnków	13	5	2	6	19:19	0	17
9	Kalisz	13	4	5	4	18:20	-2	17
10	Grom Nowy Staw	13	5	1	7	30:29	+1	16
11	Elana Toruń	13	4	4	5	20:23	-3	16
12	Unia Swarzędz	13	4	3	6	21:20	+1	15
13	Gedania Gdansk	13	3	6	4	28:28	0	15
14	Flota Świnoujście	13	4	2	7	15:22	-7	14
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	13	2	6	5	19:26	-7	12
16	Victoria Września	13	2	6	5	12:23	-11	12
17	Lipno Stęszew	13	3	2	8	16:26	-10	11
18	Kotwica Kórnik	13	3	2	8	20:36	-16	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%4.00X23%3.96255%1.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.56 → 4.00 +12.4%X3.79 → 3.96 +4.5%21.78 → 1.65 -7.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.45	2.46	9.6%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.45	2.49	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
1xBet	1.47	2.44	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.39	9.9%
Best of all books	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Average	1.47	2.43	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kalisz 10%Draw 45%Polonia Środa 45%

The statistical model rates Kalisz at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Polonia Środa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.00 | 3.96 | 1.65, which imply roughly 25.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Kalisz are 9th (17 pts, 18-20 goals), Polonia Środa 1st (33 pts, 38-18).

Over their last five matches, Kalisz averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Polonia Środa averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Polonia Środa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.00	3.96	1.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.00	1.18	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
3.03	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.43

1st half

1	X	2
4.21	2.41	2.16

2nd half

1	X	2
4.01	2.82	1.94

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.30	15.2	19.7
HT X	8.98	6.67	4.85
HT 2	32.0	14.8	2.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.46	20.0	1.52

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.13	4.97
2.5	1.45	2.49
3.5	2.16	1.59
4.5	3.65	1.21
5.5	7.00	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.14	4.33
2.25	1.28	3.05
2.75	1.55	2.22
3	1.72	1.95
3.25	1.93	1.75
3.75	2.43	1.46
4	2.96	1.31
4.25	3.28	1.25
5	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.52	1.42
+0.5	2.08	1.63
+0.75	1.91	1.78
+1	1.68	2.03
+1.25	1.51	2.30
+1.5	1.41	2.55

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.10	1.02
-1	8.50	1.01
-0.75	4.65	1.12
-0.25	3.72	1.20
0	3.28	1.25
+1.75	1.29	3.03
+2	1.16	4.15
+2.5	1.11	4.90

Next III Liga - Group 2 matches

24 Oct	Bałtyk Koszalin – Elana Toruń
24 Oct	Chemik Bydgoszcz – Unia Swarzędz
24 Oct	Luzino – Lech Poznań II
24 Oct	Kotwica Kórnik – Wda Świecie
24 Oct	Lipno Stęszew – Gedania Gdansk
24 Oct	Stargard Szczeciński – Grom Nowy Staw

All III Liga - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

18 Oct	Wda Świecie 1-0 Flota Świnoujście
18 Oct	Lech Poznań II 2-3 Polonia Środa
17 Oct	Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Kalisz
17 Oct	Kluczevia Stargard 3-2 Luzino
17 Oct	Unia Swarzędz 0-0 Victoria Września
17 Oct	Elana Toruń 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik