Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#132.2:1.42-2FT17/102.8:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.431XBX3.90B36521.85B365Margin at best8.8%Books5Markets42Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	3.40	3.90	1.83	9.7%
1xBet	3.43	3.82	1.80	10.9%
Bet365	3.20	3.90	1.85	10.9%
Marathonbet	3.35	3.82	1.78	12.2%
Pinnacle	3.37	3.76	1.78	12.4%
Best of all books	3.43	3.90	1.85	8.8%
Average	3.35	3.84	1.81	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gedania GdanskStargard Szczeciński

Last 10#13Table position#51.15Points per game1.468Form pts · last 562.2Goals for · last 52.81.4Goals against · last 51.644Attack rating5653Defence rating4750Form rating5060H2H rating4047Goals model5351Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

Gedania Gdansk

2W 4D 4L · goals 20:22 · per match 2.0 for, 2.2 against

17 Oct	H	Stargard Szczeciński	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Chemik Bydgoszcz	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Victoria Września	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Bałtyk Koszalin	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Kotwica Kórnik	6-1	W
12 Sep	A	Flota Świnoujście	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Luzino	0-4	L
28 Aug	A	Polonia Środa	3-4	L
23 Aug	H	Lech Poznań II	2-3	L
19 Aug	A	Kluczevia Stargard	2-2	D

Stargard Szczeciński

4W 3D 3L · goals 26:20 · per match 2.6 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	A	Gedania Gdansk	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Lipno Stęszew	3-4	L
3 Oct	H	Kalisz	5-0	W
26 Sep	A	Chemik Bydgoszcz	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Victoria Września	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Bałtyk Koszalin	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Kotwica Kórnik	2-4	L
29 Aug	A	Flota Świnoujście	5-1	W
23 Aug	H	Luzino	2-1	W
19 Aug	A	Polonia Środa	1-4	L

Head to head

3Gedania Gdansk wins

0draws

3Stargard Szczeciński wins

6 meetings · goals 10:12 · last 6: 3W 0D 3L for Gedania Gdansk

23 Nov 2024III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Stargard Szczeciński2-1Gedania Gdansk
3 Aug 2024III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Gedania Gdansk0-2Stargard Szczeciński
25 May 2024III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Gedania Gdansk3-1Stargard Szczeciński
4 Nov 2023III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Stargard Szczeciński1-2Gedania Gdansk
4 Mar 2023III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Stargard Szczeciński1-2Gedania Gdansk
6 Aug 2022III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Gedania Gdansk2-5Stargard Szczeciński

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Gedania Gdansk sit 13th with 15 points from 13 games, while Stargard Szczeciński are 5th with 19 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	13	10	3	0	38:18	+20	33
2	Luzino	13	9	1	3	36:16	+20	28
3	Wda Świecie	13	7	3	3	20:18	+2	24
4	Kluczevia Stargard	12	7	1	4	22:20	+2	22
5	Stargard Szczeciński	13	5	4	4	32:25	+7	19
6	Bałtyk Koszalin	13	5	4	4	19:16	+3	19
7	Lech Poznań II	12	5	3	4	24:24	0	18
8	Noteć Czarnków	13	5	2	6	19:19	0	17
9	Kalisz	13	4	5	4	18:20	-2	17
10	Grom Nowy Staw	13	5	1	7	30:29	+1	16
11	Elana Toruń	13	4	4	5	20:23	-3	16
12	Unia Swarzędz	13	4	3	6	21:20	+1	15
13	Gedania Gdansk	13	3	6	4	28:28	0	15
14	Flota Świnoujście	13	4	2	7	15:22	-7	14
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	13	2	6	5	19:26	-7	12
16	Victoria Września	13	2	6	5	12:23	-11	12
17	Lipno Stęszew	13	3	2	8	16:26	-10	11
18	Kotwica Kórnik	13	3	2	8	20:36	-16	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.35X23%3.84250%1.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.20 → 3.35 +4.7%X3.84 → 3.84 0.0%21.84 → 1.81 -1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
Pinnacle	1.38	2.69	9.6%
1xBet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Best of all books	1.44	3.00	2.8%
Average	1.36	2.79	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.34	2.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.34	2.83	10.0%
Best of all books	1.34	3.00	8.0%
Average	1.34	2.91	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gedania Gdansk 45%Draw 45%Stargard Szczeciński 10%

The statistical model rated Gedania Gdansk at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Stargard Szczeciński at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.35 | 3.84 | 1.81, which imply roughly 29.9% for a Gedania Gdansk win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Gedania Gdansk are 13th (15 pts, 28-28 goals), Stargard Szczeciński 5th (19 pts, 32-25).

Over their last five matches, Gedania Gdansk averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Stargard Szczeciński averaged 2.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Gedania Gdansk or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.35	3.84	1.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.79	1.24	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
2.57	1.47

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.34	2.91

1st half

1	X	2
3.61	2.48	2.33

2nd half

1	X	2
3.43	2.90	2.08

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.10	14.0	20.0
HT X	8.35	7.05	5.45
HT 2	27.5	14.0	2.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.17	22.0	1.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.09	6.10
2.5	1.36	2.79
3.5	1.90	1.78
4.5	3.07	1.30
5.5	5.15	1.12

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
2	1.09	5.25
2.25	1.22	3.50
2.75	1.42	2.51
3	1.51	2.29
3.25	1.70	1.98
3.75	2.11	1.61
4	2.45	1.45
4.25	2.74	1.36
5	4.80	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.62	1.41
+0.25	2.14	1.59
+0.5	1.90	1.83
+0.75	1.68	2.00
+1	1.48	2.36
+1.25	1.38	2.64

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.90	1.04
-1	6.00	1.06
-0.75	4.20	1.16
-0.25	2.95	1.31
+1.5	1.30	2.97
+2	1.11	4.95
+2.5	1.08	5.70
+3	1.07	6.40

Next III Liga - Group 2 matches

24 Oct	Bałtyk Koszalin – Elana Toruń
24 Oct	Chemik Bydgoszcz – Unia Swarzędz
24 Oct	Luzino – Lech Poznań II
24 Oct	Kotwica Kórnik – Wda Świecie
24 Oct	Lipno Stęszew – Gedania Gdansk
24 Oct	Stargard Szczeciński – Grom Nowy Staw

All III Liga - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

18 Oct	Wda Świecie 1-0 Flota Świnoujście
18 Oct	Lech Poznań II 2-3 Polonia Środa
17 Oct	Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Kalisz
17 Oct	Kluczevia Stargard 3-2 Luzino
17 Oct	Unia Swarzędz 0-0 Victoria Września
17 Oct	Elana Toruń 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik