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Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#81.2:1.42-2FT17/102.0:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30B365X3.40BVC22.971XBMargin at best6.6%Books5Markets45Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:04 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor2.253.402.809.6%
1xBet2.153.262.9710.9%
Bet3652.303.302.6211.9%
Marathonbet2.133.262.8912.2%
Pinnacle2.133.152.9612.5%
Best of all books2.303.402.976.6%
Average2.193.272.8511.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ballinamallard UnitedWarrenpoint Town
Last 10#8Table position#71.55Points per game1.558Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 51.038Attack rating6342Defence rating5844Form rating560H2H rating10039Goals model6135Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:50 UTC

Ballinamallard United

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

10 OctAQueen's University1-0W
3 OctHArds1-1D
26 SepANewington Youth0-4L
19 SepAH&W Welders3-1W
12 SepHGlenavon FC1-1D
5 SepALoughgall6-1W
29 AugHAnnagh United1-3L
22 AugHDundela2-1W
15 AugAMoyola Park0-2L
11 AugAInstitute2-1W

Warrenpoint Town

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

17 OctABallinamallard United2-2D
10 OctHStrabane Athletic1-0W
3 OctHAnnagh United1-1D
25 SepARathfriland2-0W
19 SepAInstitute0-2L
12 SepHMoyola Park6-2W
5 SepHNewington Youth0-1L
28 AugALoughgall3-3D
21 AugANewry City AFC3-0W
15 AugHArds1-3L

Head to head

2Ballinamallard United wins
4draws
7Warrenpoint Town wins

13 meetings · goals 13:20 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Ballinamallard United

18 Apr 2026ChampionshipChampionshipBallinamallard United0-1Warrenpoint Town
24 Feb 2026ChampionshipChampionshipWarrenpoint Town1-0Ballinamallard United
13 Dec 2025ChampionshipChampionshipBallinamallard United0-4Warrenpoint Town
4 Oct 2025ChampionshipChampionshipWarrenpoint Town4-1Ballinamallard United
25 Feb 2023ChampionshipChampionshipWarrenpoint Town2-1Ballinamallard United
4 Feb 2023ChampionshipChampionshipBallinamallard United1-1Warrenpoint Town
8 Nov 2022ChampionshipChampionshipWarrenpoint Town1-1Ballinamallard United
31 Jul 2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBallinamallard United3-0Warrenpoint Town
29 Aug 2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBallinamallard United2-2Warrenpoint Town
7 Apr 2018PremiershipPremiershipBallinamallard United2-0Warrenpoint Town

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 16 Oct 23:50 UTC

In the Championship table, Ballinamallard United sit 8th with 17 points from 11 games, while Warrenpoint Town are 7th with 17 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Glenavon FC1273230:14+1624
2Newington Youth1272327:22+523
3Annagh United1164125:14+1122
4Institute1262422:17+520
5Queen's University1161420:8+1219
6Newry City AFC1153319:19018
7Warrenpoint Town1152419:15+417
8Ballinamallard United1152417:16+117
9H&W Welders1251618:20-216
10Ards1243514:15-115
11Loughgall1235416:22-614
12Moyola Park1242614:24-1014
13Dundela1125419:23-411
14Strabane Athletic1224611:21-1010
15Rathfriland1130811:23-129
16Armagh City110569:18-95

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.19X27%3.27232%2.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 21:1017 Oct 08:011 2.18X 3.272 2.86
12.32 → 2.18 -6.0%X3.36 → 3.27 -2.7%22.66 → 2.86 +7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.802.005.6%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
Pinnacle1.751.948.7%
1xBet1.741.949.0%
Marathonbet1.741.949.0%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.761.958.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.602.159.0%
BetVictor1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.602.119.9%
Best of all books1.672.156.4%
Average1.622.138.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ballinamallard United 10%Draw 45%Warrenpoint Town 45%

The statistical model rated Ballinamallard United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Warrenpoint Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.19 | 3.27 | 2.85, which imply roughly 30.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Ballinamallard United are 8th (17 pts, 17-16 goals), Warrenpoint Town 7th (17 pts, 19-15).

Over their last five matches, Ballinamallard United averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Warrenpoint Town averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Warrenpoint Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.193.272.85

Double chance

1XX212
1.331.531.24

Draw no bet

12
1.702.05

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.13

1st half

1X2
2.782.143.47

2nd half

1X2
2.532.493.08

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.7815.327.0
HT X6.005.306.60
HT 224.515.34.37

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8610.72.08

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0111.9
1.51.223.64
2.51.761.95
3.52.771.36
4.55.001.13
5.58.501.05
6.513.01.01
7.521.0–
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.30
1.751.263.20
21.332.85
2.251.542.23
2.751.931.75
32.251.53
3.252.501.42
3.753.341.24
44.401.14
4.254.501.16

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.531.43
-0.52.241.61
-0.251.911.78
01.652.09
+0.251.472.46
+0.51.392.80
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.001.02
-27.301.03
-1.755.901.13
-1.54.151.18
-1.253.751.22
-13.301.27
+0.751.253.43
+11.134.80
+1.251.154.80
+1.51.105.70
+1.751.107.00

Latest Championship results

17 OctArmagh City 1-3 Annagh United
16 OctArds 0-2 Institute
16 OctGlenavon FC 4-0 H&W Welders
16 OctMoyola Park 2-3 Newington Youth
16 OctStrabane Athletic 1-1 Loughgall
10 OctAnnagh United 1-1 Glenavon FC