Moyola Park vs Newington Youth• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#111.0:2.018:45Today1.8:3.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.40B365X3.92PIN21.871XBMargin at best8.4%Books6Markets56Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 13:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	3.40	3.80	1.85	9.8%
1xBet	3.28	3.72	1.87	10.8%
Bet365	3.40	3.70	1.83	11.1%
Marathonbet	3.20	3.72	1.85	12.2%
Pinnacle	3.02	3.92	1.85	12.7%
William Hill	3.25	3.50	1.85	13.4%
Best of all books	3.40	3.92	1.87	8.4%
Average	3.26	3.73	1.85	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Moyola ParkNewington Youth

Last 10#11Table position#31.27Points per game1.827Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 53.036Attack rating6460Defence rating4064Form rating3615H2H rating8549Goals model5143Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 18:02 UTC

Moyola Park

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	A	Loughgall	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Glenavon FC	0-3	L
26 Sep	A	Queen's University	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Ards	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Warrenpoint Town	2-6	L
5 Sep	H	H&W Welders	1-4	L
28 Aug	H	Armagh City	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Annagh United	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Ballinamallard United	2-0	W
11 Aug	H	Strabane Athletic	1-3	L

Newington Youth

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:19 · per match 2.0 for, 1.9 against

9 Oct	H	Ards	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Institute	0-7	L
26 Sep	H	Ballinamallard United	4-0	W
19 Sep	A	Glenavon FC	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Dundela	5-5	D
5 Sep	A	Warrenpoint Town	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Strabane Athletic	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Rathfriland	4-0	W
15 Aug	H	Queen's University	2-1	W
11 Aug	A	Loughgall	2-2	D

Head to head

2Moyola Park wins

1draws

4Newington Youth wins

7 meetings · goals 13:16 · last 7: 2W 1D 4L for Moyola Park

9 Apr 2022Premier Intermediate League	Premier Intermediate League	Newington Youth5-2Moyola Park
17 Dec 2021Premier Intermediate League	Premier Intermediate League	Moyola Park2-2Newington Youth
12 Oct 2019Premier Intermediate League	Premier Intermediate League	Moyola Park1-2Newington Youth
23 Mar 2019Premier Intermediate League	Premier Intermediate League	Moyola Park0-1Newington Youth
18 Aug 2018Premier Intermediate League	Premier Intermediate League	Newington Youth4-0Moyola Park
6 Mar 2018Premier Intermediate League	Premier Intermediate League	Moyola Park5-2Newington Youth
11 Nov 2017Premier Intermediate League	Premier Intermediate League	Newington Youth0-3Moyola Park

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 16 Oct 17:41 UTC

In the Championship table, Moyola Park sit 11th with 14 points from 11 games, while Newington Youth are 3rd with 20 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	11	6	4	1	25:14	+11	22
2	Glenavon FC	11	6	3	2	26:14	+12	21
3	Newington Youth	11	6	2	3	24:20	+4	20
4	Queen's University	11	6	1	4	20:8	+12	19
5	Newry City AFC	11	5	3	3	19:19	0	18
6	Warrenpoint Town	11	5	2	4	19:15	+4	17
7	Institute	11	5	2	4	20:17	+3	17
8	Ballinamallard United	11	5	2	4	17:16	+1	17
9	H&W Welders	11	5	1	5	18:16	+2	16
10	Ards	11	4	3	4	14:13	+1	15
11	Moyola Park	11	4	2	5	12:21	-9	14
12	Loughgall	11	3	4	4	15:21	-6	13
13	Dundela	11	2	5	4	19:23	-4	11
14	Strabane Athletic	11	2	3	6	10:20	-10	9
15	Rathfriland	11	3	0	8	11:23	-12	9
16	Armagh City	11	0	5	6	9:18	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.26X24%3.73248%1.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.15 → 3.26 -21.4%X4.01 → 3.73 -7.0%21.64 → 1.85 +12.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.45	2.45	9.8%
1xBet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Average	1.46	2.45	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.43	2.56	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
BetVictor	1.40	2.63	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.50	9.9%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.44	2.54	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Moyola Park 10%Draw 45%Newington Youth 45%

The statistical model rates Moyola Park at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Newington Youth at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.26 | 3.73 | 1.85, which imply roughly 26.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Moyola Park are 11th (14 pts, 12-21 goals), Newington Youth 3rd (20 pts, 24-20).

Over their last five matches, Moyola Park averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Newington Youth averaged 1.8 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Newington Youth.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.26	3.73	1.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.85	1.23	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
3.01	1.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.54

1st half

1	X	2
3.55	2.43	2.34

2nd half

1	X	2
3.39	2.76	2.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.05	17.5	19.0
HT X	9.25	6.90	5.60
HT 2	29.5	14.5	2.65

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.29	19.0	1.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	18.0
1.5	1.13	5.00
2.5	1.46	2.45
3.5	2.14	1.62
4.5	3.58	1.23
5.5	6.50	1.09
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.15	4.31
2	1.16	4.15
2.25	1.31	2.96
2.75	1.55	2.22
3	1.70	1.96
3.25	1.93	1.75
3.75	2.43	1.44
4	2.94	1.31
4.25	3.20	1.26
4.75	4.00	1.17
5	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.51	1.46
+0.25	2.08	1.65
+0.5	1.87	1.86
+0.75	1.69	2.02
+1	1.46	2.45
+1.25	1.37	2.77

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-1.5	6.47	1.07
-1.25	5.40	1.13
-1	5.72	1.09
-0.75	3.98	1.19
-0.5	2.97	1.37
-0.25	2.83	1.36
+1.5	1.30	3.13
+1.75	1.25	3.50
+2	1.11	5.25
+2.25	1.15	4.97
+2.5	1.09	5.90
+2.75	1.12	6.25
+3	1.04	7.45
+3.5	1.04	8.00