Glenavon FC vs H&W Welders• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#22.0:0.618:45Today · Mourneview Park, Lurgan1.0:2.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00B365X3.80BVC23.281XBMargin at best6.8%Books6Markets53Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 13:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.95	3.80	3.10	9.9%
1xBet	1.91	3.56	3.28	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.70	2.90	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.56	3.20	12.2%
William Hill	1.95	3.60	2.90	13.5%
Pinnacle	1.91	3.40	3.00	15.1%
Best of all books	2.00	3.80	3.28	6.8%
Average	1.93	3.60	3.06	12.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Glenavon FCH&W Welders

Last 10#2Table position#91.91Points per game1.4511Form pts · last 512.0Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 52.467Attack rating3380Defence rating2092Form rating825H2H rating7566Goals model3459Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 18:02 UTC

Glenavon FC

6W 3D 1L · goals 25:11 · per match 2.5 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Annagh United	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Moyola Park	3-0	W
25 Sep	H	Loughgall	4-1	W
19 Sep	H	Newington Youth	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Ballinamallard United	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Dundela	2-3	L
28 Aug	H	Rathfriland	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	Armagh City	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Strabane Athletic	4-1	W
11 Aug	A	Newry City AFC	4-1	W

H&W Welders

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	A	Institute	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Rathfriland	1-3	L
25 Sep	A	Newry City AFC	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Ballinamallard United	1-3	L
12 Sep	A	Annagh United	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Moyola Park	4-1	W
28 Aug	H	Dundela	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Strabane Athletic	2-1	W
15 Aug	H	Armagh City	1-0	W
11 Aug	A	Queen's University	1-2	L

Head to head

1Glenavon FC wins

0draws

3H&W Welders wins

4 meetings · goals 3:9 · last 4: 1W 0D 3L for Glenavon FC

2 Aug 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	H&W Welders3-0Glenavon FC
3 Aug 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Glenavon FC1-4H&W Welders
4 Feb 2023Irish Cup	Irish Cup	Glenavon FC0-1H&W Welders
27 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	H&W Welders1-2Glenavon FC

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 16 Oct 17:41 UTC

In the Championship table, Glenavon FC sit 2nd with 21 points from 11 games, while H&W Welders are 9th with 16 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	11	6	4	1	25:14	+11	22
2	Glenavon FC	11	6	3	2	26:14	+12	21
3	Newington Youth	11	6	2	3	24:20	+4	20
4	Queen's University	11	6	1	4	20:8	+12	19
5	Newry City AFC	11	5	3	3	19:19	0	18
6	Warrenpoint Town	11	5	2	4	19:15	+4	17
7	Institute	11	5	2	4	20:17	+3	17
8	Ballinamallard United	11	5	2	4	17:16	+1	17
9	H&W Welders	11	5	1	5	18:16	+2	16
10	Ards	11	4	3	4	14:13	+1	15
11	Moyola Park	11	4	2	5	12:21	-9	14
12	Loughgall	11	3	4	4	15:21	-6	13
13	Dundela	11	2	5	4	19:23	-4	11
14	Strabane Athletic	11	2	3	6	10:20	-10	9
15	Rathfriland	11	3	0	8	11:23	-12	9
16	Armagh City	11	0	5	6	9:18	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.93X25%3.60229%3.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.23 → 1.93 -13.5%X3.69 → 3.60 -2.4%22.61 → 3.06 +17.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Pinnacle	1.42	2.46	11.1%
Best of all books	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Average	1.42	2.53	9.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.39	2.69	9.1%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.63	10.0%
Best of all books	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Average	1.40	2.65	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Glenavon FC 45%Draw 45%H&W Welders 10%

The statistical model rates Glenavon FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and H&W Welders at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.06, which imply roughly 51.8% for a Glenavon FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Glenavon FC are 2nd (21 pts, 26-14 goals), H&W Welders 9th (16 pts, 18-16).

Over their last five matches, Glenavon FC averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; H&W Welders averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Glenavon FC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.93	3.60	3.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.67	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.65

1st half

1	X	2
2.41	2.40	3.54

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.78	3.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.05	15.0	24.5
HT X	5.80	6.75	8.10
HT 2	18.8	15.0	4.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	19.4	2.06

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	19.0
1.5	1.12	5.25
2.5	1.42	2.53
3.5	2.07	1.65
4.5	3.39	1.25
5.5	6.00	1.11
6.5	9.00	1.04
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.50	2.27
3	1.64	2.03
3.25	1.85	1.80
3.75	2.29	1.49
4	2.75	1.34
4.25	3.05	1.28
4.75	3.80	1.19
5	5.35	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.26	1.55
-0.5	2.04	1.70
-0.25	1.72	1.96
0	1.52	2.31
+0.25	1.40	2.63
+0.5	1.45	2.68

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.04
-3	7.30	1.05
-2.5	6.15	1.06
-2.25	4.60	1.12
-2	5.40	1.09
-1.75	4.32	1.17
-1.5	3.26	1.28
-1.25	3.03	1.31
-1	2.77	1.38
+0.75	1.27	3.35
+1	1.12	5.08
+1.25	1.17	4.30
+1.5	1.09	5.95
+1.75	1.11	6.60
+2.5	1.02	9.10