Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town• League Two, England

#160.8:1.811:30Today · Memorial Stadium, Bristol1.0:1.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.66PINX4.20BFR25.25BVCMargin at best3.1%Books9Markets89Rating45 · 56Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 22:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.63	4.20	5.00	5.2%
Betfair	1.62	4.20	5.00	5.5%
Pinnacle	1.66	4.15	4.70	5.6%
BetVictor	1.57	4.20	5.25	6.6%
Bet365	1.60	4.10	5.00	6.9%
Betano	1.57	4.10	5.20	7.3%
William Hill	1.62	3.90	5.00	7.4%
1xBet	1.60	4.05	4.82	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.58	4.05	4.85	8.6%
Best of all books	1.66	4.20	5.25	3.1%
Average	1.61	4.11	4.98	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bristol RoversSwindon Town

Last 10#16Table position#151.25Points per game1.250Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 51.044Attack rating5636Defence rating6438Form rating6338H2H rating6276Goals model2445Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

Bristol Rovers

3W 0D 7L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

20 Oct	H	Salford City	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Shrewsbury	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Barnet	1-3	L
6 Oct	A	Wycombe	1-4	L
3 Oct	A	Crewe	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Exeter City	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Gillingham	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	Grimsby	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Rotherham	1-0	W
1 Sep	H	Colchester	2-0	W

Swindon Town

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

20 Oct	A	Barnet	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Walsall	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Crewe	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Rochdale	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Accrington ST	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Newport County	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Salford City	0-1	L
15 Sep	H	Crystal Palace U21	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	York	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Colchester	3-1	W

Head to head

4Bristol Rovers wins

4draws

6Swindon Town wins

14 meetings · goals 13:20 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Bristol Rovers

28 Feb 2026League Two	League Two	Swindon Town1-1Bristol Rovers
13 Dec 2025League Two	League Two	Bristol Rovers0-3Swindon Town
8 Oct 2024EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Swindon Town4-0Bristol Rovers
18 Oct 2022EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Bristol Rovers3-0Swindon Town
22 Jan 2022League Two	League Two	Swindon Town1-1Bristol Rovers
2 Oct 2021League Two	League Two	Bristol Rovers1-3Swindon Town
23 Mar 2021League One	League One	Bristol Rovers0-1Swindon Town
21 Nov 2020League One	League One	Swindon Town1-0Bristol Rovers
13 Nov 2019EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Bristol Rovers1-0Swindon Town
8 Nov 2017EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Bristol Rovers2-4Swindon Town

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 24 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the League Two table, Bristol Rovers sit 16th with 15 points from 12 games, while Swindon Town are 15th with 15 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	12	8	1	3	19:12	+7	25
2	Barnet	10	6	3	1	23:15	+8	21
3	Crewe	12	5	6	1	15:11	+4	21
4	Walsall	11	4	7	0	16:7	+9	19
5	Cheltenham	12	5	3	4	21:22	-1	18
6	York	11	4	5	2	19:13	+6	17
7	Gillingham	12	4	5	3	17:14	+3	17
8	Shrewsbury	12	5	2	5	13:17	-4	17
9	Chesterfield	12	4	4	4	18:16	+2	16
10	Exeter City	12	4	4	4	8:6	+2	16
11	Accrington ST	12	3	6	3	17:16	+1	15
12	Newport County	12	3	6	3	16:15	+1	15
13	Tranmere	12	3	6	3	15:15	0	15
14	Rochdale	12	4	3	5	15:17	-2	15
15	Swindon Town	12	4	3	5	13:16	-3	15
16	Bristol Rovers	12	5	0	7	16:20	-4	15
17	Grimsby	12	3	5	4	15:15	0	14
18	Fleetwood Town	12	3	5	4	14:15	-1	14
19	Colchester	11	2	6	3	11:14	-3	12
20	Port Vale	10	3	3	4	6:10	-4	12
21	Oldham	11	3	2	6	13:17	-4	11
22	Rotherham	12	2	5	5	14:20	-6	11
23	Northampton	10	2	4	4	6:8	-2	10
24	Crawley Town	10	1	2	7	11:20	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.61X23%4.11219%4.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.57 → 1.61 +2.5%X3.97 → 4.11 +3.5%25.22 → 4.98 -4.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.26	4.9%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.21	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.21	7.4%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Average	1.62	2.23	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.64	2.13	7.9%
Betano	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.10	8.6%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.65	2.12	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bristol Rovers 10%Draw 45%Swindon Town 45%

The statistical model rates Bristol Rovers at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Swindon Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 4.11 | 4.98, which imply roughly 24.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Bristol Rovers are 16th (15 pts, 16-20 goals), Swindon Town 15th (15 pts, 13-16).

Over their last five matches, Bristol Rovers averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Swindon Town averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Swindon Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	4.11	4.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.27	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
2.09	2.40	4.93

2nd half

1	X	2
1.90	2.76	4.62

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.34	15.3	43.4
HT X	4.44	6.40	11.1
HT 2	21.0	16.4	8.42

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	15.6	2.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.9
1.5	1.17	4.50
2.5	1.62	2.23
3.5	2.50	1.48
4.5	4.53	1.17
5.5	8.68	1.04
6.5	16.4	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.20
1.25	1.06	6.15
1.75	1.18	3.91
2	1.25	3.36
2.25	1.44	2.60
2.75	1.76	1.97
3	1.99	1.73
3.25	2.25	1.56
3.75	2.88	1.33
4	3.80	1.19
4.25	4.16	1.16
4.75	5.70	1.08
5	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.55	1.46
-1.25	2.28	1.56
-1	2.00	1.77
-0.75	1.73	1.99
-0.5	1.59	2.30
-0.25	1.40	2.71

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.50	1.02
-3	8.95	1.02
-2.75	6.32	1.08
-2.5	4.86	1.14
-2.25	4.47	1.15
-2	4.07	1.20
-1.75	3.09	1.32
0	1.24	3.66
+0.25	1.19	4.22
+0.5	1.18	4.80
+0.75	1.08	6.33
+1	1.04	7.90
+1.5	1.02	9.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.32
7.5	1.13	4.35
8.5	1.33	2.95
9.5	1.58	2.24
10.5	1.96	1.77
11.5	2.51	1.46
12.5	3.45	1.25
13.5	4.85	1.10
14.5	7.24	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.04
7	1.02	6.76
7.25	1.08	5.23
7.75	1.15	4.14
8	1.17	3.94
8.25	1.24	3.32
8.75	1.36	2.78
9	1.40	2.62
9.25	1.50	2.37
9.75	1.67	2.07
10	1.74	2.03
10.25	1.86	1.84
10.75	2.09	1.66
11	2.19	1.62
11.25	2.37	1.50
11.75	2.73	1.37
12	3.06	1.29
12.25	3.22	1.26
12.75	3.82	1.18
13	4.48	1.12
13.25	4.66	1.11
13.75	5.68	1.06
14	6.99	1.02
14.25	7.03	1.02

Next League Two matches

24 Oct	Northampton – Colchester
24 Oct	Cheltenham – Newport County
24 Oct	Crawley Town – Tranmere
24 Oct	Gillingham – Grimsby
24 Oct	Chesterfield – Crewe
24 Oct	Barnet – Oldham

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

20 Oct	Gillingham 1-1 Port Vale
20 Oct	Crawley Town 2-3 Shrewsbury
20 Oct	Chesterfield 1-1 Colchester
20 Oct	Northampton 0-1 Tranmere
20 Oct	Exeter City 2-0 Crewe
20 Oct	Barnet 1-3 Swindon Town