Northampton vs Colchester• League Two, England

#230.6:1.011:30Today · Sixfields Stadium, Northampton0.8:1.0#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.011XBX3.27PIN23.90PINMargin at best6.0%Books9Markets75Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 22:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.07	3.30	3.75	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.03	3.31	3.82	5.7%
Betfair	2.05	3.20	3.90	5.7%
BetVictor	2.00	3.30	3.80	6.6%
Betano	2.05	3.25	3.60	7.3%
Bet365	2.00	3.25	3.75	7.4%
1xBet	2.01	3.22	3.68	8.0%
William Hill	2.00	3.20	3.70	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.22	3.66	8.6%
Best of all books	2.07	3.31	3.90	4.2%
Average	2.02	3.25	3.74	7.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NorthamptonColchester

Last 10#23Table position#191.00Points per game1.094Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.043Attack rating5750Defence rating5050Form rating5093H2H rating745Goals model5560Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

Northampton

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:10 · per match 0.7 for, 1.0 against

20 Oct	H	Tranmere	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Grimsby	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	York	1-1	D
6 Oct	A	Cambridge United	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Rotherham	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Shrewsbury	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Newport County	1-0	W
1 Sep	H	Crawley Town	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Gillingham	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Crewe	0-1	L

Colchester

0W 6D 4L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

20 Oct	A	Chesterfield	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Exeter City	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Newport County	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Luton	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Shrewsbury	2-2	D
22 Sep	A	Peterborough	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Cheltenham	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Crewe	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Swindon Town	1-3	L
1 Sep	A	Bristol Rovers	0-2	L

Head to head

7Northampton wins

0draws

2Colchester wins

9 meetings · goals 15:11 · last 9: 7W 0D 2L for Northampton

25 Feb 2023League Two	League Two	Colchester0-1Northampton
30 Jul 2022League Two	League Two	Northampton3-2Colchester
19 Feb 2022League Two	League Two	Northampton3-0Colchester
14 Aug 2021League Two	League Two	Colchester0-1Northampton
24 Aug 2019League Two	League Two	Colchester1-0Northampton
2 Feb 2019League Two	League Two	Northampton0-4Colchester
25 Aug 2018League Two	League Two	Colchester1-2Northampton
1 Sep 2015EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Northampton3-2Colchester
9 Oct 2012EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Northampton2-1Colchester

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 24 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the League Two table, Northampton sit 23rd with 10 points from 10 games, while Colchester are 19th with 12 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	12	8	1	3	19:12	+7	25
2	Barnet	10	6	3	1	23:15	+8	21
3	Crewe	12	5	6	1	15:11	+4	21
4	Walsall	11	4	7	0	16:7	+9	19
5	Cheltenham	12	5	3	4	21:22	-1	18
6	York	11	4	5	2	19:13	+6	17
7	Gillingham	12	4	5	3	17:14	+3	17
8	Shrewsbury	12	5	2	5	13:17	-4	17
9	Chesterfield	12	4	4	4	18:16	+2	16
10	Exeter City	12	4	4	4	8:6	+2	16
11	Accrington ST	12	3	6	3	17:16	+1	15
12	Newport County	12	3	6	3	16:15	+1	15
13	Tranmere	12	3	6	3	15:15	0	15
14	Rochdale	12	4	3	5	15:17	-2	15
15	Swindon Town	12	4	3	5	13:16	-3	15
16	Bristol Rovers	12	5	0	7	16:20	-4	15
17	Grimsby	12	3	5	4	15:15	0	14
18	Fleetwood Town	12	3	5	4	14:15	-1	14
19	Colchester	11	2	6	3	11:14	-3	12
20	Port Vale	10	3	3	4	6:10	-4	12
21	Oldham	11	3	2	6	13:17	-4	11
22	Rotherham	12	2	5	5	14:20	-6	11
23	Northampton	10	2	4	4	6:8	-2	10
24	Crawley Town	10	1	2	7	11:20	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.98X29%3.23225%3.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.09 → 1.98 -5.3%X3.25 → 3.23 -0.6%23.39 → 3.71 +9.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.16	1.70	5.1%
Betano	2.22	1.65	5.7%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	2.14	1.65	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.14	1.65	7.3%
BetVictor	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Best of all books	2.22	1.70	3.9%
Average	2.15	1.66	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
William Hill	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.82	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.80	8.7%
Best of all books	1.93	1.90	4.4%
Average	1.90	1.82	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Northampton 45%Draw 45%Colchester 10%

The statistical model rates Northampton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Colchester at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.98 | 3.23 | 3.71, which imply roughly 50.5% for a Northampton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Northampton are 23rd (10 pts, 6-8 goals), Colchester 19th (12 pts, 11-14).

Over their last five matches, Northampton averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Colchester averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Northampton or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.02	3.25	3.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.73	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
2.64	2.04	4.36

2nd half

1	X	2
2.40	2.30	3.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.20	14.6	39.4
HT X	4.90	4.59	7.94
HT 2	27.8	15.0	6.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	7.90	2.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.95
1.5	1.36	2.91
2.5	2.15	1.66
3.5	3.88	1.22
4.5	7.90	1.05
5.5	16.4	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.05	6.40
1.25	1.19	3.79
1.75	1.45	2.55
2	1.61	2.18
2.25	1.86	1.86
2.75	2.44	1.49
3	3.01	1.30
3.25	3.36	1.25
3.75	4.76	1.12
4	6.75	1.04
4.25	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.99	1.35
-0.75	2.30	1.56
-0.5	2.01	1.79
-0.25	1.70	2.05
0	1.43	2.67
+0.25	1.31	3.15

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.57	1.03
-2.25	7.70	1.02
-2	7.30	1.03
-1.75	4.90	1.13
-1.5	3.84	1.22
-1.25	3.43	1.27
+0.5	1.26	3.80
+0.75	1.15	4.71
+1	1.03	7.30
+1.25	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.02	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.86
7.5	1.28	3.21
8.5	1.53	2.34
9.5	1.90	1.82
10.5	2.46	1.48
11.5	3.37	1.26
12.5	4.93	1.09

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.11	4.62
7	1.13	4.39
7.25	1.20	3.60
7.75	1.31	2.95
8	1.35	2.78
8.25	1.45	2.47
8.75	1.62	2.14
9	1.67	2.09
9.25	1.82	1.88
9.75	2.05	1.68
10	2.16	1.63
10.25	2.34	1.51
10.75	2.71	1.38
11	3.05	1.29
11.25	3.21	1.26
11.75	3.84	1.18
12	4.54	1.12
12.25	4.74	1.10
12.75	5.83	1.05
13	7.26	1.01

Next League Two matches

24 Oct	Cheltenham – Newport County
24 Oct	Bristol Rovers – Swindon Town
24 Oct	Crawley Town – Tranmere
24 Oct	Gillingham – Grimsby
24 Oct	Chesterfield – Crewe
24 Oct	Barnet – Oldham

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

20 Oct	Gillingham 1-1 Port Vale
20 Oct	Bristol Rovers 1-2 Salford City
20 Oct	Chesterfield 1-1 Colchester
20 Oct	Northampton 0-1 Tranmere
20 Oct	Cheltenham 4-2 Fleetwood Town
20 Oct	Exeter City 2-0 Crewe