Portsmouth vs Stoke City• Championship, England

#101.4:0.612:3007/11 · Fratton Park, Portsmouth1.4:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40WHX3.35DAF23.16PINMargin at best3.2%Books8Markets77Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 20:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.47	3.35	2.95	4.2%
Betano	2.47	3.20	3.00	5.1%
Betfair	2.40	3.30	2.88	6.7%
Bet365	2.45	3.20	2.88	6.8%
1xBet	2.41	3.25	2.88	7.0%
William Hill	2.45	3.10	2.90	7.6%
Marathonbet	2.39	3.25	2.86	7.6%
BetVictor	2.40	3.20	2.80	8.6%
Best of all books	2.47	3.35	3.00	3.7%
Average	2.43	3.23	2.89	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PortsmouthStoke City

Last 10#10Table position#31.57Points per game1.8611Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5057Defence rating4352Form rating4840H2H rating6051Goals model4948Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Portsmouth

5W 4D 1L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

3 Nov	H	Swansea	3-1	W
31 Oct	A	Burnley	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Millwall	2-1	W
20 Oct	A	Wolves	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Norwich	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Sheffield Utd	3-2	W
11 Oct	A	Southampton	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Blackburn	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Charlton	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Cardiff	2-0	W

Stoke City

7W 2D 1L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

3 Nov	A	Blackburn	2-1	W
31 Oct	H	Preston	2-0	W
24 Oct	H	Bristol City	0-0	D
17 Oct	A	Derby	1-0	W
13 Oct	H	Middlesbrough	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Bolton	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Sheffield Utd	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Watford	2-1	W
8 Sep	A	Cardiff	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Charlton	4-0	W

Head to head

2Portsmouth wins

0draws

3Stoke City wins

5 meetings · goals 7:12 · last 5: 2W 0D 3L for Portsmouth

25 Apr 2026Championship	Championship	Stoke City1-3Portsmouth
25 Oct 2025Championship	Championship	Portsmouth0-1Stoke City
22 Jan 2025Championship	Championship	Portsmouth3-1Stoke City
2 Oct 2024Championship	Championship	Stoke City6-1Portsmouth
27 Aug 2014League Cup	League Cup	Stoke City3-0Portsmouth

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 3 Nov 23:50 UTC

In the Championship table, Portsmouth sit 10th with 22 points from 14 games, while Stoke City are 3rd with 26 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	+13	28
2	Birmingham	14	7	5	2	26:13	+13	26
3	Stoke City	14	8	2	4	22:17	+5	26
4	Swansea	14	8	2	4	21:16	+5	26
5	West Brom	14	7	4	3	20:15	+5	25
6	Southampton	14	8	4	2	29:14	+15	24
7	Wolves	13	7	3	3	23:16	+7	24
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33:18	+15	22
9	Sheffield Utd	14	6	4	4	20:17	+3	22
10	Portsmouth	14	6	4	4	19:16	+3	22
11	QPR	14	5	6	3	22:17	+5	21
12	Norwich	14	6	0	8	27:24	+3	18
13	Millwall	14	5	3	6	23:24	-1	18
14	Blackburn	14	5	3	6	20:22	-2	18
15	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18
16	Bolton	14	5	2	7	19:26	-7	17
17	Lincoln	14	4	3	7	14:24	-10	15
18	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14
19	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14
20	Watford	14	4	2	8	13:23	-10	14
21	Charlton	14	3	5	6	11:22	-11	14
22	Burnley	14	1	7	6	18:26	-8	10
23	Derby	14	1	4	9	11:29	-18	7
24	Preston	14	1	2	11	12:30	-18	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.36X29%3.20231%3.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.43 → 2.36 -2.9%X3.23 → 3.20 -0.9%22.89 → 3.04 +5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.18	1.72	4.0%
Bet365	2.20	1.67	5.3%
1xBet	2.09	1.69	7.0%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.69	7.0%
BetVictor	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Best of all books	2.20	1.72	3.6%
Average	2.12	1.69	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.82	1.93	6.8%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.88	8.1%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.86	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.85	1.93	5.9%
Average	1.82	1.88	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Portsmouth 10%Draw 45%Stoke City 45%

The statistical model rates Portsmouth at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Stoke City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.36 | 3.20 | 3.04, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Portsmouth are 10th (22 pts, 19-16 goals), Stoke City 3rd (26 pts, 22-17).

Over their last five matches, Portsmouth averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Stoke City averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Stoke City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.43	3.23	2.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.53	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.72	2.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
3.09	2.03	3.55

2nd half

1	X	2
2.76	2.32	3.20

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.91	14.9	35.5
HT X	5.70	4.66	6.50
HT 2	31.8	14.8	4.79

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	8.70	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.50
1.5	1.35	2.99
2.5	2.12	1.69
3.5	3.75	1.23
4.5	7.72	1.05
5.5	16.2	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.06	6.63
1.25	1.20	3.86
1.75	1.42	2.57
2	1.56	2.26
2.25	1.82	1.87
2.75	2.38	1.49
3	2.99	1.34
3.25	3.29	1.26
3.75	4.76	1.12
4	6.80	1.04
4.25	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.88	1.35
-0.5	2.40	1.54
-0.25	2.03	1.69
0	1.73	2.04
+0.25	1.51	2.39
+0.5	1.41	2.82

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.03
-2	9.50	1.01
-1.75	6.70	1.07
-1.5	5.04	1.13
-1.25	4.50	1.15
-1	4.03	1.19
+0.75	1.26	3.47
+1	1.12	5.24
+1.25	1.10	5.76
+1.5	1.09	6.21
+1.75	1.01	8.60
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.72	2.05

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.02	6.69
7.5	1.16	4.04
8.5	1.36	2.88
9.5	1.63	2.17
10.5	2.02	1.72
11.5	2.65	1.42
12.5	3.61	1.23
13.5	5.29	1.07

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.03	6.43
7	1.04	6.16
7.25	1.10	4.82
7.75	1.18	3.84
8	1.20	3.64
8.25	1.28	3.11
8.75	1.40	2.62
9	1.46	2.47
9.25	1.56	2.25
9.75	1.74	1.98
10	1.80	1.96
10.25	1.94	1.77
10.75	2.19	1.59
11	2.38	1.49
11.25	2.51	1.44
11.75	2.91	1.32
12	3.30	1.25
12.25	3.46	1.22
12.75	4.14	1.15
13	4.91	1.09
13.25	5.10	1.08
14	7.10	1.01

Next Championship matches

4 Nov	Wrexham – Middlesbrough
4 Nov	Cardiff – West Ham
4 Nov	Bristol City – Wolves
6 Nov	Derby – Bolton
7 Nov	Bristol City – Norwich
7 Nov	Wrexham – Wolves

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

3 Nov	West Brom 1-1 Southampton
3 Nov	Birmingham 3-0 Millwall
3 Nov	Preston 2-3 Sheffield Utd
3 Nov	Watford 1-0 Lincoln
3 Nov	Blackburn 1-2 Stoke City
3 Nov	QPR 1-1 Burnley