Wrexham vs Middlesbrough• Championship, England

#191.2:1.419:45Today · Racecourse Ground, Wrexham2.8:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.35MARX4.18PIN21.80DAFMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets98Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	4.50	4.20	1.78	2.2%
Pinnacle	4.35	4.28	1.74	3.8%
Dafabet	4.20	4.00	1.80	4.4%
Betfair	4.33	4.00	1.73	5.9%
Bet365	4.20	3.90	1.75	6.6%
1xBet	4.32	4.00	1.70	7.0%
Marathonbet	4.35	4.00	1.68	7.5%
BetVictor	4.33	3.90	1.70	7.6%
William Hill	4.00	3.75	1.75	8.8%
SBO	3.74	3.40	1.71	14.6%
Best of all books	4.50	4.28	1.80	1.1%
Average	4.23	3.94	1.73	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WrexhamMiddlesbrough

Last 10#19Table position#11.08Points per game2.154Form pts · last 5131.2Goals for · last 52.81.4Goals against · last 51.030Attack rating7042Defence rating5824Form rating7629H2H rating7137Goals model6334Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 06:01 UTC

Wrexham

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

30 Oct	A	Sheffield Utd	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	Blackburn	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Preston	4-1	W
13 Oct	H	West Brom	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Derby	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Southampton	2-1	W
11 Sep	A	West Ham	0-6	L
8 Sep	H	Burnley	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Swansea	0-0	D
2 Sep	A	Millwall	3-0	W

Middlesbrough

6W 3D 1L · goals 23:15 · per match 2.3 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Charlton	3-0	W
23 Oct	A	Bolton	5-1	W
17 Oct	H	Cardiff	2-2	D
13 Oct	A	Stoke City	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Wolves	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Birmingham	2-2	D
15 Sep	H	Millwall	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Norwich	4-3	W
8 Sep	A	Crystal Palace	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	QPR	1-0	W

Head to head

0Wrexham wins

2draws

1Middlesbrough wins

3 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 3: 0W 2D 1L for Wrexham

7 Aug 2026League Cup	League Cup	Middlesbrough1-0Wrexham
2 May 2026Championship	Championship	Wrexham2-2Middlesbrough
25 Oct 2025Championship	Championship	Middlesbrough1-1Wrexham

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 3 Nov 23:50 UTC

In the Championship table, Wrexham sit 19th with 14 points from 13 games, while Middlesbrough are 1st with 28 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	+13	28
2	Birmingham	14	7	5	2	26:13	+13	26
3	Stoke City	14	8	2	4	22:17	+5	26
4	Swansea	14	8	2	4	21:16	+5	26
5	West Brom	14	7	4	3	20:15	+5	25
6	Southampton	14	8	4	2	29:14	+15	24
7	Wolves	13	7	3	3	23:16	+7	24
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33:18	+15	22
9	Sheffield Utd	14	6	4	4	20:17	+3	22
10	Portsmouth	14	6	4	4	19:16	+3	22
11	QPR	14	5	6	3	22:17	+5	21
12	Norwich	14	6	0	8	27:24	+3	18
13	Millwall	14	5	3	6	23:24	-1	18
14	Blackburn	14	5	3	6	20:22	-2	18
15	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18
16	Bolton	14	5	2	7	19:26	-7	17
17	Lincoln	14	4	3	7	14:24	-10	15
18	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14
19	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14
20	Watford	14	4	2	8	13:23	-10	14
21	Charlton	14	3	5	6	11:22	-11	14
22	Burnley	14	1	7	6	18:26	-8	10
23	Derby	14	1	4	9	11:29	-18	7
24	Preston	14	1	2	11	12:30	-18	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.20X24%3.92254%1.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.89 → 4.20 +8.0%X3.86 → 3.92 +1.6%21.83 → 1.73 -5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.67	2.27	3.9%
Pinnacle	1.62	2.36	4.1%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
SBO	1.59	2.29	6.6%
1xBet	1.61	2.23	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.23	7.0%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.38	1.9%
Average	1.61	2.28	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
William Hill	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.60	2.19	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.16	8.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.60	2.23	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Wrexham 10%Draw 45%Middlesbrough 45%

The statistical model rates Wrexham at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Middlesbrough at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.20 | 3.92 | 1.73, which imply roughly 25.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Wrexham are 19th (14 pts, 15-19 goals), Middlesbrough 1st (28 pts, 30-17).

Over their last five matches, Wrexham averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Middlesbrough averaged 2.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.23	3.94	1.73

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.06	1.19	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
3.23	1.31

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
4.40	2.37	2.23

2nd half

1	X	2
4.11	2.69	2.06

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.06	14.7	20.9
HT X	9.79	6.44	4.92
HT 2	35.8	14.3	2.54

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.50	15.6	1.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.4
1.5	1.18	4.51
2.5	1.61	2.28
3.5	2.50	1.49
4.5	4.48	1.18
5.5	8.23	1.05
6.5	16.0	1.02
7.5	29.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.20
1.25	1.07	5.75
1.75	1.21	3.72
2	1.25	3.35
2.25	1.43	2.56
2.75	1.76	2.01
3	1.99	1.77
3.25	2.22	1.59
3.75	2.82	1.35
4	3.54	1.22
4.25	3.84	1.19
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.47	1.48
+0.5	2.12	1.72
+0.75	1.87	1.88
+1	1.63	2.23
+1.25	1.48	2.49
+1.5	1.39	2.83

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.50	1.02
-1	7.80	1.02
-0.75	5.27	1.12
-0.5	4.15	1.20
-0.25	3.65	1.24
0	3.24	1.30
+1.75	1.27	3.41
+2	1.15	4.50
+2.25	1.13	4.85
+2.5	1.12	5.31
+2.75	1.06	6.35
+3	1.01	9.00
+3.5	1.04	10.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2	1.18	4.30
2.5	1.54	2.38
3	1.78	2.00
3.5	2.17	1.65
4	3.01	1.34
4.5	3.03	1.34

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	9.50
6.5	1.06	6.75
7.5	1.17	4.17
8.5	1.35	2.90
9.5	1.63	2.15
10.5	2.05	1.71
11.5	2.67	1.41
12.5	3.62	1.23
13.5	5.09	1.12
14.5	6.82	1.06
15.5	9.75	1.03
16.5	10.5	1.03

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	6.68
7	1.03	6.41
7.25	1.09	4.99
7.75	1.16	3.97
8	1.18	3.76
8.25	1.26	3.20
8.75	1.38	2.68
9	1.47	2.53
9.25	1.53	2.30
9.75	1.71	2.02
10	1.82	1.94
10.25	1.90	1.80
10.75	2.14	1.62
11	2.33	1.55
11.25	2.45	1.46
11.75	2.83	1.34
12	3.20	1.26
12.25	3.35	1.24
12.75	3.99	1.16
13	4.72	1.10
13.25	4.90	1.09
13.75	5.80	1.05
14	7.17	1.01
14.25	5.68	1.06

Next Championship matches

4 Nov	Cardiff – West Ham
4 Nov	Bristol City – Wolves
6 Nov	Derby – Bolton
7 Nov	Bristol City – Norwich
7 Nov	Wrexham – Wolves
7 Nov	Portsmouth – Stoke City

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

3 Nov	West Brom 1-1 Southampton
3 Nov	Birmingham 3-0 Millwall
3 Nov	Preston 2-3 Sheffield Utd
3 Nov	Watford 1-0 Lincoln
3 Nov	Blackburn 1-2 Stoke City
3 Nov	QPR 1-1 Burnley