Watford vs Lincoln• Championship, England

#211.0:2.619:45Today · Vicarage Road, Watford1.4:3.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.71PINX3.46PIN22.70DAFMargin at best2.8%Books10Markets87Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.71	3.46	2.69	3.0%
Dafabet	2.65	3.45	2.70	3.8%
Betano	2.65	3.40	2.65	4.9%
Betfair	2.63	3.40	2.63	5.5%
BetVictor	2.55	3.40	2.60	7.1%
Bet365	2.62	3.25	2.62	7.1%
William Hill	2.60	3.30	2.60	7.2%
1xBet	2.59	3.32	2.58	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.59	3.32	2.58	7.5%
SBO	2.33	3.11	2.62	13.2%
Best of all books	2.71	3.46	2.70	2.8%
Average	2.59	3.34	2.63	6.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WatfordLincoln

Last 10#21Table position#160.85Points per game1.153Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.42.6Goals against · last 53.042Attack rating5854Defence rating4643Form rating570H2H rating044Goals model5646Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 15:40 UTC

Watford

2W 0D 8L · goals 8:20 · per match 0.8 for, 2.0 against

31 Oct	A	Norwich	2-3	L
24 Oct	A	Wolves	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Charlton	2-0	W
13 Oct	A	Cardiff	1-5	L
10 Oct	H	Burnley	0-4	L
18 Sep	A	Bristol City	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Stoke City	1-2	L
8 Sep	H	Preston	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	West Brom	0-1	L
1 Sep	A	Swansea	0-2	L

Lincoln

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:22 · per match 1.1 for, 2.2 against

31 Oct	H	Birmingham	1-3	L
24 Oct	H	Burnley	4-1	W
17 Oct	A	Millwall	2-2	D
14 Oct	H	West Ham	0-6	L
10 Oct	A	Sheffield Utd	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Swansea	1-2	L
15 Sep	A	Bristol City	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Preston	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Bournemouth	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Southampton	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Watford and Lincoln on record.

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 3 Nov 19:10 UTC

In the Championship table, Watford sit 21st with 11 points from 13 games, while Lincoln are 16th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	+13	28
2	Swansea	13	8	2	3	20:13	+7	26
3	Wolves	13	7	3	3	23:16	+7	24
4	West Brom	13	7	3	3	19:14	+5	24
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28:13	+15	23
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	23:13	+10	23
7	Stoke City	13	7	2	4	20:16	+4	23
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33:18	+15	22
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	21:16	+5	20
10	Sheffield Utd	13	5	4	4	17:15	+2	19
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16:15	+1	19
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18
13	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	19:20	-1	18
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18
15	Norwich	13	5	0	8	23:24	-1	15
16	Lincoln	13	4	3	6	14:23	-9	15
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14
19	Bolton	13	4	2	7	18:26	-8	14
20	Charlton	13	3	5	5	11:21	-10	14
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12:23	-11	11
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17:25	-8	9
23	Derby	13	1	4	8	11:25	-14	7
24	Preston	13	1	2	10	10:27	-17	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.59X28%3.34236%2.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.32 → 2.59 +11.6%X3.46 → 3.34 -3.5%22.94 → 2.63 -10.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.97	1.92	2.8%
Betano	1.85	2.00	4.1%
SBO	1.88	1.96	4.2%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
1xBet	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.87	7.0%
BetVictor	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.97	2.00	0.8%
Average	1.87	1.92	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.06	8.8%
Best of all books	1.70	2.20	4.3%
Average	1.66	2.11	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Watford 33%Draw 33%Lincoln 33%

The statistical model rates Watford at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Lincoln at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.59 | 3.34 | 2.63, which imply roughly 38.6% for a Watford win versus the model's 33%.

Form context from the Championship table: Watford are 21st (11 pts, 12-23 goals), Lincoln 16th (15 pts, 14-23).

Over their last five matches, Watford averaged 1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Lincoln averaged 1.4 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.59	3.34	2.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.45	1.46	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.85	1.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.11

1st half

1	X	2
3.13	2.15	3.19

2nd half

1	X	2
2.82	2.46	2.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.08	13.7	29.0
HT X	6.06	5.20	6.22
HT 2	29.0	13.9	4.26

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	11.4	1.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.3
1.5	1.26	3.61
2.5	1.87	1.92
3.5	3.12	1.34
4.5	6.18	1.10
5.5	10.7	1.03
6.5	21.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.14	4.53
1.75	1.31	3.00
2	1.42	2.71
2.25	1.65	2.16
2.75	2.11	1.68
3	2.51	1.49
3.25	2.74	1.37
3.75	3.74	1.21
4	5.25	1.09
4.25	5.66	1.08
4.75	7.80	1.02
5	8.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.12	1.32
-0.5	2.60	1.50
-0.25	2.20	1.64
0	1.89	1.88
+0.25	1.61	2.24
+0.5	1.50	2.59

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.3	1.02
-2	9.40	1.02
-1.75	7.07	1.06
-1.5	5.34	1.12
-1.25	4.80	1.14
-1	4.38	1.18
+0.75	1.32	3.12
+1	1.18	4.37
+1.25	1.14	4.77
+1.5	1.12	5.31
+1.75	1.06	7.00
+2	1.02	9.20
+2.5	1.02	10.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.33	3.08
3.5	1.64	2.18
4	1.94	1.84
4.5	2.26	1.61
5	3.12	1.33
5.5	3.10	1.34

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.8
5.5	1.05	8.75
6.5	1.08	5.93
7.5	1.21	3.78
8.5	1.42	2.63
9.5	1.78	1.98
10.5	2.22	1.60
11.5	2.93	1.33
12.5	4.20	1.17
13.5	6.14	1.08
14.5	8.63	1.04
15.5	11.8	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.06
7	1.05	5.80
7.25	1.11	4.58
7.75	1.20	3.66
8	1.22	3.48
8.25	1.30	2.99
8.75	1.44	2.52
9	1.52	2.42
9.25	1.60	2.18
9.75	1.78	1.92
10	1.91	1.86
10.25	2.00	1.72
10.75	2.26	1.55
11	2.47	1.50
11.25	2.61	1.41
11.75	3.04	1.29
12	3.46	1.22
12.25	3.63	1.20
12.75	4.36	1.13
13	5.22	1.08
13.25	5.42	1.07

Next Championship matches

3 Nov	QPR – Burnley
3 Nov	Blackburn – Stoke City
3 Nov	Derby – Norwich
3 Nov	Portsmouth – Swansea
3 Nov	Preston – Sheffield Utd
3 Nov	Charlton – Bolton

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

31 Oct	Bolton 2-3 Bristol City
31 Oct	Southampton 4-1 QPR
31 Oct	Swansea 4-0 Blackburn
31 Oct	Wolves 3-0 Cardiff
31 Oct	Millwall 4-1 Derby
31 Oct	Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton