Birmingham vs Millwall• Championship, England

#62.2:0.420:00Today · St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham1.6:1.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.97DAFX3.81PIN23.91PINMargin at best2.6%Books10Markets91Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.95	3.81	3.91	3.1%
Dafabet	1.97	3.70	3.80	4.1%
Betfair	1.91	3.70	3.90	5.0%
Betano	1.95	3.65	3.75	5.3%
1xBet	1.93	3.60	3.64	7.1%
Bet365	1.90	3.60	3.75	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.91	3.60	3.65	7.5%
BetVictor	1.87	3.60	3.80	7.6%
William Hill	1.91	3.50	3.70	8.0%
SBO	1.93	3.23	3.32	12.9%
Best of all books	1.97	3.81	3.91	2.6%
Average	1.92	3.60	3.72	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BirminghamMillwall

Last 10#6Table position#121.77Points per game1.3812Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 51.60.4Goals against · last 51.258Attack rating4275Defence rating2563Form rating3750H2H rating5070Goals model3062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 16:00 UTC

Birmingham

5W 3D 2L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

31 Oct	A	Lincoln	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	Cardiff	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	QPR	3-0	W
13 Oct	H	Preston	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	West Brom	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Middlesbrough	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Derby	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Norwich	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Wolves	2-2	D
1 Sep	H	Southampton	1-1	D

Millwall

3W 3D 4L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

31 Oct	H	Derby	4-1	W
24 Oct	A	Portsmouth	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Lincoln	2-2	D
13 Oct	H	Swansea	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Preston	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	West Ham	2-2	D
15 Sep	A	Middlesbrough	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Blackburn	1-3	L
8 Sep	H	Newcastle	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Bolton	4-0	W

Head to head

8Birmingham wins

8draws

8Millwall wins

24 meetings · goals 35:26 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Birmingham

25 Feb 2026Championship	Championship	Millwall3-0Birmingham
4 Nov 2025Championship	Championship	Birmingham4-0Millwall
9 Mar 2024Championship	Championship	Millwall1-0Birmingham
2 Sep 2023Championship	Championship	Birmingham1-1Millwall
18 Apr 2023Championship	Championship	Millwall0-1Birmingham
2 Nov 2022Championship	Championship	Birmingham0-0Millwall
23 Apr 2022Championship	Championship	Birmingham2-2Millwall
4 Dec 2021Championship	Championship	Millwall3-1Birmingham
17 Feb 2021Championship	Championship	Millwall2-0Birmingham
28 Nov 2020Championship	Championship	Birmingham0-0Millwall

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 2 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the Championship table, Birmingham sit 6th with 23 points from 13 games, while Millwall are 12th with 18 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	+13	28
2	Swansea	13	8	2	3	20:13	+7	26
3	Wolves	13	7	3	3	23:16	+7	24
4	West Brom	13	7	3	3	19:14	+5	24
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28:13	+15	23
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	23:13	+10	23
7	Stoke City	13	7	2	4	20:16	+4	23
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33:18	+15	22
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	21:16	+5	20
10	Sheffield Utd	13	5	4	4	17:15	+2	19
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16:15	+1	19
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18
13	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	19:20	-1	18
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18
15	Norwich	13	5	0	8	23:24	-1	15
16	Lincoln	13	4	3	6	14:23	-9	15
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14
19	Bolton	13	4	2	7	18:26	-8	14
20	Charlton	13	3	5	5	11:21	-10	14
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12:23	-11	11
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17:25	-8	9
23	Derby	13	1	4	8	11:25	-14	7
24	Preston	13	1	2	10	10:27	-17	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.92X26%3.60225%3.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.03 → 1.92 -5.4%X3.59 → 3.60 +0.3%23.43 → 3.72 +8.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	2.08	3.3%
Betano	1.82	2.05	3.7%
SBO	1.81	2.03	4.5%
Betfair	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.77	1.98	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.98	7.0%
BetVictor	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.82	2.10	2.6%
Average	1.78	2.02	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.65	2.11	8.0%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.08	8.7%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.66	2.11	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Birmingham 45%Draw 45%Millwall 10%

The statistical model rates Birmingham at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Millwall at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.60 | 3.72, which imply roughly 52.1% for a Birmingham win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Birmingham are 6th (23 pts, 23-13 goals), Millwall 12th (18 pts, 23-21).

Over their last five matches, Birmingham averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Millwall averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Birmingham or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.92	3.60	3.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.84	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.11

1st half

1	X	2
2.47	2.23	4.11

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.52	3.72

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.95	13.8	33.7
HT X	5.00	5.62	8.31
HT 2	23.5	14.7	6.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	12.8	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.8
1.5	1.23	3.85
2.5	1.78	2.02
3.5	2.91	1.38
4.5	5.63	1.12
5.5	10.3	1.04
6.5	19.0	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.90
1.25	1.12	4.93
1.75	1.27	3.23
2	1.36	2.95
2.25	1.57	2.31
2.75	1.98	1.78
3	2.32	1.56
3.25	2.61	1.44
3.75	3.42	1.25
4	4.50	1.14
4.25	5.11	1.11
4.75	7.10	1.04
5	7.80	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.03	1.34
-1	2.67	1.43
-0.75	2.17	1.64
-0.5	1.92	1.90
-0.25	1.66	2.16
0	1.41	2.79

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	7.10	1.06
-2.25	6.70	1.06
-2	6.20	1.08
-1.75	4.27	1.17
-1.5	3.39	1.28
+0.25	1.31	3.20
+0.5	1.26	3.72
+0.75	1.15	4.66
+1	1.06	7.07
+1.25	1.02	7.70
+1.5	1.03	8.30
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2	1.16	4.77
2.5	1.46	2.62
3	1.71	2.12
3.5	2.12	1.68
4	2.78	1.40
4.5	2.93	1.37

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	10.0
6.5	1.08	6.90
7.5	1.14	4.63
8.5	1.30	3.12
9.5	1.55	2.30
10.5	1.94	1.79
11.5	2.46	1.49
12.5	3.27	1.28
13.5	4.70	1.14
14.5	6.88	1.06
15.5	9.25	1.04
16.5	10.5	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.12	4.50
8	1.14	4.28
8.25	1.21	3.58
8.75	1.31	2.96
9	1.35	2.80
9.25	1.44	2.51
9.75	1.60	2.18
10	1.74	2.04
10.25	1.78	1.93
10.75	1.99	1.73
11	2.15	1.66
11.25	2.24	1.56
11.75	2.56	1.42
12	2.85	1.34
12.25	2.99	1.30
12.75	3.52	1.22
13	4.08	1.15
13.25	4.26	1.14
13.75	5.14	1.08
14	6.24	1.04
14.25	6.45	1.03

Next Championship matches

3 Nov	QPR – Burnley
3 Nov	Blackburn – Stoke City
3 Nov	Derby – Norwich
3 Nov	Portsmouth – Swansea
3 Nov	Preston – Sheffield Utd
3 Nov	Watford – Lincoln

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

31 Oct	Bolton 2-3 Bristol City
31 Oct	Southampton 4-1 QPR
31 Oct	Swansea 4-0 Blackburn
31 Oct	Wolves 3-0 Cardiff
31 Oct	Millwall 4-1 Derby
31 Oct	Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton