Ilirija vs Bilje• 2. SNL, Slovenia

#91.2:1.413:00Today1.2:2.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.82MAR24.501XBMargin at best5.5%Books9Markets44Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.72	3.80	4.30	7.7%
Betano	1.75	3.60	4.15	9.0%
Betfair	1.62	3.80	4.40	10.8%
1xBet	1.60	3.82	4.50	10.9%
Bet365	1.67	3.75	3.90	12.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	3.82	4.40	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.63	3.73	4.06	12.8%
William Hill	1.67	3.40	4.00	14.3%
BetVictor	1.57	3.30	3.80	20.3%
Best of all books	1.75	3.82	4.50	5.5%
Average	1.65	3.67	4.17	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IlirijaBilje

Last 10#9Table position#51.45Points per game1.646Form pts · last 561.2Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5059Defence rating4150Form rating5050H2H rating5060Goals model4052Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 17:00 UTC

Ilirija

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

16 Oct	H	Tabor Sežana	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Krka	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Beltinci	2-4	L
25 Sep	A	Dekani	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Krško	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Jesenice	1-3	L
4 Sep	H	Primorje	0-0	D
28 Aug	A	Slovan Ljubljana	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Rudar	2-0	W
15 Aug	A	Bistrica	6-0	W

Bilje

4W 0D 6L · goals 18:24 · per match 1.8 for, 2.4 against

23 Oct	A	Bistrica	3-4	L
17 Oct	H	Krka	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Beltinci	1-5	L
6 Oct	H	Dekani	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Krško	1-3	L
20 Sep	H	Jesenice	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Primorje	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Slovan Ljubljana	4-0	W
29 Aug	A	Rudar	1-4	L
22 Aug	H	Bistrica	1-4	L

Head to head

5Ilirija wins

3draws

4Bilje wins

12 meetings · goals 12:11 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Ilirija

9 May 20262. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija1-0Bilje
5 Nov 20252. SNL	2. SNL	Bilje1-1Ilirija
23 Mar 20252. SNL	2. SNL	Bilje1-0Ilirija
8 Sep 20242. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija2-0Bilje
6 Nov 20232. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija0-3Bilje
29 Jul 20232. SNL	2. SNL	Bilje3-2Ilirija
22 Apr 20232. SNL	2. SNL	Bilje0-2Ilirija
8 Oct 20222. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija2-1Bilje
13 Nov 20212. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija0-0Bilje
31 Jul 20212. SNL	2. SNL	Bilje1-0Ilirija

2. SNL table2 SNLupdated 26 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the 2. SNL table, Ilirija sit 9th with 16 points from 11 games, while Bilje are 5th with 18 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tabor Sežana	11	9	1	1	22:7	+15	28
2	Beltinci	11	8	1	2	30:13	+17	25
3	Triglav	11	8	1	2	21:5	+16	25
4	Rudar	11	6	0	5	21:17	+4	18
5	Bilje	11	6	0	5	20:22	-2	18
6	Jesenice	11	5	2	4	19:16	+3	17
7	Bistrica	11	5	2	4	14:15	-1	17
8	Slovan Ljubljana	11	5	2	4	14:18	-4	17
9	Ilirija	11	5	1	5	17:12	+5	16
10	Dekani	11	4	3	4	7:7	0	15
11	Dren Vrhnika	11	4	2	5	11:15	-4	14
12	Primorje	11	2	4	5	11:17	-6	10
13	Krško	11	2	3	6	9:19	-10	9
14	Dravinja	11	2	2	7	12:26	-14	8
15	Krka	11	2	1	8	10:20	-10	7
16	Brežice	11	1	3	7	12:21	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.65X24%3.67221%4.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.67 → 1.65 -1.2%X3.75 → 3.67 -2.1%23.90 → 4.17 +6.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.63	2.11	8.7%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
BetVictor	1.52	1.84	20.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.63	2.06	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Betano	1.62	2.10	9.3%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.04	10.0%
BetVictor	1.50	1.87	20.1%
Best of all books	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Average	1.61	2.05	10.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ilirija 45%Draw 45%Bilje 10%

The statistical model rates Ilirija at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bilje at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.67 | 4.17, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Ilirija win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. SNL table: Ilirija are 9th (16 pts, 17-12 goals), Bilje 5th (18 pts, 20-22).

Over their last five matches, Ilirija averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Bilje averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ilirija or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	3.67	4.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.02	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	2.96

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	2.26	4.42

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.62	4.27

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.66	14.8	34.3
HT X	4.83	5.98	9.30
HT 2	19.3	15.0	6.73

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	14.1	2.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.18	3.82
2.5	1.63	2.06
3.5	2.54	1.39
4.5	4.49	1.12
5.5	7.48	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.20	3.70
2	1.27	3.19
2.25	1.43	2.35
2.75	1.75	1.82
3	2.00	1.61
3.25	2.25	1.48
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.10	1.16
4.25	4.20	1.19

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.68	1.37
-1.25	2.31	1.44
-1	2.05	1.59
-0.75	1.79	1.83
-0.5	1.62	2.00
-0.25	1.41	2.41

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.35	1.09
-2.25	5.70	1.11
-2	4.55	1.13
-1.75	3.28	1.25
0	1.25	3.30
+0.25	1.18	3.85
+1	1.01	8.50
+1.5	1.04	7.90

Next 2. SNL matches

27 Oct	Dekani – Brežice
27 Oct	Krka – Dren Vrhnika
27 Oct	Tabor Sežana – Slovan Ljubljana
27 Oct	Primorje – Rudar
28 Oct	Beltinci – Triglav
28 Oct	Jesenice – Bistrica

All 2. SNL fixtures and the table

Latest 2. SNL results

18 Oct	Brežice 2-1 Krško
18 Oct	Dren Vrhnika 1-2 Beltinci
17 Oct	Bistrica 1-0 Primorje
17 Oct	Rudar 2-0 Slovan Ljubljana
17 Oct	Bilje 2-0 Krka
16 Oct	Dravinja 2-1 Jesenice