Jonava vs Hegelmann II• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#101.4:2.012:0007/111.2:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.051XBX3.501XB23.141XBMargin at best9.2%Books1Markets2Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 20:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.05	3.50	3.14	9.2%
Best of all books	2.05	3.50	3.14	9.2%
Average	2.05	3.50	3.14	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JonavaHegelmann II

Last 10#10Table position#141.07Points per game0.934Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 52.054Attack rating4650Defence rating5044Form rating5650H2H rating5076Goals model2454Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Jonava

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

31 Oct	H	Žalgiris II	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Atmosfera	0-3	L
16 Oct	H	BFA	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	Babrungas	0-2	L
18 Sep	H	Tauras	2-3	L
11 Sep	A	Neptūną Klaipėda	0-2	L
4 Sep	H	Dainava	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Transinvest 2	2-1	W
21 Aug	H	FA Šiauliai II	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Kauno Žalgiris II	1-2	L

Hegelmann II

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:22 · per match 1.6 for, 2.2 against

1 Nov	H	BFA	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Babrungas	0-4	L
16 Oct	H	Tauras	4-4	D
10 Oct	A	Neptūną Klaipėda	1-0	W
18 Sep	H	Dainava	0-1	L
11 Sep	A	Transinvest 2	1-4	L
4 Sep	H	FA Šiauliai II	5-1	W
29 Aug	A	Kauno Žalgiris II	0-3	L
21 Aug	H	Ekranas	3-2	W
14 Aug	A	Be1 NFA	1-2	L

Head to head

1Jonava wins

1draws

1Hegelmann II wins

3 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Jonava

27 Jun 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Hegelmann II2-1Jonava
23 Aug 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Hegelmann II1-2Jonava
26 Apr 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Jonava1-1Hegelmann II

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 3 Nov 21:40 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Jonava sit 10th with 31 points from 29 games, while Hegelmann II are 14th with 27 points from 29.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Babrungas	29	22	5	2	53:14	+39	71
2	Minija	28	23	1	4	74:19	+55	70
3	Be1 NFA	28	18	4	6	50:29	+21	58
4	Žalgiris II	29	15	5	9	46:38	+8	50
5	Dainava	29	13	8	8	44:29	+15	47
6	Tauras	28	14	5	9	50:38	+12	47
7	BFA	29	14	5	10	43:42	+1	47
8	Neptūną Klaipėda	29	14	2	13	33:37	-4	44
9	Atmosfera	28	10	7	11	44:38	+6	37
10	Jonava	29	8	7	14	33:40	-7	31
11	Garliava	29	8	6	15	35:38	-3	30
12	Kauno Žalgiris II	29	9	2	18	29:48	-19	29
13	Transinvest 2	29	8	5	16	38:64	-26	29
14	Hegelmann II	29	8	3	18	36:65	-29	27
15	Ekranas	29	5	3	21	30:64	-34	18
16	FA Šiauliai II	29	4	6	19	34:69	-35	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.05X26%3.50229%3.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.2% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jonava 45%Draw 45%Hegelmann II 10%

The statistical model rates Jonava at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hegelmann II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.14, which imply roughly 48.8% for a Jonava win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Jonava are 10th (31 pts, 33-40 goals), Hegelmann II 14th (27 pts, 36-65).

Over their last five matches, Jonava averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Hegelmann II averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Jonava or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.05	3.50	3.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	1.53	2.29

Next 1 Lyga matches

4 Nov	Tauras – Minija
4 Nov	Be1 NFA – Atmosfera
7 Nov	Atmosfera – Ekranas
7 Nov	Babrungas – FA Šiauliai II
7 Nov	BFA – Kauno Žalgiris II
7 Nov	Minija – Garliava

All 1 Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest 1 Lyga results

1 Nov	Hegelmann II 1-1 BFA
1 Nov	FA Šiauliai II 0-4 Dainava
1 Nov	Transinvest 2 3-3 Garliava
31 Oct	Minija 3-1 Atmosfera
31 Oct	Jonava 2-2 Žalgiris II
30 Oct	Kauno Žalgiris II 2-0 Neptūną Klaipėda