Minija vs Atmosfera• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#22.6:1.212:00Tomorrow1.8:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.30DAFX5.50BFR28.501XBMargin at best6.9%Books3Markets25Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 08:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.30	4.90	7.80	10.2%
Betfair	1.25	5.50	8.00	10.7%
1xBet	1.26	5.00	8.50	11.1%
Best of all books	1.30	5.50	8.50	6.9%
Average	1.27	5.13	8.10	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MinijaAtmosfera

Last 10#2Table position#92.48Points per game1.376Form pts · last 582.6Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.259Attack rating4150Defence rating5053Form rating4760H2H rating4073Goals model2759Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:03 UTC

Minija

7W 0D 3L · goals 26:12 · per match 2.6 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	A	BFA	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Babrungas	2-3	L
11 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris	0-3	L
2 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris II	5-0	W
19 Sep	H	Neptūną Klaipėda	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Dainava	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Transinvest 2	3-0	W
1 Sep	H	Dainava	3-2	W
28 Aug	A	FA Šiauliai II	2-1	W
14 Aug	A	Ekranas	5-0	W

Atmosfera

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

24 Oct	H	Jonava	3-0	W
17 Oct	A	Žalgiris II	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Garliava	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	BFA	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Babrungas	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Tauras	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	Neptūną Klaipėda	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Dainava	1-1	D
14 Aug	A	Transinvest 2	0-2	L
8 Aug	H	FA Šiauliai II	1-1	D

Head to head

7Minija wins

1draws

5Atmosfera wins

13 meetings · goals 25:13 · last 10: 5W 0D 5L for Minija

20 Jun 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera0-1Minija
16 Aug 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija0-1Atmosfera
19 Apr 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera0-1Minija
2 Nov 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera2-1Minija
15 Jun 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija3-1Atmosfera
4 Nov 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera0-2Minija
2 Jul 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija0-2Atmosfera
7 Aug 20211 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija2-3Atmosfera
9 Apr 20211 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera3-1Minija
3 Oct 20201 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera0-4Minija

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Minija sit 2nd with 67 points from 27 games, while Atmosfera are 9th with 37 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Babrungas	28	22	4	2	52:13	+39	70
2	Minija	27	22	1	4	71:18	+53	67
3	Be1 NFA	27	18	3	6	49:28	+21	57
4	Žalgiris II	28	15	4	9	44:36	+8	49
5	BFA	28	14	4	10	42:41	+1	46
6	Tauras	27	13	5	9	48:37	+11	44
7	Dainava	28	12	8	8	40:29	+11	44
8	Neptūną Klaipėda	28	14	2	12	33:35	-2	44
9	Atmosfera	27	10	7	10	43:35	+8	37
10	Jonava	28	8	6	14	31:38	-7	30
11	Garliava	28	8	5	15	32:35	-3	29
12	Transinvest 2	28	8	4	16	35:61	-26	28
13	Kauno Žalgiris II	28	8	2	18	27:48	-21	26
14	Hegelmann II	28	8	2	18	35:64	-29	26
15	FA Šiauliai II	28	4	6	18	34:65	-31	18
16	Ekranas	28	5	3	20	29:62	-33	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg171%1.27X18%5.13211%8.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.31 → 1.27 -3.1%X4.90 → 5.13 +4.7%28.00 → 8.10 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.44	2.70	6.5%
1xBet	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Best of all books	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Average	1.44	2.67	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.74	1.99	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Minija 45%Draw 45%Atmosfera 10%

The statistical model rates Minija at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atmosfera at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.27 | 5.13 | 8.10, which imply roughly 78.7% for a Minija win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Minija are 2nd (67 pts, 71-18 goals), Atmosfera 9th (37 pts, 43-35).

Over their last five matches, Minija averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Atmosfera averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Minija or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.27	5.13	8.10

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.50	1.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
1.68	2.75	7.07

2nd half

1	X	2
1.63	3.10	6.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.80	18.5	65.5
HT X	4.33	8.75	16.5
HT 2	17.5	18.5	13.5

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	19.0
1.5	1.13	5.75
2.5	1.44	2.67
3.5	2.13	1.67
4.5	3.38	1.29
5.5	6.25	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.10	1.12
-2.5	2.92	1.32
-1.5	1.84	1.86
0	1.10	5.85

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.38	2.70
9	1.49	2.36
9.5	1.71	1.97
10	1.96	1.72
10.5	2.25	1.54
11	2.76	1.37

Next 1 Lyga matches

30 Oct	Ekranas – Tauras
30 Oct	Be1 NFA – Babrungas
30 Oct	Kauno Žalgiris II – Neptūną Klaipėda
31 Oct	Jonava – Žalgiris II
1 Nov	Transinvest 2 – Garliava
1 Nov	FA Šiauliai II – Dainava

All 1 Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest 1 Lyga results

26 Oct	Transinvest 2 3-2 FA Šiauliai II
25 Oct	Dainava 0-1 Kauno Žalgiris II
25 Oct	Babrungas 4-0 Hegelmann II
24 Oct	Atmosfera 3-0 Jonava
24 Oct	BFA 2-1 Minija
24 Oct	Tauras 1-2 Be1 NFA