Minija vs Garliava• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#22.6:1.412:0007/111.6:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.221XBX5.601XB210.31XBMargin at best9.5%Books1Markets2Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 20:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.22	5.60	10.3	9.5%
Best of all books	1.22	5.60	10.3	9.5%
Average	1.22	5.60	10.3	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MinijaGarliava

Last 10#2Table position#112.50Points per game1.036Form pts · last 582.6Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.662Attack rating3853Defence rating4753Form rating4738H2H rating6283Goals model1754Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 14:00 UTC

Minija

7W 0D 3L · goals 24:13 · per match 2.4 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	Atmosfera	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	BFA	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Babrungas	2-3	L
11 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris	0-3	L
2 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris II	5-0	W
19 Sep	H	Neptūną Klaipėda	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Dainava	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Transinvest 2	3-0	W
1 Sep	H	Dainava	3-2	W
28 Aug	A	FA Šiauliai II	2-1	W

Garliava

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

1 Nov	A	Transinvest 2	3-3	D
23 Oct	H	Žalgiris II	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	FA Šiauliai II	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Atmosfera	0-0	D
2 Oct	H	Dainava	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Kauno Žalgiris II	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	BFA	2-3	L
5 Sep	A	Ekranas	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Babrungas	0-1	L
21 Aug	A	Be1 NFA	0-2	L

Head to head

1Minija wins

2draws

4Garliava wins

7 meetings · goals 4:10 · last 7: 1W 2D 4L for Minija

26 Jun 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Garliava0-1Minija
31 Aug 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Garliava4-2Minija
6 Apr 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija0-0Garliava
30 Sep 20231 Lyga	1 Lyga	Garliava2-0Minija
13 May 20231 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija1-1Garliava
3 Sep 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija0-1Garliava
30 Apr 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Garliava2-0Minija

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 3 Nov 21:40 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Minija sit 2nd with 70 points from 28 games, while Garliava are 11th with 30 points from 29.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Babrungas	29	22	5	2	53:14	+39	71
2	Minija	28	23	1	4	74:19	+55	70
3	Be1 NFA	28	18	4	6	50:29	+21	58
4	Žalgiris II	29	15	5	9	46:38	+8	50
5	Dainava	29	13	8	8	44:29	+15	47
6	Tauras	28	14	5	9	50:38	+12	47
7	BFA	29	14	5	10	43:42	+1	47
8	Neptūną Klaipėda	29	14	2	13	33:37	-4	44
9	Atmosfera	28	10	7	11	44:38	+6	37
10	Jonava	29	8	7	14	33:40	-7	31
11	Garliava	29	8	6	15	35:38	-3	30
12	Kauno Žalgiris II	29	9	2	18	29:48	-19	29
13	Transinvest 2	29	8	5	16	38:64	-26	29
14	Hegelmann II	29	8	3	18	36:65	-29	27
15	Ekranas	29	5	3	21	30:64	-34	18
16	FA Šiauliai II	29	4	6	19	34:69	-35	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg175%1.22X16%5.6029%10.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.5% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Minija 35%Draw 35%Garliava 30%

The statistical model rates Minija at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Garliava at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.22 | 5.60 | 10.30, which imply roughly 82% for a Minija win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Minija are 2nd (70 pts, 74-19 goals), Garliava 11th (30 pts, 35-38).

Over their last five matches, Minija averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Garliava averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Minija or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.22	5.60	10.3

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	1.06	7.30

Next 1 Lyga matches

4 Nov	Tauras – Minija
4 Nov	Be1 NFA – Atmosfera
7 Nov	Atmosfera – Ekranas
7 Nov	Babrungas – FA Šiauliai II
7 Nov	BFA – Kauno Žalgiris II
7 Nov	Jonava – Hegelmann II

All 1 Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest 1 Lyga results

1 Nov	Hegelmann II 1-1 BFA
1 Nov	FA Šiauliai II 0-4 Dainava
1 Nov	Transinvest 2 3-3 Garliava
31 Oct	Minija 3-1 Atmosfera
31 Oct	Jonava 2-2 Žalgiris II
30 Oct	Kauno Žalgiris II 2-0 Neptūną Klaipėda