Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#31.8:1.015:30Today1.6:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93BTNX3.90BFR23.60BFRMargin at best5.2%Books5Markets30Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.82	3.90	3.53	8.9%
Dafabet	1.90	3.65	3.35	9.9%
Betfair	1.80	3.75	3.60	10.0%
Betano	1.93	3.55	3.25	10.8%
Bet365	1.80	3.75	3.50	10.8%
Best of all books	1.93	3.90	3.60	5.2%
Average	1.85	3.72	3.45	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Be1 NFAAtmosfera

Last 10#3Table position#92.07Points per game1.3211Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.253Attack rating4755Defence rating4558Form rating4260H2H rating4058Goals model4257Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Be1 NFA

8W 2D 0L · goals 21:6 · per match 2.1 for, 0.6 against

30 Oct	H	Babrungas	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Tauras	2-1	W
16 Oct	H	Neptūną Klaipėda	2-0	W
9 Oct	H	Dainava	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Transinvest 2	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	FA Šiauliai II	2-0	W
4 Sep	H	Kauno Žalgiris II	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Ekranas	5-0	W
21 Aug	H	Garliava	2-0	W
14 Aug	H	Hegelmann II	2-1	W

Atmosfera

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

31 Oct	A	Minija	1-3	L
24 Oct	H	Jonava	3-0	W
17 Oct	A	Žalgiris II	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Garliava	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	BFA	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Babrungas	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Tauras	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	Neptūną Klaipėda	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Dainava	1-1	D
14 Aug	A	Transinvest 2	0-2	L

Head to head

5Be1 NFA wins

0draws

2Atmosfera wins

7 meetings · goals 13:6 · last 7: 5W 0D 2L for Be1 NFA

1 Jul 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera0-1Be1 NFA
14 Sep 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA1-3Atmosfera
10 May 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera2-4Be1 NFA
17 Aug 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera1-0Be1 NFA
26 Jun 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA3-0Atmosfera
15 Oct 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA2-0Atmosfera
31 May 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera0-2Be1 NFA

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 3 Nov 21:40 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Be1 NFA sit 3rd with 58 points from 28 games, while Atmosfera are 9th with 37 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Babrungas	29	22	5	2	53:14	+39	71
2	Minija	28	23	1	4	74:19	+55	70
3	Be1 NFA	28	18	4	6	50:29	+21	58
4	Žalgiris II	29	15	5	9	46:38	+8	50
5	Dainava	29	13	8	8	44:29	+15	47
6	Tauras	28	14	5	9	50:38	+12	47
7	BFA	29	14	5	10	43:42	+1	47
8	Neptūną Klaipėda	29	14	2	13	33:37	-4	44
9	Atmosfera	28	10	7	11	44:38	+6	37
10	Jonava	29	8	7	14	33:40	-7	31
11	Garliava	29	8	6	15	35:38	-3	30
12	Kauno Žalgiris II	29	9	2	18	29:48	-19	29
13	Transinvest 2	29	8	5	16	38:64	-26	29
14	Hegelmann II	29	8	3	18	36:65	-29	27
15	Ekranas	29	5	3	21	30:64	-34	18
16	FA Šiauliai II	29	4	6	19	34:69	-35	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.85X24%3.75226%3.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.88 → 1.85 -1.6%X3.75 → 3.75 0.0%23.44 → 3.45 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Best of all books	1.65	2.40	2.3%
Average	1.56	2.33	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.60	2.22	7.5%
Best of all books	1.60	2.50	2.5%
Average	1.55	2.36	6.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Be1 NFA 45%Draw 45%Atmosfera 10%

The statistical model rates Be1 NFA at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atmosfera at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.45, which imply roughly 54.1% for a Be1 NFA win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Be1 NFA are 3rd (58 pts, 50-29 goals), Atmosfera 9th (37 pts, 44-38).

Over their last five matches, Be1 NFA averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Atmosfera averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Be1 NFA or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.72	3.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.82	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.36

1st half

1	X	2
2.34	2.37	3.77

2nd half

1	X	2
2.21	2.69	3.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.84	13.8	27.3
HT X	5.13	6.25	8.48
HT 2	18.5	14.6	5.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	13.0	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	16.0
1.5	1.15	5.00
2.5	1.56	2.33
3.5	2.34	1.54
4.5	4.17	1.20
5.5	7.75	1.07

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.27	3.30
3	1.90	1.79
4	3.80	1.21

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.00	1.08
-2	5.10	1.12
-1.5	3.00	1.32
-1	2.40	1.50
-0.5	1.84	1.87
0	1.40	2.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.67	2.10
10	1.92	1.88

Next 1 Lyga matches

4 Nov	Tauras – Minija
7 Nov	Atmosfera – Ekranas
7 Nov	Babrungas – FA Šiauliai II
7 Nov	BFA – Kauno Žalgiris II
7 Nov	Minija – Garliava
7 Nov	Jonava – Hegelmann II

All 1 Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest 1 Lyga results

1 Nov	Hegelmann II 1-1 BFA
1 Nov	FA Šiauliai II 0-4 Dainava
1 Nov	Transinvest 2 3-3 Garliava
31 Oct	Minija 3-1 Atmosfera
31 Oct	Jonava 2-2 Žalgiris II
30 Oct	Kauno Žalgiris II 2-0 Neptūną Klaipėda