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Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka• J1 League, Japan

#170.6:1.41-2FTToday · Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka0.4:1.8#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60B365X3.421XB22.75DAFMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets73Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.643.392.793.2%
Dafabet2.603.402.754.2%
1xBet2.603.382.734.7%
BetVictor2.603.302.705.8%
Bet3652.603.252.706.3%
Betano2.553.302.677.0%
Marathonbet2.533.302.667.4%
Betfair2.453.402.638.3%
William Hill2.503.102.709.3%
SBO2.423.052.5613.2%
Best of all books2.643.402.793.1%
Average2.553.292.696.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Avispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
Last 10#17Table position#180.70Points per game0.706Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 50.41.4Goals against · last 51.860Attack rating4056Defence rating4480Form rating2071H2H rating2967Goals model3365Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 03:10 UTC

Avispa Fukuoka

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:16 · per match 0.9 for, 1.6 against

18 OctAMachida Zelvia0-3L
14 OctASagan Tosu1-2L
10 OctHFagiano Okayama2-1W
7 OctHYokohama FC0-1L
29 SepAOsaka2-1W
19 SepHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-1L
12 SepAShimizu S-pulse0-1L
5 SepHMito Hollyhock1-1D
2 SepHUrawa2-3L
29 AugAKyoto Sanga1-2L

Gamba Osaka

3W 2D 5L · goals 20:18 · per match 2.0 for, 1.8 against

17 OctAShimizu S-pulse2-2D
13 OctANewcastle Jets3-1W
9 OctAKashima0-2L
3 OctAKashiwa Reysol4-5L
23 SepHTokushima Vortis5-0W
20 SepHVissel Kobe0-1L
15 SepHCông An Nhân Dân4-1W
12 SepHFC Tokyo0-2L
6 SepAJEF United Chiba0-2L
2 SepAV-varen Nagasaki2-2D

Head to head

5Avispa Fukuoka wins
4draws
7Gamba Osaka wins

16 meetings · goals 17:19 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Avispa Fukuoka

22 Apr 2026J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueGamba Osaka1-2Avispa Fukuoka
21 Mar 2026J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueAvispa Fukuoka2-2Gamba Osaka
30 Nov 2025J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueAvispa Fukuoka1-0Gamba Osaka
22 Feb 2025J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueGamba Osaka2-1Avispa Fukuoka
24 Aug 2024J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueGamba Osaka2-2Avispa Fukuoka
3 May 2024J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueAvispa Fukuoka1-0Gamba Osaka
11 Nov 2023J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueGamba Osaka1-2Avispa Fukuoka
3 Jun 2023J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueAvispa Fukuoka1-2Gamba Osaka
31 Aug 2022J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueAvispa Fukuoka0-1Gamba Osaka
19 Mar 2022J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueGamba Osaka2-3Avispa Fukuoka

J1 League tableJ-Leagueupdated 21 Oct 11:30 UTC

In the J1 League table, Avispa Fukuoka sit 17th with 7 points from 10 games, while Gamba Osaka are 18th with 7 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sanfrecce Hiroshima1072125:6+1923
2Machida Zelvia1072125:10+1523
3FC Tokyo1072121:8+1323
4Vissel Kobe1071217:9+822
5Kashiwa Reysol1070322:17+521
6Kashima1061321:16+519
7Kawasaki Frontale1044221:16+516
8Yokohama F. Marinos1044213:9+416
9Urawa1050517:21-415
10Shimizu S-pulse1042410:11-114
11Fagiano Okayama1041512:15-313
12Nagoya Grampus1040612:16-412
13Cerezo Osaka103349:16-712
14Mito Hollyhock1023512:14-29
15V-varen Nagasaki1023511:18-79
16Kyoto Sanga1022611:19-88
17Avispa Fukuoka1021711:16-57
18Gamba Osaka1014510:18-87
19JEF United Chiba101368:19-116
20Tokyo Verdy100464:18-144

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.55X28%3.30235%2.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

19 Oct 03:1020 Oct 10:301 2.54X 3.322 2.68
12.55 → 2.54 -0.4%X3.36 → 3.32 -1.2%22.62 → 2.68 +2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.081.823.0%
SBO2.011.834.4%
1xBet2.011.824.7%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betano2.001.805.6%
Betfair2.001.805.6%
Marathonbet1.971.786.9%
BetVictor1.941.749.0%
Best of all books2.081.832.7%
Average2.001.805.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.802.005.6%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
Betano1.751.987.6%
1xBet1.732.007.8%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.731.978.6%
Best of all books1.802.054.3%
Average1.741.997.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Avispa Fukuoka 45%Draw 45%Gamba Osaka 10%

The statistical model rated Avispa Fukuoka at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gamba Osaka at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.71, which imply roughly 39.2% for a Avispa Fukuoka win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the J1 League table: Avispa Fukuoka are 17th (7 pts, 11-16 goals), Gamba Osaka 18th (7 pts, 10-18).

Over their last five matches, Avispa Fukuoka averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Gamba Osaka averaged 0.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Avispa Fukuoka or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Avispa Fukuoka

3-4-2-1

Coach: S. Tsukahara

Goalkeeper

  • 24Y. Obata

Defence

  • 16T. Oka
  • 5T. Kamijima
  • 15Y. Tsujioka

Midfield

  • 2M. Yuzawa
  • 55K. Maeda
  • 11T. Miki
  • 29Y. Maejima
  • 6M. Shigemi
  • 25Y. Kitajima

Attack

  • 13S. Morooka
Substitutes (9)
  • 47Y. Hashimoto
  • 38D. Miya
  • 1T. Nagaishi
  • 14S. Nago
  • 34K. Shiihashi
  • 52Shohei Takemoto
  • 37M. Tashiro
  • 9Werik Popó
  • 33K. Yamawaki

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1

Coach: Tomokazu Myojin

Goalkeeper

  • 22J. Ichimori

Defence

  • 28S. Fujiwara
  • 4S. Nakatani
  • 2S. Fukuoka
  • 21R. Hatsuse

Midfield

  • 13S. Abe
  • 27R. Mito
  • 17R. Yamashita
  • 7T. Usami
  • 97Welton Felipe

Attack

  • 41Y. Toshida
Substitutes (9)
  • 16T. Suzuki
  • 67S. Sasaki
  • 24T. Ogashiwa
  • 47S. Nakano
  • 8R. Meshino
  • 15T. Kishimoto
  • 11I. Jebali
  • 1M. Higashiguchi
  • 20E. Adams

Match Statistics

Avispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
0.75Expected Goals0.6
334Passes accurate351
6Shots insidebox4
8Shots outsidebox3
6Blocked Shots0
14Free Kicks11
3Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal4
414Total passes435
14Total Shots7
3Yellow Cards1
3Corner Kicks6
0Offsides3
12Fouls14
0Red Cards0
49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.553.292.69

Double chance

1XX212
1.441.481.31

Draw no bet

12
1.841.90

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.741.99

1st half

1X2
3.122.123.28

2nd half

1X2
2.842.392.94

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.0413.729.2
HT X5.975.046.33
HT 228.913.84.30

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9510.52.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.059.16
1.51.303.29
2.52.001.80
3.53.461.27
4.57.061.08
5.513.01.02
6.523.51.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.68
11.028.00
1.251.144.39
1.751.362.77
21.492.47
2.251.752.04
2.752.251.59
32.761.40
3.253.011.30
3.754.251.15
45.951.07
4.256.401.05
4.758.651.02
59.901.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.051.34
-0.52.531.50
-0.252.191.65
01.851.94
+0.251.582.28
+0.51.472.64
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.02
-29.301.02
-1.757.001.06
-1.55.161.13
-1.254.711.14
-14.291.19
+0.751.303.26
+11.164.66
+1.251.125.06
+1.51.115.61
+1.751.057.67
+21.0110.0
+2.51.0210.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.045.65
6.51.114.27
7.51.263.22
8.51.502.37
9.51.901.84
10.52.381.50
11.53.191.28
12.53.601.16
13.54.641.09
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.57
71.134.00
81.282.82
8.251.462.34
8.751.512.32
91.682.11
9.251.722.05
9.751.901.78
102.071.68
10.252.141.56
10.752.451.42
112.621.37
123.371.19
134.471.10
145.621.04

Latest J1 League results

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21 OctFagiano Okayama 2-0 Mito Hollyhock
21 OctYokohama F. Marinos 2-2 Tokyo Verdy