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Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima• J1 League, Japan

#160.8:2.02-2FTToday · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto1.6:1.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.88PINX3.76PIN21.991XBMargin at best2.6%Books10Markets69Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.913.671.983.3%
Dafabet3.703.652.023.9%
1xBet3.723.621.994.8%
BetVictor3.803.601.955.4%
Bet3653.703.601.956.1%
Betano3.653.501.957.3%
Marathonbet3.623.521.947.6%
Betfair3.503.701.918.0%
William Hill3.603.401.958.5%
SBO3.303.201.9512.8%
Best of all books3.913.702.022.1%
Average3.653.551.966.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Kyoto SangaKashima
Last 10#16Table position#60.80Points per game1.907Form pts · last 5130.8Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6738Defence rating6330Form rating7050H2H rating5036Goals model6440Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Kyoto Sanga

3W 2D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

17 OctASanfrecce Hiroshima0-3L
13 OctHRatchaburi1-0W
10 OctHMachida Zelvia0-1L
3 OctAMachida Zelvia0-0D
23 SepHFujieda MYFC1-0W
19 SepAFagiano Okayama2-1W
15 SepADaejeon Citizen0-1L
11 SepHKashiwa Reysol2-3L
6 SepAFC Tokyo0-2L
2 SepAYokohama F. Marinos1-1D

Kashima

6W 1D 3L · goals 23:12 · per match 2.3 for, 1.2 against

17 OctHV-varen Nagasaki2-0W
13 OctACông An Nhân Dân1-0W
9 OctHGamba Osaka2-0W
23 SepHVentforet Kofu3-1W
19 SepAKawasaki Frontale3-3D
15 SepHNewcastle Jets7-1W
11 SepAVissel Kobe1-2L
6 SepHUrawa0-1L
2 SepAMito Hollyhock2-4L
29 AugATokyo Verdy2-0W

Head to head

1Kyoto Sanga wins
4draws
4Kashima wins

9 meetings · goals 7:11 · last 9: 1W 4D 4L for Kyoto Sanga

25 Oct 2025J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKyoto Sanga1-1Kashima
6 Apr 2025J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKashima3-4Kyoto Sanga
17 Nov 2024J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKyoto Sanga0-0Kashima
13 Apr 2024J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKashima1-0Kyoto Sanga
1 Jul 2023J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKashima0-0Kyoto Sanga
18 Feb 2023J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKyoto Sanga0-2Kashima
10 Sep 2022J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKyoto Sanga1-1Kashima
18 Jun 2022J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKashima1-0Kyoto Sanga
14 Oct 2013Emperor CupEmperor CupKashima2-1Kyoto Sanga

J1 League tableJ-Leagueupdated 21 Oct 11:30 UTC

In the J1 League table, Kyoto Sanga sit 16th with 8 points from 10 games, while Kashima are 6th with 19 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sanfrecce Hiroshima1072125:6+1923
2Machida Zelvia1072125:10+1523
3FC Tokyo1072121:8+1323
4Vissel Kobe1071217:9+822
5Kashiwa Reysol1070322:17+521
6Kashima1061321:16+519
7Kawasaki Frontale1044221:16+516
8Yokohama F. Marinos1044213:9+416
9Urawa1050517:21-415
10Shimizu S-pulse1042410:11-114
11Fagiano Okayama1041512:15-313
12Nagoya Grampus1040612:16-412
13Cerezo Osaka103349:16-712
14Mito Hollyhock1023512:14-29
15V-varen Nagasaki1023511:18-79
16Kyoto Sanga1022611:19-88
17Avispa Fukuoka1021711:16-57
18Gamba Osaka1014510:18-87
19JEF United Chiba101368:19-116
20Tokyo Verdy100464:18-144

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.69X26%3.58248%1.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18 Oct 00:0021 Oct 10:001 3.69X 3.582 1.95
13.94 → 3.69 -6.3%X3.69 → 3.58 -3.0%21.84 → 1.95 +6.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.852.052.8%
SBO1.812.034.5%
1xBet1.832.004.6%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.802.005.6%
Betano1.821.956.2%
Marathonbet1.791.957.1%
BetVictor1.771.918.9%
Best of all books1.852.052.8%
Average1.811.995.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.105.4%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.662.098.1%
Betano1.672.078.2%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.662.068.8%
Best of all books1.732.105.4%
Average1.682.077.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kyoto Sanga 10%Draw 45%Kashima 45%

The statistical model rated Kyoto Sanga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kashima at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.69 | 3.58 | 1.95, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the J1 League table: Kyoto Sanga are 16th (8 pts, 11-19 goals), Kashima 6th (19 pts, 21-16).

Over their last five matches, Kyoto Sanga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Kashima averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kashima.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Kyoto Sanga

3-4-2-1

Coach: R. Popović

Goalkeeper

  • 90Halls

Defence

  • 40Y. Ishida
  • 50Y. Suzuki
  • 15K. Nagata

Midfield

  • 44K. Sato
  • 25Yoon Sung-Jun
  • 24H. Morooka
  • 62T. Shichi
  • 48R. Nakano
  • 77H. Arai

Attack

  • 17Alex Negueba
Substitutes (8)
  • 16T. Hiraoka
  • 6João Pedro
  • 23T. Kato
  • 11Marco Túlio
  • 1G. Ota
  • 5H. Tawiah
  • 43Weverton
  • 60R. Yamanaka

Kashima

4-4-2

Coach: T. Oniki

Goalkeeper

  • 1T. Hayakawa

Defence

  • 23K. Tsukui
  • 55N. Ueda
  • 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  • 7R. Ogawa

Midfield

  • 27Y. Matsumura
  • 6K. Misao
  • 8Matheus Bueno
  • 30M. Yoshida

Attack

  • 40Y. Suzuki
  • 9Léo Ceará
Substitutes (9)
  • 21T. Yamada
  • 34H. Tokuda
  • 10G. Shibasaki
  • 5I. Sekigawa
  • 25R. Koike
  • 14Y. Higuchi
  • 24H. Hayashu
  • 17Élber
  • 77A. Čavrić

Match Statistics

Kyoto SangaKashima
0.37Expected Goals1.39
158Passes accurate568
2Shots insidebox16
1Shots outsidebox3
9Free Kicks18
3Shots on Goal11
9Goalkeeper Saves1
1Offsides1
241Total passes663
3Total Shots19
2Yellow Cards0
2Corner Kicks5
0Blocked Shots2
0Shots off Goal6
20Fouls11
0Red Cards0
27%Ball Possession73%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.653.551.96

Double chance

1XX212
1.821.261.27

Draw no bet

12
2.631.43

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.07

1st half

1X2
4.082.202.49

2nd half

1X2
3.662.512.27

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.0014.422.9
HT X7.995.474.99
HT 232.013.73.02

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.3710.71.69

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.3
1.51.243.74
2.51.811.99
3.52.971.36
4.55.611.12
5.510.41.04
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.70
11.028.30
1.251.124.80
1.751.293.10
21.372.85
2.251.592.30
2.752.001.75
32.331.54
3.252.581.43
3.753.341.24
44.451.14
4.254.801.12
4.755.801.07
58.801.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.721.43
+0.252.131.66
+0.51.861.94
+0.751.642.21
+11.432.74
+1.251.333.08
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.513.01.01
-1.57.301.04
-1.256.801.04
-16.601.07
-0.754.371.16
-0.53.711.28
-0.253.181.34
+1.51.283.39
+1.751.174.23
+21.096.03
+2.251.076.40
+2.51.076.73
+3.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.40
7.51.243.54
8.51.452.54
9.51.781.94
10.52.241.57
11.52.961.33
12.53.701.20
13.55.101.10
14.57.001.04
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.472.42
91.602.27
9.251.662.09
9.751.851.83
102.011.76
10.252.101.64
10.752.381.46

Latest J1 League results

21 OctUrawa 3-2 JEF United Chiba
21 OctFC Tokyo 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol
21 OctYokohama F. Marinos 2-2 Tokyo Verdy
21 OctKawasaki Frontale 2-1 Vissel Kobe
21 OctFagiano Okayama 2-0 Mito Hollyhock
21 OctV-varen Nagasaki 4-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima