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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy• J1 League, Japan

#81.0:0.22-2FTToday · Japan National Stadium, Tokyo0.4:2.0#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90PINX3.50B36524.60DAFMargin at best2.9%Books10Markets68Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 08:27 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.903.464.563.5%
Dafabet1.863.504.604.1%
1xBet1.893.384.514.7%
BetVictor1.873.404.405.6%
Bet3651.803.504.506.3%
Betano1.833.404.406.8%
Marathonbet1.843.304.407.4%
Betfair1.853.204.507.5%
SBO1.843.284.218.6%
William Hill1.853.204.209.1%
Best of all books1.903.504.602.9%
Average1.853.364.436.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Yokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy
Last 10#8Table position#201.60Points per game0.4011Form pts · last 511.0Goals for · last 50.40.2Goals against · last 52.071Attack rating2991Defence rating982Form rating1850H2H rating5079Goals model2173Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Yokohama F. Marinos

5W 4D 1L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

17 OctAJEF United Chiba0-0D
14 OctHShimizu S-pulse2-1W
10 OctACerezo Osaka0-0D
7 OctHKyoto Sangyo University2-1W
29 SepAMontedio Yamagata2-1W
19 SepHMito Hollyhock2-0W
12 SepAMachida Zelvia1-1D
6 SepAKashiwa Reysol2-0W
2 SepHKyoto Sanga1-1D
29 AugAUrawa2-3L

Tokyo Verdy

1W 3D 6L · goals 4:16 · per match 0.4 for, 1.6 against

17 OctHFC Tokyo0-4L
11 OctHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-2L
7 OctAGainare Tottori0-0D
29 SepASagan Tosu1-2L
19 SepAUrawa1-3L
13 SepHJEF United Chiba1-1D
9 SepABiwako Shiga1-0W
6 SepACerezo Osaka0-0D
2 SepHVissel Kobe0-2L
29 AugHKashima0-2L

Head to head

4Yokohama F. Marinos wins
1draws
2Tokyo Verdy wins

7 meetings · goals 16:6 · last 7: 4W 1D 2L for Yokohama F. Marinos

24 May 2026J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueTokyo Verdy0-6Yokohama F. Marinos
28 Feb 2026J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueYokohama F. Marinos3-2Tokyo Verdy
9 Aug 2025J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueTokyo Verdy1-0Yokohama F. Marinos
5 Apr 2025J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueYokohama F. Marinos0-0Tokyo Verdy
29 Jun 2024J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueYokohama F. Marinos1-2Tokyo Verdy
25 Feb 2024J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueTokyo Verdy1-2Yokohama F. Marinos
22 Sep 2016Emperor CupEmperor CupYokohama F. Marinos4-0Tokyo Verdy

J1 League tableJ-Leagueupdated 21 Oct 11:30 UTC

In the J1 League table, Yokohama F. Marinos sit 8th with 16 points from 10 games, while Tokyo Verdy are 20th with 4 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sanfrecce Hiroshima1072125:6+1923
2Machida Zelvia1072125:10+1523
3FC Tokyo1072121:8+1323
4Vissel Kobe1071217:9+822
5Kashiwa Reysol1070322:17+521
6Kashima1061321:16+519
7Kawasaki Frontale1044221:16+516
8Yokohama F. Marinos1044213:9+416
9Urawa1050517:21-415
10Shimizu S-pulse1042410:11-114
11Fagiano Okayama1041512:15-313
12Nagoya Grampus1040612:16-412
13Cerezo Osaka103349:16-712
14Mito Hollyhock1023512:14-29
15V-varen Nagasaki1023511:18-79
16Kyoto Sanga1022611:19-88
17Avispa Fukuoka1021711:16-57
18Gamba Osaka1014510:18-87
19JEF United Chiba101368:19-116
20Tokyo Verdy100464:18-144

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.85X28%3.36221%4.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18 Oct 00:0021 Oct 09:401 1.85X 3.362 4.43
11.84 → 1.85 +0.5%X3.43 → 3.36 -2.0%24.30 → 4.43 +3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.261.693.4%
SBO2.251.664.7%
1xBet2.301.634.8%
Betano2.181.675.8%
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Marathonbet2.251.606.9%
Betfair2.251.578.1%
BetVictor2.151.609.0%
Best of all books2.301.692.6%
Average2.231.636.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.051.707.6%
Betano1.981.757.6%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
1xBet2.021.718.0%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet2.021.698.7%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Best of all books2.051.804.3%
Average1.991.738.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Yokohama F. Marinos 45%Draw 45%Tokyo Verdy 10%

The statistical model rated Yokohama F. Marinos at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tokyo Verdy at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.36 | 4.43, which imply roughly 54.1% for a Yokohama F. Marinos win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the J1 League table: Yokohama F. Marinos are 8th (16 pts, 13-9 goals), Tokyo Verdy 20th (4 pts, 4-18).

Over their last five matches, Yokohama F. Marinos averaged 1 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Tokyo Verdy averaged 0.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Yokohama F. Marinos or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Yokohama F. Marinos

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Corica

Goalkeeper

  • 21H. Iikura

Defence

  • 34T. Kimura
  • 17J. Quiñónes
  • 33K. Suwama
  • 13T. Inoue

Midfield

  • 14K. Chinen
  • 41K. Matsumura
  • 11J. Croux
  • 7D. Tono
  • 23R. Miyaichi

Attack

  • 9K. Tanimura
Substitutes (9)
  • 19Tevis Gabriel
  • 28R. Yamane
  • 40J. Amano
  • 44T. Deng
  • 8T. Kida
  • 24T. Kondo
  • 43R. Nitta
  • 1Park Il-Gyu
  • 25T. Suzuki

Tokyo Verdy

3-4-2-1

Coach: N. Soma

Goalkeeper

  • 1Matheus Vidotto

Defence

  • 15K. Suzuki
  • 4N. Hayashi
  • 96Cho Yu-Min

Midfield

  • 19K. Fujimoto
  • 8K. Saito
  • 16R. Hirakawa
  • 18S. Mizoguchi
  • 40Y. Arai
  • 25I. Kumatoriya

Attack

  • 33K. Ichimi
Substitutes (9)
  • 17Kim Hyun-Woo
  • 7Y. Matsuhashi
  • 10K. Morita
  • 21Y. Nagasawa
  • 29M. Sako
  • 2K. Shibato
  • 22Y. Uchida
  • 13G. Yamada
  • 38S. Kanda

Match Statistics

Yokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy
1.97Expected Goals1.73
416Passes accurate248
10Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox5
5Blocked Shots2
18Free Kicks13
4Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal7
2Offsides8
490Total passes331
14Total Shots12
6Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
13Fouls18
0Red Cards0
59%Ball Possession41%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.853.364.43

Double chance

1XX212
1.191.931.30

Draw no bet

12
1.333.13

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.991.73

1st half

1X2
2.492.054.82

2nd half

1X2
2.232.324.40

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.8415.145.6
HT X4.524.689.06
HT 227.215.97.47

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.668.102.61

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.85
1.51.382.83
2.52.231.63
3.54.071.20
4.58.111.05
5.515.51.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.00
11.066.25
1.251.213.58
1.751.482.46
21.652.15
2.251.951.83
2.752.581.44
33.161.30
3.253.721.20
3.755.301.09
47.801.02
4.258.281.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.021.35
-12.641.46
-0.752.111.69
-0.51.831.98
-0.251.582.32
01.333.19
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.758.901.01
-2.57.681.05
-2.257.071.05
-26.581.07
-1.754.361.18
-1.53.531.26
+0.251.243.65
+0.51.234.33
+0.751.105.71
+11.038.70
+1.51.029.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.047.10
6.51.144.50
7.51.332.98
8.51.602.20
9.52.021.73
10.52.581.44
11.53.541.24
12.54.501.14
13.56.201.06
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.251.462.47
8.751.612.12
91.831.97
9.251.841.86
9.752.081.65
102.271.61
10.252.411.48

Latest J1 League results

21 OctUrawa 3-2 JEF United Chiba
21 OctFC Tokyo 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol
21 OctKyoto Sanga 2-2 Kashima
21 OctKawasaki Frontale 2-1 Vissel Kobe
21 OctFagiano Okayama 2-0 Mito Hollyhock
21 OctV-varen Nagasaki 4-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima