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FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol• J1 League, Japan

#32.4:0.00-0FTToday · Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu2.4:2.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07BTNX3.75BVC24.00BFRMargin6.1%Books10Markets68Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.103.633.533.5%
Dafabet2.143.603.403.9%
1xBet2.123.553.414.7%
BetVictor2.053.603.406.0%
Bet3652.103.503.306.5%
Betano2.073.503.307.2%
Marathonbet2.063.463.327.6%
Betfair2.103.603.107.7%
William Hill2.053.303.259.9%
SBO2.143.092.9513.0%
Best of all books2.143.633.532.6%
Average2.093.483.306.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC TokyoKashiwa Reysol
Last 10#3Table position#52.30Points per game2.1012Form pts · last 5122.4Goals for · last 52.40.0Goals against · last 52.250Attack rating50100Defence rating063Form rating3829H2H rating7151Goals model4947Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

FC Tokyo

8W 1D 1L · goals 22:2 · per match 2.2 for, 0.2 against

17 OctATokyo Verdy4-0W
14 OctAMito Hollyhock0-1L
10 OctHUrawa3-0W
7 OctHShonan Bellmare4-0W
29 SepAEhime FC2-0W
19 SepHNagoya Grampus1-0W
12 SepAGamba Osaka2-0W
6 SepHKyoto Sanga2-0W
2 SepAShimizu S-pulse1-1D
29 AugAV-varen Nagasaki3-0W

Kashiwa Reysol

6W 0D 4L · goals 27:20 · per match 2.7 for, 2.0 against

17 OctHNagoya Grampus1-3L
14 OctHPort FC5-1W
9 OctHVissel Kobe4-2W
3 OctHGamba Osaka5-4W
23 SepHImabari4-0W
20 SepAMachida Zelvia4-2W
16 SepAJeonbuk Motors1-2L
11 SepAKyoto Sanga3-2W
6 SepHYokohama F. Marinos0-2L
2 SepACerezo Osaka0-2L

Head to head

13FC Tokyo wins
6draws
14Kashiwa Reysol wins

33 meetings · goals 45:40 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for FC Tokyo

29 Apr 2026J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKashiwa Reysol1-3FC Tokyo
28 Feb 2026J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueFC Tokyo0-2Kashiwa Reysol
5 Jul 2025J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKashiwa Reysol1-0FC Tokyo
11 Apr 2025J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueFC Tokyo1-1Kashiwa Reysol
30 Jul 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsFC Tokyo0-1Kashiwa Reysol
6 Jul 2024J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKashiwa Reysol3-2FC Tokyo
11 May 2024J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueFC Tokyo3-3Kashiwa Reysol
1 Jul 2023J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueFC Tokyo1-0Kashiwa Reysol
26 Feb 2023J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKashiwa Reysol1-1FC Tokyo
27 Aug 2022J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueKashiwa Reysol3-6FC Tokyo

J1 League tableJ-Leagueupdated 21 Oct 11:30 UTC

In the J1 League table, FC Tokyo sit 3rd with 23 points from 10 games, while Kashiwa Reysol are 5th with 21 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sanfrecce Hiroshima1072125:6+1923
2Machida Zelvia1072125:10+1523
3FC Tokyo1072121:8+1323
4Vissel Kobe1071217:9+822
5Kashiwa Reysol1070322:17+521
6Kashima1061321:16+519
7Kawasaki Frontale1044221:16+516
8Yokohama F. Marinos1044213:9+416
9Urawa1050517:21-415
10Shimizu S-pulse1042410:11-114
11Fagiano Okayama1041512:15-313
12Nagoya Grampus1040612:16-412
13Cerezo Osaka103349:16-712
14Mito Hollyhock1023512:14-29
15V-varen Nagasaki1023511:18-79
16Kyoto Sanga1022611:19-88
17Avispa Fukuoka1021711:16-57
18Gamba Osaka1014510:18-87
19JEF United Chiba101368:19-116
20Tokyo Verdy100464:18-144

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.94X26%3.64226%3.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18 Oct 00:0021 Oct 10:001 1.94X 3.642 3.69
12.15 → 1.94 -9.8%X3.46 → 3.64 +5.2%23.20 → 3.69 +15.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.832.053.4%
SBO1.812.034.5%
1xBet1.792.054.6%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betano1.752.055.9%
Betfair1.752.055.9%
Marathonbet1.752.016.9%
BetVictor1.741.949.0%
Best of all books1.832.053.4%
Average1.782.025.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.622.177.8%
Betano1.622.158.2%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.622.148.5%
Best of all books1.672.205.3%
Average1.632.157.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Tokyo 35%Draw 35%Kashiwa Reysol 30%

The statistical model rated FC Tokyo at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Kashiwa Reysol at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.64 | 3.69, which imply roughly 51.5% for a FC Tokyo win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the J1 League table: FC Tokyo are 3rd (23 pts, 21-8 goals), Kashiwa Reysol 5th (21 pts, 22-17).

Over their last five matches, FC Tokyo averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Kashiwa Reysol averaged 2.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Tokyo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

FC Tokyo

4-4-2

Coach: R. Matsuhashi

Goalkeeper

  • 81Kim Seung-Gyu

Defence

  • 22H. Ishihara
  • 24A. Scholz
  • 4H. Inamura
  • 6K. Bangnagande

Midfield

  • 10K. Sato
  • 27Kyota Tokiwa
  • 8T. Ko
  • 7S. Anzai

Attack

  • 9Marcelo Ryan
  • 26M. Nagakura
Substitutes (9)
  • 1H. Tanaka
  • 44K. Suzuki
  • 99Dani Gómez
  • 71F. Yamada
  • 33K. Tawaratsumida
  • 3M. Morishige
  • 20S. Nagano
  • 39T. Nakagawa
  • 15R. Omori

Kashiwa Reysol

3-4-2-1

Coach: Ricardo Rodríguez

Goalkeeper

  • 29K. Nagai

Defence

  • 28S. Toshima
  • 4T. Koga
  • 2H. Mitsumaru

Midfield

  • 24T. Kubo
  • 21Y. Konishi
  • 39N. Nakagawa
  • 44K. Yuba
  • 16K. Yuruki
  • 87H. Yamauchi

Attack

  • 15S. Fujio
Substitutes (9)
  • 5K. Endo
  • 30Shusuke Furuya
  • 42W. Harada
  • 40R. Harakawa
  • 9M. Hosoya
  • 8Y. Koizumi
  • 1H. Saruta
  • 20Y. Segawa
  • 26D. Sugioka

Match Statistics

FC TokyoKashiwa Reysol
509Passes accurate392
12Shots insidebox9
7Shots outsidebox3
5Blocked Shots4
8Free Kicks8
3Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
11Shots off Goal5
585Total passes467
19Total Shots12
3Yellow Cards4
5Corner Kicks5
0Offsides1
8Fouls8
0Red Cards0
55%Ball Possession45%
1.69Expected Goals1.08

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.093.483.30

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.701.27

Draw no bet

12
1.552.35

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.632.15

1st half

1X2
2.612.213.77

2nd half

1X2
2.382.543.38

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.2513.329.2
HT X5.345.577.42
HT 223.214.05.39

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7312.42.23

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.8
1.51.223.89
2.51.782.02
3.52.801.39
4.55.381.13
5.59.561.03
6.519.11.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.80
11.018.50
1.251.114.96
1.751.253.29
21.352.94
2.251.572.33
2.751.981.80
32.251.58
3.252.531.46
3.753.201.26
44.301.15
4.254.601.13
58.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.971.35
-0.752.331.54
-0.52.071.75
-0.251.801.99
01.522.47
+0.251.392.83
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.57.571.04
-26.601.07
-1.754.581.15
-1.53.651.22
-1.253.321.29
+0.51.333.40
+0.751.204.10
+11.095.82
+1.251.086.23
+1.51.086.45
+1.751.018.30
+2.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.056.70
6.51.115.10
7.51.253.42
8.51.492.43
9.51.841.87
10.52.331.53
11.53.091.31
12.54.001.18
13.55.501.09
14.57.501.03
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.251.502.37
8.751.512.32
91.752.05
9.251.712.02
9.751.921.77
102.121.68
10.252.191.59
10.752.491.42

Latest J1 League results

21 OctUrawa 3-2 JEF United Chiba
21 OctYokohama F. Marinos 2-2 Tokyo Verdy
21 OctKyoto Sanga 2-2 Kashima
21 OctKawasaki Frontale 2-1 Vissel Kobe
21 OctFagiano Okayama 2-0 Mito Hollyhock
21 OctV-varen Nagasaki 4-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima