Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#32.0:1.016:3025/10 · Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw3.4:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70DAFX3.70BFR22.60PINMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets54Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 16:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.70	3.55	2.50	5.2%
Pinnacle	2.61	3.49	2.60	5.4%
Betano	2.67	3.45	2.45	7.3%
Betfair	2.55	3.60	2.45	7.8%
1xBet	2.55	3.44	2.48	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.55	3.44	2.48	8.6%
BetVictor	2.55	3.40	2.45	9.4%
Bet365	2.60	3.40	2.40	9.5%
William Hill	2.50	3.30	2.50	10.3%
SBO	2.45	3.13	2.36	15.1%
Best of all books	2.70	3.60	2.60	3.3%
Average	2.57	3.42	2.47	8.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Legia WarszawaLech Poznan

Last 10#3Table position#22.09Points per game2.5013Form pts · last 582.0Goals for · last 53.41.0Goals against · last 51.037Attack rating6350Defence rating5048Form rating5229H2H rating7166Goals model3443Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

Legia Warszawa

5W 4D 1L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	A	Cracovia Krakow	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Wisla Krakow	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Korona Kielce	5-1	W
26 Sep	A	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	4-2	W
20 Sep	A	Jagiellonia	3-1	W
13 Sep	H	Widzew Łódź	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Motor Lublin	3-2	W
1 Sep	A	Motor Lublin	0-3	L
28 Aug	H	Slask Wroclaw	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Piast Gliwice	1-1	D

Lech Poznan

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:17 · per match 2.2 for, 1.7 against

22 Oct	H	Sunderland	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Korona Kielce	6-1	W
15 Oct	H	Bayer Leverkusen	0-4	L
10 Oct	A	Slask Wroclaw	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Energie Cottbus	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Radomiak Radom	5-1	W
17 Sep	A	Crystal Palace	0-4	L
12 Sep	A	Gornik Zabrze	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Raków Częstochowa	1-0	W
3 Sep	H	Jagiellonia	2-1	W

Head to head

6Legia Warszawa wins

6draws

7Lech Poznan wins

19 meetings · goals 16:23 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Legia Warszawa

26 Apr 2026Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Lech Poznan4-0Legia Warszawa
26 Oct 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Legia Warszawa0-0Lech Poznan
13 Jul 2025Super Cup	Super Cup	Lech Poznan1-2Legia Warszawa
11 May 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Legia Warszawa0-1Lech Poznan
10 Nov 2024Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Lech Poznan5-2Legia Warszawa
12 May 2024Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Lech Poznan1-2Legia Warszawa
12 Nov 2023Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Legia Warszawa0-0Lech Poznan
16 Apr 2023Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Legia Warszawa2-2Lech Poznan
1 Oct 2022Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Lech Poznan0-0Legia Warszawa
9 Apr 2022Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Lech Poznan1-1Legia Warszawa

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Legia Warszawa sit 3rd with 23 points from 11 games, while Lech Poznan are 2nd with 25 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	11	8	2	1	20:10	+10	26
2	Lech Poznan	10	8	1	1	27:9	+18	25
3	Legia Warszawa	11	6	5	0	22:9	+13	23
4	Pogon Szczecin	10	6	3	1	15:6	+9	21
5	GKS Katowice	11	6	0	5	22:16	+6	18
6	Wisla Krakow	11	5	3	3	17:14	+3	18
7	Zaglebie Lubin	11	5	3	3	13:13	0	18
8	Piast Gliwice	11	5	2	4	19:17	+2	17
9	Korona Kielce	11	4	3	4	13:18	-5	15
10	Wisla Plock	10	4	2	4	10:15	-5	14
11	Cracovia Krakow	11	3	3	5	13:16	-3	12
12	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	15:19	-4	12
13	Jagiellonia	10	4	0	6	13:17	-4	12
14	Widzew Łódź	11	1	7	3	14:15	-1	10
15	Wieczysta Kraków	11	2	2	7	16:21	-5	8
16	Radomiak Radom	11	2	2	7	9:24	-15	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	3	7	14:22	-8	6
18	Raków Częstochowa	11	2	0	9	15:26	-11	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.58X27%3.43237%2.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.70	2.16	5.1%
Betano	1.67	2.18	5.8%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.67	2.11	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.11	7.3%
BetVictor	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.18	4.7%
Average	1.68	2.12	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.53	2.34	8.1%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betano	1.52	2.35	8.3%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.54	2.31	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Legia Warszawa 10%Draw 45%Lech Poznan 45%

The statistical model rates Legia Warszawa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lech Poznan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.58 | 3.43 | 2.46, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Legia Warszawa are 3rd (23 pts, 22-9 goals), Lech Poznan 2nd (25 pts, 27-9).

Over their last five matches, Legia Warszawa averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lech Poznan averaged 3.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lech Poznan.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.57	3.42	2.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.44	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.93	1.82

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.31

1st half

1	X	2
3.11	2.24	2.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.83	2.58	2.69

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.21	13.5	25.0
HT X	6.32	5.66	6.12
HT 2	25.4	13.4	3.94

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	13.6	1.91

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.8
1.5	1.20	4.09
2.5	1.68	2.12
3.5	2.62	1.43
4.5	4.76	1.15
5.5	9.02	1.03
6.5	17.6	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.80
1.25	1.08	5.55
1.75	1.21	3.59
2	1.27	3.16
2.25	1.48	2.46
2.75	1.85	1.88
3	2.07	1.67
3.25	2.35	1.52
3.75	3.07	1.29
4	3.95	1.17
4.25	4.31	1.15
4.75	5.80	1.07
5	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.55	1.48
-0.25	2.20	1.61
0	1.90	1.85
+0.25	1.64	2.15
+0.5	1.52	2.46
+0.75	1.36	2.96

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.70	1.01
-2	8.70	1.02
-1.75	6.43	1.08
-1.5	5.02	1.13
-1.25	4.47	1.16
-1	4.12	1.19
-0.75	3.03	1.34
+1	1.21	3.97
+1.25	1.17	4.34
+1.5	1.14	4.73
+1.75	1.08	6.20
+2.5	1.01	9.35

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.24	3.80
8.5	1.44	2.65
9.5	1.74	2.00
10	2.00	1.80
10.5	2.25	1.60
11.5	3.00	1.36

Next Ekstraklasa matches

23 Oct	Motor Lublin – Zaglebie Lubin
23 Oct	Widzew Łódź – Gornik Zabrze
24 Oct	Piast Gliwice – Cracovia Krakow
24 Oct	Korona Kielce – GKS Katowice
24 Oct	Pogon Szczecin – Radomiak Radom
24 Oct	Wisla Krakow – Raków Częstochowa

All Ekstraklasa fixtures and the table

Latest Ekstraklasa results

19 Oct	Wisla Plock 1-0 Radomiak Radom
18 Oct	Lech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce
18 Oct	Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Jagiellonia
18 Oct	Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Piast Gliwice
17 Oct	Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Legia Warszawa
17 Oct	GKS Katowice 0-1 Pogon Szczecin