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Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#121.8:1.816:00Today · Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin1.4:1.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05BTNX3.60BFR23.86PINMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets67Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 03:48 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.973.563.864.8%
Dafabet2.053.553.555.1%
Betano2.053.453.456.8%
Betfair1.953.603.507.6%
1xBet1.923.483.688.0%
Marathonbet1.903.483.668.7%
William Hill1.953.303.609.4%
BetVictor1.913.503.509.5%
Bet3651.903.403.609.8%
SBO1.963.083.1814.9%
Best of all books2.053.603.862.5%
Average1.963.443.568.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Motor LublinZaglebie Lubin
Last 10#12Table position#71.09Points per game1.647Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 51.656Attack rating4447Defence rating5344Form rating5693H2H rating748Goals model5260Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Motor Lublin

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHSlask Wroclaw3-2W
12 OctARadomiak Radom3-2W
19 SepHGornik Zabrze0-0D
11 SepARaków Częstochowa1-2L
5 SepHLegia Warszawa2-3L
1 SepHLegia Warszawa3-0W
29 AugHPiast Gliwice0-2L
22 AugAKorona Kielce1-1D
16 AugHGKS Katowice1-0W
8 AugAPogon Szczecin1-3L

Zaglebie Lubin

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

18 OctHJagiellonia1-0W
10 OctACracovia Krakow1-3L
3 OctHMiedz Legnica1-0W
20 SepHWisla Plock0-2L
15 SepARaków Częstochowa3-2W
12 SepHGKS Katowice2-1W
7 SepAWieczysta Kraków1-1D
1 SepASiarka Tarnobrzeg2-3L
29 AugHPogon Szczecin0-0D
23 AugARadomiak Radom0-0D

Head to head

4Motor Lublin wins
1draws
0Zaglebie Lubin wins

5 meetings · goals 7:3 · last 5: 4W 1D 0L for Motor Lublin

20 Mar 2026EkstraklasaEkstraklasaMotor Lublin1-0Zaglebie Lubin
21 Sep 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin2-2Motor Lublin
18 May 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaMotor Lublin1-0Zaglebie Lubin
22 Nov 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin1-2Motor Lublin
19 Oct 2022CupCupMotor Lublin1-0Zaglebie Lubin

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Motor Lublin sit 12th with 12 points from 11 games, while Zaglebie Lubin are 7th with 18 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gornik Zabrze1182120:10+1026
2Lech Poznan1081127:9+1825
3Legia Warszawa1165022:9+1323
4Pogon Szczecin1063115:6+921
5GKS Katowice1160522:16+618
6Wisla Krakow1153317:14+318
7Zaglebie Lubin1153313:13018
8Piast Gliwice1152419:17+217
9Korona Kielce1143413:18-515
10Wisla Plock1042410:15-514
11Cracovia Krakow1133513:16-312
12Motor Lublin1133515:19-412
13Jagiellonia1040613:17-412
14Widzew Łódź1117314:15-110
15Wieczysta Kraków1122716:21-58
16Radomiak Radom112279:24-158
17Slask Wroclaw1113714:22-86
18Raków Częstochowa1120915:26-116

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.96X27%3.44226%3.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Oct 00:0022 Oct 22:301 1.96X 3.442 3.56
11.95 → 1.96 +0.5%X3.51 → 3.44 -2.0%23.51 → 3.56 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.832.043.7%
SBO1.792.035.1%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betano1.752.055.9%
Betfair1.752.055.9%
1xBet1.771.977.3%
Marathonbet1.771.977.3%
BetVictor1.741.949.0%
Best of all books1.832.053.4%
Average1.772.016.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
William Hill1.652.157.1%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
Betano1.602.227.5%
1xBet1.652.118.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.652.088.7%
Best of all books1.672.224.9%
Average1.652.147.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Motor Lublin 45%Draw 45%Zaglebie Lubin 10%

The statistical model rates Motor Lublin at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zaglebie Lubin at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 3.44 | 3.56, which imply roughly 51% for a Motor Lublin win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Motor Lublin are 12th (12 pts, 15-19 goals), Zaglebie Lubin 7th (18 pts, 13-13).

Over their last five matches, Motor Lublin averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Zaglebie Lubin averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Motor Lublin or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.963.443.56

Double chance

1XX212
1.261.801.26

Draw no bet

12
1.442.59

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.652.14

1st half

1X2
2.492.214.02

2nd half

1X2
2.272.533.67

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.0613.732.8
HT X4.975.528.04
HT 222.414.25.89

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6512.12.34

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.8
1.51.223.84
2.51.782.01
3.52.831.38
4.55.411.13
5.510.11.05
6.519.11.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.80
1.251.105.00
1.751.253.29
21.362.88
2.251.562.29
2.751.971.78
32.261.57
3.252.551.45
3.753.361.25
44.501.13
4.254.861.12
4.756.551.05
59.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.081.33
-12.691.41
-0.752.181.62
-0.51.961.83
-0.251.672.12
01.422.73
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.751.04
-2.256.501.07
-26.101.09
-1.754.221.18
-1.53.411.27
+0.251.323.15
+0.51.273.68
+0.751.174.50
+11.066.90
+1.251.057.13
+1.51.027.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.124.90
7.51.263.36
8.51.492.45
9.51.841.88
10.52.341.53
11.53.151.30
12.54.101.17
13.55.701.08
14.57.701.03
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.542.25
91.592.31
9.251.741.98
9.751.941.73
102.011.78
10.252.221.54
10.752.561.40
112.501.50

Next Ekstraklasa matches

23 OctWidzew Łódź – Gornik Zabrze
24 OctPiast Gliwice – Cracovia Krakow
24 OctKorona Kielce – GKS Katowice
24 OctPogon Szczecin – Radomiak Radom
24 OctWisla Krakow – Raków Częstochowa
25 OctSlask Wroclaw – Wieczysta Kraków

All Ekstraklasa fixtures and the table

Latest Ekstraklasa results

19 OctWisla Plock 1-0 Radomiak Radom
18 OctLech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce
18 OctZaglebie Lubin 1-0 Jagiellonia
18 OctGornik Zabrze 1-1 Piast Gliwice
17 OctCracovia Krakow 1-1 Legia Warszawa
17 OctGKS Katowice 0-1 Pogon Szczecin