Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#91.2:2.612:45Tomorrow · Suzuki Arena, Kielce2.0:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.17DAFX3.80BFR23.20BFRMargin at best3.6%Books10Markets59Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 03:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.17	3.70	3.15	4.9%
Pinnacle	2.13	3.66	3.19	5.6%
Betano	2.12	3.70	3.05	7.0%
Betfair	2.00	3.80	3.20	7.6%
1xBet	2.05	3.58	3.20	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.03	3.58	3.18	8.6%
Bet365	2.10	3.60	3.00	8.7%
BetVictor	2.05	3.60	3.00	9.9%
William Hill	2.10	3.40	3.00	10.4%
SBO	2.12	3.16	2.76	15.0%
Best of all books	2.17	3.80	3.20	3.6%
Average	2.09	3.58	3.07	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Korona KielceGKS Katowice

Last 10#9Table position#51.36Points per game1.643Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.02.6Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6335Defence rating6540Form rating6050H2H rating5046Goals model5443Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Korona Kielce

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against

18 Oct	A	Lech Poznan	1-6	L
11 Oct	A	Pogon Szczecin	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Legia Warszawa	1-5	L
19 Sep	H	Raków Częstochowa	3-2	W
15 Sep	H	Gornik Zabrze	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Slask Wroclaw	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Wisla Krakow	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	Widzew Łódź	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Wisla Plock	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Motor Lublin	1-1	D

GKS Katowice

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	Pogon Szczecin	0-1	L
12 Oct	H	Wieczysta Kraków	2-1	W
9 Oct	A	Raków Częstochowa	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Baník Ostrava	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Cracovia Krakow	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	Zaglebie Lubin	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	Piast Gliwice	0-3	L
30 Aug	A	Gornik Zabrze	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Wisla Plock	5-0	W
16 Aug	A	Motor Lublin	0-1	L

Head to head

2Korona Kielce wins

1draws

4GKS Katowice wins

7 meetings · goals 6:8 · last 7: 2W 1D 4L for Korona Kielce

25 Apr 2026Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Korona Kielce1-1GKS Katowice
25 Oct 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	GKS Katowice1-0Korona Kielce
5 May 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Korona Kielce2-1GKS Katowice
4 Nov 2024Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	GKS Katowice1-2Korona Kielce
10 Dec 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Korona Kielce0-1GKS Katowice
14 May 2022I Liga	I Liga	Korona Kielce1-2GKS Katowice
6 Nov 2021I Liga	I Liga	GKS Katowice1-0Korona Kielce

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Korona Kielce sit 9th with 15 points from 11 games, while GKS Katowice are 5th with 18 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	11	8	2	1	20:10	+10	26
2	Lech Poznan	10	8	1	1	27:9	+18	25
3	Legia Warszawa	11	6	5	0	22:9	+13	23
4	Pogon Szczecin	10	6	3	1	15:6	+9	21
5	GKS Katowice	11	6	0	5	22:16	+6	18
6	Wisla Krakow	11	5	3	3	17:14	+3	18
7	Zaglebie Lubin	11	5	3	3	13:13	0	18
8	Piast Gliwice	11	5	2	4	19:17	+2	17
9	Korona Kielce	11	4	3	4	13:18	-5	15
10	Wisla Plock	10	4	2	4	10:15	-5	14
11	Cracovia Krakow	11	3	3	5	13:16	-3	12
12	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	15:19	-4	12
13	Jagiellonia	10	4	0	6	13:17	-4	12
14	Widzew Łódź	11	1	7	3	14:15	-1	10
15	Wieczysta Kraków	11	2	2	7	16:21	-5	8
16	Radomiak Radom	11	2	2	7	9:24	-15	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	3	7	14:22	-8	6
18	Raków Częstochowa	11	2	0	9	15:26	-11	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.09X26%3.58230%3.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.01 → 2.09 +4.0%X3.61 → 3.58 -0.8%23.25 → 3.07 -5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.64	2.29	4.6%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.21	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.21	7.4%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.64	2.30	4.5%
Average	1.61	2.24	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
William Hill	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.53	2.35	7.9%
1xBet	1.52	2.37	8.0%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.33	8.7%
Best of all books	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Average	1.52	2.38	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Korona Kielce 10%Draw 45%GKS Katowice 45%

The statistical model rates Korona Kielce at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and GKS Katowice at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 3.58 | 3.07, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Korona Kielce are 9th (15 pts, 13-18 goals), GKS Katowice 5th (18 pts, 22-16).

Over their last five matches, Korona Kielce averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; GKS Katowice averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or GKS Katowice.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.09	3.58	3.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.70	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.38

1st half

1	X	2
2.55	2.30	3.55

2nd half

1	X	2
2.37	2.64	3.26

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.22	13.2	26.9
HT X	5.45	6.06	7.51
HT 2	21.7	13.5	5.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	15.4	2.14

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.6
1.5	1.18	4.43
2.5	1.61	2.24
3.5	2.52	1.47
4.5	4.47	1.17
5.5	8.45	1.05
6.5	16.2	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.0
1.25	1.07	5.95
1.75	1.19	3.87
2	1.23	3.44
2.25	1.43	2.61
2.75	1.76	1.99
3	1.99	1.75
3.25	2.22	1.58
3.75	2.89	1.33
4	3.68	1.20
4.25	4.01	1.17
4.75	5.40	1.09
5	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.98	1.34
-0.75	2.37	1.52
-0.5	2.10	1.71
-0.25	1.82	1.93
0	1.56	2.34
+0.25	1.42	2.69

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.20	1.03
-2	6.60	1.07
-1.75	4.60	1.15
-1.5	3.59	1.24
-1.25	3.36	1.28
+0.5	1.37	3.09
+0.75	1.23	3.82
+1	1.10	5.47
+1.25	1.09	5.86
+1.5	1.08	6.32
+1.75	1.01	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.21	3.74
8.5	1.41	2.64
9.5	1.73	2.00
10.5	2.18	1.59
11.5	2.89	1.34

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.44	2.50
9.25	1.60	2.14
9.75	1.81	1.87
10	1.98	1.82
10.25	2.03	1.65
10.75	2.30	1.49

Next Ekstraklasa matches

23 Oct	Motor Lublin – Zaglebie Lubin
23 Oct	Widzew Łódź – Gornik Zabrze
24 Oct	Piast Gliwice – Cracovia Krakow
24 Oct	Pogon Szczecin – Radomiak Radom
24 Oct	Wisla Krakow – Raków Częstochowa
25 Oct	Slask Wroclaw – Wieczysta Kraków

All Ekstraklasa fixtures and the table

Latest Ekstraklasa results

19 Oct	Wisla Plock 1-0 Radomiak Radom
18 Oct	Lech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce
18 Oct	Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Jagiellonia
18 Oct	Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Piast Gliwice
17 Oct	Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Legia Warszawa
17 Oct	GKS Katowice 0-1 Pogon Szczecin