Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#41.6:0.415:30Tomorrow · Florian-Krygier-Stadion, Szczecin0.6:2.2#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.79DAFX4.00BFR24.43PINMargin at best3.4%Books10Markets66Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 03:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.79	3.90	4.30	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.71	4.00	4.43	6.1%
Betfair	1.73	4.00	4.20	6.6%
Betano	1.78	3.80	4.05	7.2%
1xBet	1.72	3.84	4.20	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.70	3.84	4.20	8.7%
BetVictor	1.67	3.80	4.33	9.3%
Bet365	1.70	3.70	4.20	9.7%
William Hill	1.75	3.60	4.00	9.9%
SBO	1.69	3.41	3.81	14.7%
Best of all books	1.79	4.00	4.43	3.4%
Average	1.72	3.79	4.17	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pogon SzczecinRadomiak Radom

Last 10#4Table position#162.10Points per game0.7313Form pts · last 531.6Goals for · last 50.60.4Goals against · last 52.273Attack rating2785Defence rating1593Form rating729H2H rating7192Goals model869Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Pogon Szczecin

5W 4D 1L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	GKS Katowice	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Korona Kielce	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Udinese	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Piast Gliwice	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Wieczysta Kraków	2-0	W
7 Sep	H	Wisla Plock	1-1	D
3 Sep	A	Slask Wroclaw	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Zaglebie Lubin	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Wisla Krakow	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Motor Lublin	3-1	W

Radomiak Radom

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

19 Oct	A	Wisla Plock	0-1	L
12 Oct	H	Motor Lublin	2-3	L
2 Oct	H	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	7-2	W
20 Sep	A	Lech Poznan	1-5	L
14 Sep	H	Piast Gliwice	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Widzew Łódź	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Korona Kielce II	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Cracovia Krakow	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Zaglebie Lubin	0-0	D
14 Aug	A	Legia Warszawa	0-5	L

Head to head

4Pogon Szczecin wins

2draws

4Radomiak Radom wins

10 meetings · goals 18:14 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Pogon Szczecin

6 Dec 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin2-2Radomiak Radom
20 Jul 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Radomiak Radom5-1Pogon Szczecin
10 May 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Radomiak Radom2-0Pogon Szczecin
8 Nov 2024Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin0-1Radomiak Radom
16 Feb 2024Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Radomiak Radom0-4Pogon Szczecin
13 Aug 2023Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin0-2Radomiak Radom
27 May 2023Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin4-0Radomiak Radom
13 Nov 2022Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Radomiak Radom1-2Pogon Szczecin
4 Mar 2022Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin4-0Radomiak Radom
13 Sep 2021Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Radomiak Radom1-1Pogon Szczecin

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Pogon Szczecin sit 4th with 21 points from 10 games, while Radomiak Radom are 16th with 8 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	11	8	2	1	20:10	+10	26
2	Lech Poznan	10	8	1	1	27:9	+18	25
3	Legia Warszawa	11	6	5	0	22:9	+13	23
4	Pogon Szczecin	10	6	3	1	15:6	+9	21
5	GKS Katowice	11	6	0	5	22:16	+6	18
6	Wisla Krakow	11	5	3	3	17:14	+3	18
7	Zaglebie Lubin	11	5	3	3	13:13	0	18
8	Piast Gliwice	11	5	2	4	19:17	+2	17
9	Korona Kielce	11	4	3	4	13:18	-5	15
10	Wisla Plock	10	4	2	4	10:15	-5	14
11	Cracovia Krakow	11	3	3	5	13:16	-3	12
12	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	15:19	-4	12
13	Jagiellonia	10	4	0	6	13:17	-4	12
14	Widzew Łódź	11	1	7	3	14:15	-1	10
15	Wieczysta Kraków	11	2	2	7	16:21	-5	8
16	Radomiak Radom	11	2	2	7	9:24	-15	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	3	7	14:22	-8	6
18	Raków Częstochowa	11	2	0	9	15:26	-11	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.73X24%3.79222%4.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.70 → 1.73 +1.8%X3.91 → 3.79 -3.1%24.30 → 4.17 -3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.62	2.25	6.2%
BetVictor	1.61	2.13	9.1%
1xBet	1.57	2.14	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.14	10.4%
Best of all books	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Average	1.61	2.21	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Betano	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.59	2.21	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.18	8.8%
Best of all books	1.67	2.38	1.9%
Average	1.60	2.22	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pogon Szczecin 45%Draw 45%Radomiak Radom 10%

The statistical model rates Pogon Szczecin at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Radomiak Radom at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.79 | 4.17, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Pogon Szczecin win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Pogon Szczecin are 4th (21 pts, 15-6 goals), Radomiak Radom 16th (8 pts, 9-24).

Over their last five matches, Pogon Szczecin averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Radomiak Radom averaged 0.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Pogon Szczecin.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	3.79	4.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	2.04	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
2.22	2.34	4.43

2nd half

1	X	2
2.07	2.67	3.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.60	13.7	32.4
HT X	4.68	6.20	9.41
HT 2	20.3	14.5	7.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	15.1	2.48

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.5
1.5	1.18	4.39
2.5	1.61	2.21
3.5	2.54	1.49
4.5	4.50	1.17
5.5	8.37	1.05
6.5	16.2	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.90
1.25	1.08	5.70
1.75	1.19	3.78
2	1.24	3.34
2.25	1.43	2.57
2.75	1.76	1.96
3	2.00	1.74
3.25	2.23	1.57
3.75	2.87	1.33
4	3.60	1.21
4.25	3.92	1.18
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.10	1.04
5.25	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.73	1.41
-1.25	2.50	1.47
-1	2.23	1.61
-0.75	1.88	1.86
-0.5	1.71	2.10
-0.25	1.48	2.45

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.2	1.04
-2.75	6.45	1.05
-2.5	5.23	1.12
-2.25	4.92	1.13
-2	4.43	1.16
-1.75	3.41	1.27
0	1.30	3.26
+0.25	1.24	3.68
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.11	5.28
+1	1.03	7.60
+1.5	1.01	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.29	3.15
9.5	1.52	2.32
10.5	1.87	1.83
11.5	2.40	1.49
12.5	3.22	1.28

5 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9.25	1.43	2.46
9.75	1.58	2.13
10.25	1.77	1.88
10.75	2.01	1.70
11.25	2.28	1.53

Next Ekstraklasa matches

23 Oct	Motor Lublin – Zaglebie Lubin
23 Oct	Widzew Łódź – Gornik Zabrze
24 Oct	Piast Gliwice – Cracovia Krakow
24 Oct	Korona Kielce – GKS Katowice
24 Oct	Wisla Krakow – Raków Częstochowa
25 Oct	Slask Wroclaw – Wieczysta Kraków

All Ekstraklasa fixtures and the table

Latest Ekstraklasa results

19 Oct	Wisla Plock 1-0 Radomiak Radom
18 Oct	Lech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce
18 Oct	Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Jagiellonia
18 Oct	Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Piast Gliwice
17 Oct	Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Legia Warszawa
17 Oct	GKS Katowice 0-1 Pogon Szczecin