Lech Poznan vs 
Korona Kielce• Ekstraklasa, Poland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 09:13 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 4.50 | 5.84 | 4.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 4.35 | 5.47 | 7.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 8.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 4.35 | 5.40 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.25 | 8.8% |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 10.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.84 | 3.9% |
| Average | 1.52 | 4.22 | 5.37 | 8.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:10 UTC
Lech Poznan
5W 2D 3L · goals 20:19 · per match 2.0 for, 1.9 against
| 15 Oct | H | Bayer Leverkusen | 0-4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Slask Wroclaw | 4-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Energie Cottbus | 2-2 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Radomiak Radom | 5-1 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Crystal Palace | 0-4 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Gornik Zabrze | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Raków Częstochowa | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Sep | H | Jagiellonia | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Widzew Łódź | 3-2 | W |
| 27 Aug | A | FC Thun | 2-2 | D |
Korona Kielce
5W 2D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against
| 11 Oct | A | Pogon Szczecin | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Legia Warszawa | 1-5 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Raków Częstochowa | 3-2 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Gornik Zabrze | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Slask Wroclaw | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Wisla Krakow | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Sep | A | Widzew Łódź | 1-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Wisla Plock | 2-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Motor Lublin | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | Widzew Łódź | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
12 meetings · goals 21:9 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Lech Poznan
| 22 Feb 2026Ekstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce1-2Lech Poznan |
| 16 Aug 2025Ekstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan1-1Korona Kielce |
| 5 Apr 2025Ekstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan2-0Korona Kielce |
| 29 Sep 2024Ekstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce2-3Lech Poznan |
| 25 May 2024Ekstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan1-2Korona Kielce |
| 2 Dec 2023Ekstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce0-1Lech Poznan |
| 19 May 2023Ekstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce0-3Lech Poznan |
| 6 Nov 2022Ekstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan3-2Korona Kielce |
| 14 Jun 2020Ekstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce0-3Lech Poznan |
| 10 Nov 2019Ekstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan0-0Korona Kielce |
Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 17 Oct 23:20 UTC
In the Ekstraklasa table, Lech Poznan sit 3rd with 22 points from 9 games, while Korona Kielce are 8th with 15 points from 10.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22:9 | +13 | 23 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22:16 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15:26 | -11 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 2.46 | 3.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.54 | 2.27 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 2.30 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 2.30 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.58 | 2.46 | 3.9% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.34 | 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.65 | 2.15 | 7.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 2.20 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 2.18 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 2.15 | 8.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 2.20 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.63 | 2.16 | 7.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lech Poznan at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Korona Kielce at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 4.24 | 5.36, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Lech Poznan win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Lech Poznan are 3rd (22 pts, 21-8 goals), Korona Kielce 8th (15 pts, 12-12).
Over their last five matches, Lech Poznan averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Korona Kielce averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 4.22 | 5.37 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | 2.38 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.21 | 4.18 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.63 | 2.16 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.99 | 2.49 | 5.34 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | 2.84 | 4.87 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.12 | 16.1 | 42.0 |
| HT X | 4.39 | 7.17 | 12.7 |
| HT 2 | 21.0 | 17.3 | 9.53 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | 18.0 | 2.75 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 16.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 4.87 |
| 2.5 | 1.53 | 2.34 |
| 3.5 | 2.37 | 1.55 |
| 4.5 | 4.12 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 7.98 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 17.0 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 29.0 | 1.01 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 11.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.14 | 4.35 |
| 2 | 1.18 | 3.88 |
| 2.25 | 1.33 | 2.81 |
| 2.75 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| 3 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| 3.25 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| 3.75 | 2.67 | 1.38 |
| 4 | 3.36 | 1.24 |
| 4.25 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| 4.75 | 5.05 | 1.10 |
| 5 | 7.00 | 1.04 |
| 5.25 | 7.40 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.76 | 1.39 |
| -1.5 | 2.38 | 1.52 |
| -1.25 | 2.12 | 1.66 |
| -1 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| -0.75 | 1.63 | 2.16 |
| -0.5 | 1.51 | 2.47 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 7.60 | 1.05 |
| -2.75 | 5.43 | 1.11 |
| -2.5 | 4.25 | 1.17 |
| -2.25 | 3.93 | 1.21 |
| -2 | 3.64 | 1.24 |
| -0.25 | 1.34 | 3.02 |
| 0 | 1.19 | 4.29 |
| +0.25 | 1.14 | 4.65 |
| +0.5 | 1.15 | 5.50 |
| +0.75 | 1.06 | 7.17 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 9.30 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 10.5 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.06 | 6.30 |
| 7.5 | 1.17 | 4.10 |
| 8.5 | 1.33 | 2.89 |
| 9.5 | 1.59 | 2.20 |
| 10.5 | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| 11.5 | 2.48 | 1.45 |
| 12.5 | 3.27 | 1.26 |
| 13.5 | 4.40 | 1.15 |
| 14.5 | 6.00 | 1.07 |
15 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.08 | 4.70 |
| 8 | 1.19 | 3.35 |
| 9 | 1.42 | 2.59 |
| 9.25 | 1.48 | 2.42 |
| 9.75 | 1.64 | 2.07 |
| 10 | 1.79 | 1.99 |
| 10.25 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| 10.75 | 2.08 | 1.65 |
| 11 | 2.26 | 1.55 |
| 11.25 | 2.41 | 1.49 |
| 11.75 | 2.52 | 1.41 |
| 12 | 2.82 | 1.28 |
| 13 | 3.72 | 1.15 |
| 14 | 4.85 | 1.08 |
| 15 | 5.40 | 1.05 |
Next Ekstraklasa matches
| 18 Oct | Zaglebie Lubin – Jagiellonia |
| 19 Oct | Wisla Plock – Radomiak Radom |