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Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#71.4:1.81-0FTToday · Stadion Zagłębia Lubin, Lubin1.0:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.58PINX3.63PIN22.66PINMargin at best3.9%Books6Markets70Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 09:13 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.583.612.683.8%
1xBet2.503.482.518.6%
Marathonbet2.503.482.518.6%
Bet3652.453.502.558.6%
BetVictor2.503.402.509.4%
William Hill2.503.302.5010.3%
Best of all books2.583.612.683.8%
Average2.513.462.548.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia
Last 10#7Table position#121.64Points per game1.209Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 52.258Attack rating4255Defence rating4570Form rating3050H2H rating5052Goals model4856Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Zaglebie Lubin

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

10 OctACracovia Krakow1-3L
3 OctHMiedz Legnica1-0W
20 SepHWisla Plock0-2L
15 SepARaków Częstochowa3-2W
12 SepHGKS Katowice2-1W
7 SepAWieczysta Kraków1-1D
1 SepASiarka Tarnobrzeg2-3L
29 AugHPogon Szczecin0-0D
23 AugARadomiak Radom0-0D
15 AugHSlask Wroclaw2-1W

Jagiellonia

4W 0D 6L · goals 20:18 · per match 2.0 for, 1.8 against

15 OctHArarat-Armenia3-1W
10 OctHGornik Zabrze1-3L
3 OctHPolonia Warszawa1-2L
29 SepHSuduva Marijampole5-0W
20 SepHLegia Warszawa1-3L
16 SepAOlympiakos Piraeus1-2L
11 SepAWisla Krakow0-2L
6 SepHSlask Wroclaw2-1W
3 SepALech Poznan1-2L
30 AugARaków Częstochowa5-2W

Head to head

7Zaglebie Lubin wins
4draws
7Jagiellonia wins

18 meetings · goals 23:20 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Zaglebie Lubin

23 May 2026EkstraklasaEkstraklasaJagiellonia1-0Zaglebie Lubin
30 Nov 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin0-0Jagiellonia
11 Jul 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsJagiellonia0-1Zaglebie Lubin
21 Apr 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaJagiellonia1-3Zaglebie Lubin
19 Oct 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin1-3Jagiellonia
20 Apr 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin1-2Jagiellonia
20 Oct 2023EkstraklasaEkstraklasaJagiellonia3-0Zaglebie Lubin
18 Mar 2023EkstraklasaEkstraklasaJagiellonia2-2Zaglebie Lubin
4 Sep 2022EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin1-1Jagiellonia
3 Apr 2022EkstraklasaEkstraklasaJagiellonia2-1Zaglebie Lubin

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Zaglebie Lubin sit 7th with 18 points from 11 games, while Jagiellonia are 12th with 12 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gornik Zabrze1182120:10+1026
2Lech Poznan1081127:9+1825
3Legia Warszawa1165022:9+1323
4Pogon Szczecin1063115:6+921
5GKS Katowice1160522:16+618
6Wisla Krakow1153317:14+318
7Zaglebie Lubin1153313:13018
8Piast Gliwice1152419:17+217
9Korona Kielce1143413:18-515
10Cracovia Krakow1133513:16-312
11Motor Lublin1133515:19-412
12Jagiellonia1040613:17-412
13Wisla Plock93249:15-611
14Widzew Łódź1117314:15-110
15Wieczysta Kraków1122716:21-58
16Radomiak Radom102269:23-148
17Slask Wroclaw1113714:22-86
18Raków Częstochowa1120915:26-116

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.51X27%3.46236%2.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 08:501 2.51X 3.472 2.53
12.76 → 2.51 -9.1%X3.43 → 3.47 +1.2%22.33 → 2.53 +8.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.782.103.8%
Bet3651.732.085.9%
1xBet1.732.027.3%
Marathonbet1.732.027.3%
BetVictor1.711.989.0%
Best of all books1.782.103.8%
Average1.742.046.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.602.256.9%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.582.238.1%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.582.208.7%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.592.237.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zaglebie Lubin 45%Draw 45%Jagiellonia 10%

The statistical model rated Zaglebie Lubin at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Jagiellonia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 3.46 | 2.54, which imply roughly 39.8% for a Zaglebie Lubin win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Zaglebie Lubin are 7th (18 pts, 13-13 goals), Jagiellonia 12th (12 pts, 13-17).

Over their last five matches, Zaglebie Lubin averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Jagiellonia averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Zaglebie Lubin or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Zaglebie Lubin

3-4-1-2

Coach: L. Ojrzynski

Goalkeeper

  • 33Z. Alomerović

Defence

  • 5A. Ławniczak
  • 25M. Nalepa
  • 3R. Yakuba

Midfield

  • 13M. Grzybek
  • 39F. Kocaba
  • 8D. Dąbrowski
  • 16J. Ćorluka
  • 37S. Kerk

Attack

  • 44M. Reguła
  • 18F. Szymczak
Substitutes (11)
  • 6D. Čolina
  • 20M. Dziewiatowski
  • 30D. Hładun
  • 26J. Kolan
  • 19S. Łyczko
  • 4D. Michalski
  • 88M. Mlinarić
  • 31I. Orlikowski
  • 99C. Popielec
  • 7J. Sypek
  • 11A. Woźniak

Jagiellonia

4-3-3

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Goalkeeper

  • 50S. Abramowicz

Defence

  • 3D. Stojinović
  • 5Bernardo Vital
  • 4Y. Kobayashi
  • 20B. Wdowik

Midfield

  • 30O. Sow
  • 6T. Romanczuk
  • 19A. Klynge

Attack

  • 72K. Jóźwiak
  • 11Jesús Imaz
  • 7K. Szmyt
Substitutes (12)
  • 27Rodrigo Conceição
  • 9Dimitris Rallis
  • 2C. Polak
  • 1M. Perchel
  • 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
  • 70J. Kucharski
  • 44A. Konstantopoulos
  • 14H. Finndell
  • 8D. Drachal
  • 32A. Ćirković
  • 10J. Agbonifo
  • 85Eryk Kozlowski

Match Statistics

Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia
2.01Expected Goals1.46
180Passes accurate406
9Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox5
2Blocked Shots3
13Free Kicks11
4Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
6Shots off Goal9
1Offsides0
270Total passes512
12Total Shots15
2Yellow Cards1
5Corner Kicks3
11Fouls13
0Red Cards0
36%Ball Possession64%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.513.462.54

Double chance

1XX212
1.471.461.28

Draw no bet

12
1.841.85

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.592.23

1st half

1X2
3.062.253.11

2nd half

1X2
2.772.532.80

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.9513.827.7
HT X6.275.636.30
HT 227.013.83.96

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9413.61.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0312.8
1.51.213.97
2.51.742.04
3.52.821.37
4.55.371.12
5.510.31.03
6.523.01.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.30
1.251.095.40
1.751.233.42
21.302.99
2.251.532.37
2.751.921.81
32.211.59
3.252.491.47
3.753.341.24
44.501.13
4.254.891.11
4.757.071.05
57.901.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.011.34
-0.52.501.51
-0.252.181.63
01.861.90
+0.251.622.18
+0.51.492.53
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.801.01
-28.801.02
-1.756.701.07
-1.55.081.12
-1.254.531.15
-14.141.20
+0.751.343.02
+11.204.14
+1.251.154.53
+1.51.134.97
+1.751.076.75
+21.029.00
+2.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.105.20
7.51.233.45
8.51.472.48
9.51.811.94
10.52.271.56
11.52.911.33
12.53.901.19
13.55.301.10
14.57.301.04
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.124.09
81.272.88
8.751.492.38
91.612.20
9.251.682.06
9.751.871.81
102.041.70
10.252.131.62
10.752.431.44
112.571.39
123.301.20
134.371.10
145.521.05

Next Ekstraklasa matches

19 OctWisla Plock – Radomiak Radom

All Ekstraklasa fixtures and the table

Latest Ekstraklasa results

18 OctLech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce
18 OctGornik Zabrze 1-1 Piast Gliwice
17 OctCracovia Krakow 1-1 Legia Warszawa
17 OctGKS Katowice 0-1 Pogon Szczecin
17 OctMotor Lublin 3-2 Slask Wroclaw
16 OctWidzew Łódź 0-0 Wisla Krakow