Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#130.8:2.013:4525/10 · Chorten Arena, Bialystok1.4:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.04DAFX3.80BFR23.60B365Margin at best3.1%Books10Markets56Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 16:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.04	3.65	3.50	5.0%
Pinnacle	2.01	3.65	3.51	5.6%
Betfair	2.00	3.75	3.40	6.1%
Betano	2.02	3.60	3.35	7.1%
1xBet	1.97	3.58	3.42	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.95	3.58	3.40	8.6%
William Hill	2.00	3.40	3.40	8.8%
BetVictor	1.95	3.60	3.30	9.4%
Bet365	1.83	3.60	3.60	10.2%
SBO	1.99	3.19	3.01	14.8%
Best of all books	2.04	3.75	3.60	3.5%
Average	1.98	3.56	3.39	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JagielloniaWisla Plock

Last 10#13Table position#101.20Points per game1.403Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 51.036Attack rating6433Defence rating6723Form rating7750H2H rating5047Goals model5340Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 22:10 UTC

Jagiellonia

3W 0D 7L · goals 14:18 · per match 1.4 for, 1.8 against

22 Oct	H	Anderlecht	0-3	L
18 Oct	A	Zaglebie Lubin	0-1	L
15 Oct	H	Ararat-Armenia	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Gornik Zabrze	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Polonia Warszawa	1-2	L
29 Sep	H	Suduva Marijampole	5-0	W
20 Sep	H	Legia Warszawa	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	Olympiakos Piraeus	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Wisla Krakow	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Slask Wroclaw	2-1	W

Wisla Plock

5W 1D 4L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

19 Oct	H	Radomiak Radom	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	Wieczysta Kraków	0-3	L
2 Oct	H	Unia Skierniewice	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Zaglebie Lubin	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Cracovia Krakow	3-1	W
7 Sep	A	Pogon Szczecin	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	Luzino	3-2	W
28 Aug	H	Korona Kielce	0-2	L
23 Aug	A	GKS Katowice	0-5	L
7 Aug	A	Wisla Krakow	1-2	L

Head to head

4Jagiellonia wins

4draws

5Wisla Plock wins

13 meetings · goals 20:22 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Jagiellonia

21 Mar 2026Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Jagiellonia1-2Wisla Plock
19 Sep 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock0-1Jagiellonia
21 Apr 2023Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock2-4Jagiellonia
14 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Wisla Plock3-1Jagiellonia
7 Oct 2022Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Jagiellonia1-1Wisla Plock
13 Mar 2022Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Jagiellonia0-1Wisla Plock
18 Sep 2021Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock3-0Jagiellonia
18 Apr 2021Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock2-2Jagiellonia
23 Nov 2020Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Jagiellonia5-2Wisla Plock
6 Jun 2020Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Jagiellonia2-2Wisla Plock

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Jagiellonia sit 13th with 12 points from 10 games, while Wisla Plock are 10th with 14 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	11	8	2	1	20:10	+10	26
2	Lech Poznan	10	8	1	1	27:9	+18	25
3	Legia Warszawa	11	6	5	0	22:9	+13	23
4	Pogon Szczecin	10	6	3	1	15:6	+9	21
5	GKS Katowice	11	6	0	5	22:16	+6	18
6	Wisla Krakow	11	5	3	3	17:14	+3	18
7	Zaglebie Lubin	11	5	3	3	13:13	0	18
8	Piast Gliwice	11	5	2	4	19:17	+2	17
9	Korona Kielce	11	4	3	4	13:18	-5	15
10	Wisla Plock	10	4	2	4	10:15	-5	14
11	Cracovia Krakow	11	3	3	5	13:16	-3	12
12	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	15:19	-4	12
13	Jagiellonia	10	4	0	6	13:17	-4	12
14	Widzew Łódź	11	1	7	3	14:15	-1	10
15	Wieczysta Kraków	11	2	2	7	16:21	-5	8
16	Radomiak Radom	11	2	2	7	9:24	-15	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	3	7	14:22	-8	6
18	Raków Częstochowa	11	2	0	9	15:26	-11	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.97X26%3.56227%3.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Betfair	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.65	2.18	6.5%
1xBet	1.63	2.17	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.17	7.4%
BetVictor	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.64	2.18	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Betano	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.26	8.8%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.56	2.28	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jagiellonia 10%Draw 45%Wisla Plock 45%

The statistical model rates Jagiellonia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Wisla Plock at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.97 | 3.56 | 3.39, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Jagiellonia are 13th (12 pts, 13-17 goals), Wisla Plock 10th (14 pts, 10-15).

Over their last five matches, Jagiellonia averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Wisla Plock averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Wisla Plock.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.98	3.56	3.39

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.77	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.28

1st half

1	X	2
2.47	2.30	3.81

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.62	3.48

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.05	13.4	28.8
HT X	5.14	5.86	7.97
HT 2	22.1	14.2	5.68

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	14.9	2.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	13.0
1.5	1.18	4.25
2.5	1.64	2.18
3.5	2.54	1.46
4.5	4.58	1.16
5.5	8.32	1.04
6.5	17.6	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	10.5
1.25	1.08	5.55
1.75	1.20	3.73
2	1.25	3.30
2.25	1.45	2.56
2.75	1.79	1.96
3	2.00	1.72
3.25	2.26	1.56
3.75	2.89	1.33
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.99	1.17
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.78	1.41
-0.75	2.22	1.59
-0.5	1.99	1.80
-0.25	1.70	2.03
0	1.46	2.51
+0.25	1.36	2.92

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.47	1.07
-2.25	6.30	1.07
-2	5.88	1.09
-1.75	4.15	1.18
-1.5	3.40	1.27
-1.25	3.06	1.33
+0.5	1.31	3.39
+0.75	1.19	4.04
+1	1.09	5.92
+1.25	1.07	6.37
+1.5	1.05	6.55

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.25	3.75
8.5	1.44	2.65
9.5	1.74	2.00
10	2.00	1.80
10.5	2.25	1.60
11.5	3.00	1.36

Next Ekstraklasa matches

23 Oct	Motor Lublin – Zaglebie Lubin
23 Oct	Widzew Łódź – Gornik Zabrze
24 Oct	Piast Gliwice – Cracovia Krakow
24 Oct	Korona Kielce – GKS Katowice
24 Oct	Pogon Szczecin – Radomiak Radom
24 Oct	Wisla Krakow – Raków Częstochowa

All Ekstraklasa fixtures and the table

Latest Ekstraklasa results

19 Oct	Wisla Plock 1-0 Radomiak Radom
18 Oct	Lech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce
18 Oct	Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Jagiellonia
18 Oct	Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Piast Gliwice
17 Oct	Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Legia Warszawa
17 Oct	GKS Katowice 0-1 Pogon Szczecin