Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain• Ligue 1, France

#122.2:1.61-3FTToday · Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg1.8:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

17.061XBX5.64PIN21.441XBMargin at best1.3%Books6Markets96Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	7.06	5.53	1.44	1.7%
Marathonbet	6.95	5.45	1.42	3.2%
Pinnacle	6.77	5.64	1.41	3.4%
Bet365	6.25	5.50	1.40	5.6%
BetVictor	7.00	5.50	1.36	6.0%
William Hill	6.50	5.00	1.40	6.8%
Best of all books	7.06	5.64	1.44	1.3%
Average	6.75	5.44	1.41	4.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

StrasbourgParis Saint Germain

Last 10#12Table position#11.00Points per game2.007Form pts · last 5152.2Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 51.255Attack rating4543Defence rating5741Form rating5929H2H rating7144Goals model5643Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Strasbourg

2W 2D 6L · goals 17:24 · per match 1.7 for, 2.4 against

11 Oct	A	Nice	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Paris FC	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Monaco	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Estac Troyes	6-2	W
29 Aug	H	Lens	2-1	W
21 Aug	A	Marseille	0-4	L
16 Aug	A	Newcastle	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	SC Freiburg	0-2	L
4 Aug	H	SV Elversberg	2-5	L
1 Aug	A	Brighton	3-4	L

Paris Saint Germain

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:13 · per match 2.4 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	A	Strasbourg	3-1	W
14 Oct	A	Manchester City	4-2	W
10 Oct	H	Le Mans	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Marseille	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Stade Brestois 29	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Slovan Bratislava	6-1	W
4 Sep	H	Monaco	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	Lille	2-2	D
23 Aug	A	Rennes	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	Lens	0-1	L

Head to head

2Strasbourg wins

5draws

12Paris Saint Germain wins

19 meetings · goals 26:49 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Strasbourg

1 Feb 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Strasbourg1-2Paris Saint Germain
17 Oct 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris Saint Germain3-3Strasbourg
3 May 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Strasbourg2-1Paris Saint Germain
19 Oct 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris Saint Germain4-2Strasbourg
2 Feb 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Strasbourg1-2Paris Saint Germain
21 Oct 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris Saint Germain3-0Strasbourg
27 May 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Strasbourg1-1Paris Saint Germain
28 Dec 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris Saint Germain2-1Strasbourg
29 Apr 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Strasbourg3-3Paris Saint Germain
14 Aug 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris Saint Germain4-2Strasbourg

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Strasbourg sit 12th with 7 points from 7 games, while Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 14 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	7	4	2	1	14:9	+5	14
2	Monaco	6	4	2	0	10:5	+5	14
3	Lille	6	4	1	1	9:4	+5	13
4	Rennes	6	4	1	1	12:10	+2	13
5	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	+7	11
6	Paris FC	6	3	2	1	8:4	+4	11
7	Toulouse	7	2	3	2	12:11	+1	9
8	Stade Brestois 29	6	2	2	2	12:9	+3	8
9	Lorient	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
10	Nice	6	2	2	2	5:7	-2	8
11	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	+1	7
12	Strasbourg	7	2	1	4	12:15	-3	7
13	Angers	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
14	Marseille	6	2	0	4	9:8	+1	6
15	Le Mans	7	1	3	3	10:15	-5	6
16	Auxerre	6	2	0	4	8:16	-8	6
17	Estac Troyes	6	1	1	4	4:13	-9	4
18	Le Havre	6	0	2	4	4:8	-4	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg114%6.62X18%5.38268%1.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.33 → 6.76 +6.8%X5.24 → 5.44 +3.8%21.40 → 1.41 +0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.34	3.35	4.5%
Bet365	1.33	3.40	4.6%
1xBet	1.31	3.20	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.31	3.20	7.6%
BetVictor	1.33	2.93	9.3%
Best of all books	1.34	3.40	4.0%
Average	1.32	3.22	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.50	2.60	5.1%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.48	2.50	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.46	8.2%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Best of all books	1.50	2.60	5.1%
Average	1.49	2.50	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Strasbourg 10%Draw 45%Paris Saint Germain 45%

The statistical model rated Strasbourg at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Paris Saint Germain at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.62 | 5.38 | 1.41, which imply roughly 18.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Strasbourg are 12th (7 pts, 12-15 goals), Paris Saint Germain 1st (14 pts, 14-9).

Over their last five matches, Strasbourg averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Paris Saint Germain averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Strasbourg

4-3-3

Coach: Hugo Oliveira

Goalkeeper

1F. Jörgensen

Defence

16G. Antwi
31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
4J. Mitchell
36Oso

Midfield

80Gessime Yassine
14Dário Essugo
21P. Diop

Attack

19Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé
40C. Harder
10G. Reyna

Substitutes (9)

23Diogo Sousa
12M. Piekutowski
30J. Ortega
28Tyrese Noubissie
24L. Høgsberg
29S. El Mourabet
35Yaya Dieme
43Y. Becker
7S. Amo-Ameyaw

Paris Saint Germain

4-3-3

Coach: Luis Enrique

Goalkeeper

39M. Safonov

Defence

4Beraldo
6I. Zabarnyi
21L. Hernández
12L. Digne

Midfield

27Pedro Fernández
33W. Zaïre-Emery
87João Neves

Attack

11M. Akliouche
9Ferran Torres
7K. Kvaratskhelia

Substitutes (9)

17Vitinha
8Fabián Ruiz
51W. Pacho
25Nuno Mendes
2A. Hakimi
22M. Godts
14D. Doué
10O. Dembélé
30L. Chevalier

Match Statistics

StrasbourgParis Saint Germain

1.06Expected Goals2.68

194Passes accurate613

13Shots insidebox14

3Shots outsidebox4

1Blocked Shots6

6Free Kicks11

8Shots on Goal7

4Goalkeeper Saves7

7Shots off Goal5

2Offsides0

246Total passes673

16Total Shots18

2Yellow Cards0

3Corner Kicks6

12Fouls6

0Red Cards0

27%Ball Possession73%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.76	5.44	1.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.93	1.12	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
5.13	1.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.50

1st half

1	X	2
5.88	2.84	1.79

2nd half

1	X	2
5.28	3.28	1.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	11.3	18.4	17.8
HT X	15.7	9.07	4.47
HT 2	47.3	17.1	1.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.95	29.5	1.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	25.5
1.5	1.06	7.18
2.5	1.32	3.22
3.5	1.88	1.95
4.5	2.88	1.39
5.5	5.03	1.14
6.5	10.0	1.06
7.5	19.0	1.02
8.5	29.0	1.01
9.5	50.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	20.0
1.75	1.07	6.62
2	1.08	6.15
2.25	1.19	4.11
2.75	1.39	2.88
3	1.48	2.59
3.25	1.68	2.20
3.75	2.07	1.77
4	2.34	1.57
4.25	2.60	1.46
4.75	3.33	1.27
5	4.30	1.17
5.25	4.54	1.14
6	8.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.75	2.67	1.45
+1	2.38	1.56
+1.25	2.03	1.79
+1.5	1.83	2.01
+1.75	1.64	2.26
+2	1.45	2.68

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	11.5	1.01
-1	12.0	1.01
-0.75	8.40	1.03
-0.5	6.00	1.12
-0.25	5.75	1.14
0	5.18	1.13
+0.25	3.61	1.24
+0.5	3.00	1.37
+2.25	1.37	2.98
+2.5	1.31	3.27
+2.75	1.22	3.85
+3	1.12	5.30
+3.25	1.10	5.57
+3.5	1.09	5.87
+4	1.02	10.5
+4.5	1.01	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.21	4.21
2	1.32	3.33
2.5	1.74	2.03
3	2.19	1.67
3.5	2.23	1.63
4	3.61	1.26

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.93
6.5	1.15	3.99
7.5	1.33	2.86
8.5	1.64	2.14
9.5	2.03	1.71
10.5	2.60	1.39
11.5	3.49	1.21
12.5	4.79	1.10
13.5	6.53	1.04

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.07	4.99
6.75	1.14	3.90
7	1.18	3.49
7.25	1.26	3.16
7.75	1.36	2.66
8	1.44	2.57
8.25	1.54	2.27
8.75	1.71	1.97
9	1.86	1.93
9.25	1.94	1.73
9.75	2.20	1.52
10	2.30	1.53
10.25	2.58	1.38
11	2.92	1.26
12	3.92	1.13
13	5.10	1.06