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Lille vs Stade Brestois 29• Ligue 1, France

#31.4:0.81-1FTToday · Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille2.0:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.01PINX3.881XB23.901XBMargin at best1.2%Books6Markets87Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 13:36 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.993.883.901.7%
Pinnacle2.013.743.792.9%
Marathonbet1.943.783.804.3%
BetVictor1.953.703.606.1%
Bet3652.003.603.506.3%
William Hill1.953.503.508.4%
Best of all books2.013.883.901.2%
Average1.973.703.684.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LilleStade Brestois 29
Last 10#3Table position#82.17Points per game1.339Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.441Attack rating5964Defence rating3659Form rating4150H2H rating5065Goals model3555Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Lille

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

13 OctAArsenal0-3L
10 OctHLe Havre1-0W
2 OctHZulte Waregem2-1W
20 SepANice1-2L
13 SepHEstac Troyes2-0W
8 SepHReal Betis2-3L
3 SepAToulouse1-0W
28 AugHParis Saint Germain2-2D
23 AugAAngers2-0W
15 AugAEverton1-1D

Stade Brestois 29

3W 4D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

10 OctHAngers5-1W
3 OctHMonza2-2D
20 SepAAuxerre1-2L
13 SepHParis Saint Germain0-1L
5 SepALe Havre2-1W
29 AugHToulouse2-2D
22 AugALe Mans2-2D
16 AugANottingham Forest0-2L
8 AugHVenezia2-2D
5 AugAStade Briochin2-1W

Head to head

9Lille wins
6draws
4Stade Brestois 29 wins

19 meetings · goals 26:21 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Lille

14 Feb 2026Ligue 1Ligue 1Lille1-1Stade Brestois 29
17 Aug 2025Ligue 1Ligue 1Stade Brestois 293-3Lille
10 May 2025Ligue 1Ligue 1Stade Brestois 292-0Lille
6 Dec 2024Ligue 1Ligue 1Lille3-1Stade Brestois 29
17 Mar 2024Ligue 1Ligue 1Stade Brestois 291-1Lille
22 Oct 2023Ligue 1Ligue 1Lille1-0Stade Brestois 29
24 Feb 2023Ligue 1Ligue 1Lille2-1Stade Brestois 29
11 Jan 2023Ligue 1Ligue 1Stade Brestois 290-0Lille
22 Jan 2022Ligue 1Ligue 1Stade Brestois 292-0Lille
23 Oct 2021Ligue 1Ligue 1Lille1-1Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Lille sit 3rd with 13 points from 6 games, while Stade Brestois 29 are 8th with 8 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain742114:9+514
2Monaco642010:5+514
3Lille64119:4+513
4Rennes641112:10+213
5Lyon632111:4+711
6Paris FC63218:4+411
7Toulouse723212:11+19
8Stade Brestois 29622212:9+38
9Lorient62226:608
10Nice62225:7-28
11Lens621311:10+17
12Strasbourg721412:15-37
13Angers62137:10-37
14Marseille62049:8+16
15Le Mans713310:15-56
16Auxerre62048:16-86
17Estac Troyes61144:13-94
18Le Havre60244:8-42

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%2.05X26%3.62227%3.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 14:411 1.97X 3.702 3.68
11.81 → 1.97 +8.8%X3.82 → 3.70 -3.1%24.12 → 3.68 -10.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.772.221.5%
Pinnacle1.762.163.1%
Marathonbet1.722.154.7%
Bet3651.732.105.4%
BetVictor1.682.029.0%
Best of all books1.772.221.5%
Average1.732.134.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.652.206.1%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.612.207.6%
BetVictor1.602.208.0%
Marathonbet1.612.178.2%
Best of all books1.652.206.1%
Average1.622.197.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lille 45%Draw 45%Stade Brestois 29 10%

The statistical model rated Lille at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Stade Brestois 29 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.62 | 3.53, which imply roughly 48.8% for a Lille win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Lille are 3rd (13 pts, 9-4 goals), Stade Brestois 29 8th (8 pts, 12-9).

Over their last five matches, Lille averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Stade Brestois 29 averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lille or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Lille

4-2-3-1

Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Goalkeeper

  • 12O. Gill

Defence

  • 38M. Goffi
  • 3N. Ngoy
  • 23T. Nianzou
  • 15R. Perraud

Midfield

  • 21B. André
  • 17N. Mukau
  • 8E. Mbappé
  • 10H. Haraldsson
  • 7D. Bakwa

Attack

  • 9O. Giroud
Substitutes (9)
  • 35S. Diaoune
  • 26I. Cossier
  • 6N. Bentaleb
  • 14M. Kjærgaard
  • 40Zadig Lanssade
  • 28G. Perrin
  • 24C. Verdonk
  • 33Matah Yondjio
  • 19B. Önal

Stade Brestois 29

4-2-3-1

Coach: Julien Lachuer

Goalkeeper

  • 1E. Selvik

Defence

  • 70K. Lala
  • 29L. Tousart
  • 4G. Lloris
  • 2B. Locko

Midfield

  • 13J. Chotard
  • 8H. Magnetti
  • 17Mama Baldé
  • 23K. Doumbia
  • 9P. Mboup

Attack

  • 19L. Ajorque
Substitutes (8)
  • 21Ibrahim Yayiya Kante
  • 6M. Diambou
  • 18J. Bourgault
  • 33Enzo Monchatre
  • 20L. Zogbe
  • 30M. Patouillet
  • 7J. Nonge Boende
  • 39D. N´Guessan

Match Statistics

LilleStade Brestois 29
588Passes accurate250
10Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox2
3Blocked Shots3
19Free Kicks12
5Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
9Shots off Goal3
3Offsides0
648Total passes321
17Total Shots8
1Yellow Cards2
5Corner Kicks2
12Fouls20
0Red Cards0
67%Ball Possession33%
1.87Expected Goals0.82

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.973.703.68

Double chance

1XX212
1.291.841.27

Draw no bet

12
1.432.64

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.19

1st half

1X2
2.462.304.13

2nd half

1X2
2.262.613.68

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9414.233.0
HT X5.005.878.40
HT 223.015.16.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6713.92.33

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0413.4
1.51.204.16
2.51.732.13
3.52.701.43
4.54.971.14
5.59.631.03
6.521.01.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–10.5
1.251.105.62
1.751.263.61
21.333.18
2.251.542.50
2.751.911.90
32.161.65
3.252.431.51
3.753.201.30
44.101.17
4.254.401.14
4.755.951.07
58.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.751.44
-0.752.211.64
-0.51.971.85
-0.251.702.15
01.462.72
+0.251.343.08
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.01
-311.51.01
-2.757.551.03
-2.56.601.08
-2.256.481.08
-26.101.10
-1.754.271.19
-1.53.481.28
-1.253.111.35
+0.51.283.55
+0.751.164.45
+11.076.73
+1.251.047.09
+1.51.037.50

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
21.174.79
2.51.432.72
31.682.18
3.52.121.69
42.801.43
4.53.251.32

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.056.01
6.51.154.04
7.51.322.87
8.51.622.16
9.52.001.73
10.52.571.43
11.53.451.21
12.54.731.11
13.56.251.05
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.075.00
71.183.50
7.751.352.69
81.422.61
8.251.522.30
8.751.732.04
91.831.96
9.251.921.75
9.752.171.54
102.341.52
10.252.531.40
10.752.871.27
112.901.26
11.253.481.18
123.901.14
135.091.06