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Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#23.0:1.41-0FT31/10 · Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam0.8:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80BTNX4.55BTN24.181XBMargin at best1.5%Books10Markets88Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 13:04 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.804.553.952.9%
Pinnacle1.784.414.113.2%
Dafabet1.784.403.954.2%
1xBet1.734.434.184.3%
Bet3651.754.503.905.0%
BetVictor1.734.204.006.6%
Marathonbet1.684.304.057.5%
Betfair1.704.204.007.6%
William Hill1.734.003.809.1%
SBO1.603.813.9014.4%
Best of all books1.804.554.181.5%
Average1.734.283.986.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AjaxAZ Alkmaar
Last 10#2Table position#52.18Points per game1.8210Form pts · last 573.0Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 51.479Attack rating2150Defence rating5069Form rating3115H2H rating8548Goals model5247Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 00:10 UTC

Ajax

6W 2D 2L · goals 28:13 · per match 2.8 for, 1.3 against

25 OctASparta Rotterdam2-1W
22 OctHAtalanta2-0W
18 OctAGroningen5-2W
15 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2L
10 OctHNEC Nijmegen1-1D
19 SepHExcelsior2-2D
15 SepHWillem II5-1W
12 SepAFortuna Sittard5-1W
5 SepHPSV Eindhoven1-3L
30 AugATelstar4-0W

AZ Alkmaar

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

25 OctHTwente0-2L
22 OctAArarat-Armenia4-0W
18 OctACambuur2-2D
15 OctHHapoel Beer Sheva2-1W
10 OctAFeyenoord0-2L
20 SepHTelstar1-0W
16 SepASunderland0-1L
11 SepHWillem II1-1D
6 SepAHeerenveen3-2W
29 AugHGO Ahead Eagles5-2W

Head to head

14Ajax wins
8draws
14AZ Alkmaar wins

36 meetings · goals 61:48 · last 10: 0W 3D 7L for Ajax

8 Feb 2026EredivisieEredivisieAZ Alkmaar1-1Ajax
14 Jan 2026KNVB BekerKNVB BekerAZ Alkmaar6-0Ajax
18 Oct 2025EredivisieEredivisieAjax0-2AZ Alkmaar
16 Mar 2025EredivisieEredivisieAjax2-2AZ Alkmaar
14 Jan 2025KNVB BekerKNVB BekerAZ Alkmaar2-0Ajax
8 Dec 2024EredivisieEredivisieAZ Alkmaar2-1Ajax
25 Feb 2024EredivisieEredivisieAZ Alkmaar2-0Ajax
8 Oct 2023EredivisieEredivisieAjax1-2AZ Alkmaar
6 May 2023EredivisieEredivisieAjax0-0AZ Alkmaar
18 Sep 2022EredivisieEredivisieAZ Alkmaar2-1Ajax

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, Ajax sit 2nd with 24 points from 11 games, while AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 20 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Feyenoord1174033:12+2125
2Ajax1173130:13+1724
3PSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223
4Twente1062219:10+920
5AZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720
6Fortuna Sittard1154218:18019
7Heerenveen1153319:13+618
8Groningen1043324:21+315
9GO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014
10Cambuur1033419:22-312
11Utrecht1033417:27-1012
12Excelsior1032516:19-311
13NEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211
14Sparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79
15PEC Zwolle1022611:23-128
16Telstar1013612:21-96
17ADO Den Haag1013613:23-106
18Willem II1102910:39-292

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.73X22%4.28224%3.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Oct 00:0131 Oct 13:201 1.73X 4.282 3.98
11.77 → 1.73 -2.3%X4.18 → 4.28 +2.4%23.79 → 3.98 +5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.413.004.3%
Betano1.403.004.8%
Bet3651.363.105.8%
Betfair1.363.105.8%
1xBet1.372.986.5%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
Marathonbet1.322.8810.5%
Best of all books1.413.103.2%
Average1.363.016.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Betano1.422.756.8%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
William Hill1.402.757.8%
1xBet1.382.818.1%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
Marathonbet1.382.768.7%
Best of all books1.422.885.1%
Average1.392.807.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ajax 35%Draw 35%AZ Alkmaar 30%

The statistical model rated Ajax at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and AZ Alkmaar at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 4.28 | 3.98, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Ajax win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: Ajax are 2nd (24 pts, 30-13 goals), AZ Alkmaar 5th (20 pts, 20-13).

Over their last five matches, Ajax averaged 3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; AZ Alkmaar averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ajax or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Ajax

4-3-3

Coach: Míchel

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. ter Stegen

Defence

  • 2Lucas Rosa
  • 30A. Bouwman
  • 15Y. Baas
  • 5O. Wijndal

Midfield

  • 24J. Mokio
  • 4S. Amrabat
  • 8J. Brandt

Attack

  • 18D. Klaassen
  • 99T. Arokodare
  • 68A. Ouazane
Substitutes (12)
  • 23S. Berghuis
  • 6T. Kehrer
  • 67Mohamed Abdalla
  • 28Y. Bissouma
  • 17D. Blind
  • 43Rayane Bounida
  • 10O. Gloukh
  • 36D. Janse
  • 26M. Paes
  • 49D. Pugno
  • 38Marcos Leonardo
  • 21Jofre Torrents

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1

Coach: L. Echteld

Goalkeeper

  • 28J. De Busser

Defence

  • 22E. Dijkstra
  • 3W. Goes
  • 4L. Schouten
  • 34M. de Wit

Midfield

  • 21D. Kwakman
  • 6P. Koopmeiners
  • 7Weslley Patati
  • 17V. Byskov
  • 11R. Daal

Attack

  • 9M. Meerdink
Substitutes (12)
  • 54Jerolldino Bergraaf
  • 27Wassim bouziane
  • 5M. Chávez
  • 8J. Clasie
  • 29W. Hoedt
  • 30D. Kasius
  • 18B. Kovacs
  • 2S. Maikuma
  • 20A. Natali
  • 1R. Owusu-Oduro
  • 14C. Stengs
  • 75H. de Wit

Match Statistics

AjaxAZ Alkmaar
0.7Expected Goals1.11
419Passes accurate453
7Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox8
1Blocked Shots7
11Free Kicks12
2Shots on Goal5
5Goalkeeper Saves1
6Shots off Goal7
482Total passes504
9Total Shots19
1Yellow Cards2
1Corner Kicks8
0Offsides4
12Fouls12
0Red Cards0
48%Ball Possession52%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.734.283.98

Double chance

1XX212
1.232.091.19

Draw no bet

12
1.343.01

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.392.80

1st half

1X2
2.162.604.05

2nd half

1X2
1.982.983.80

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5013.830.3
HT X5.017.649.97
HT 217.114.36.45

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5527.02.36

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.2
1.51.096.55
2.51.363.01
3.51.961.83
4.53.141.34
5.55.661.13
6.59.611.05
7.514.91.02
8.526.3–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.80
1.751.085.96
21.115.49
2.251.213.73
2.751.442.65
31.562.36
3.251.752.02
3.752.191.65
42.551.49
4.252.801.38
4.753.631.23
54.831.14
5.255.101.11
69.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.741.43
-1.252.491.51
-12.211.65
-0.751.871.91
-0.51.712.13
-0.251.522.42
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.11.04
-39.101.03
-2.756.371.08
-2.55.031.14
-2.254.591.16
-24.211.21
-1.753.301.31
01.353.10
+0.251.293.42
+0.51.283.60
+0.751.144.80
+11.067.19
+1.251.086.64
+1.51.057.94
+2.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.363.00
3.51.781.98
4.52.501.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0214.1
5.51.049.00
6.51.095.56
7.51.203.82
8.51.402.66
9.51.732.02
10.52.171.61
11.52.811.36
12.53.791.20
13.55.201.11
14.56.561.06
15.59.881.02
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.114.25
81.253.00
8.251.322.88
8.751.442.46
91.532.29
9.251.612.13
9.751.801.84
101.991.78
10.252.041.64
10.752.331.48
112.441.47
11.252.701.36
123.171.22
134.191.11
145.351.05

Next Eredivisie matches

1 NovPEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag
1 NovTelstar – Utrecht
1 NovExcelsior – Twente
1 NovGroningen – Sparta Rotterdam

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eredivisie results

31 OctCambuur 4-0 GO Ahead Eagles
31 OctHeerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
31 OctPSV Eindhoven 7-0 Willem II
31 OctFeyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard
25 OctAZ Alkmaar 0-2 Twente
25 OctSparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax