Excelsior vs Twente• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#120.8:2.813:30Today · Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam1.8:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.30BTNX4.90DAF21.531XBMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets82Rating26 · 74Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	6.30	4.75	1.52	2.7%
Pinnacle	6.19	4.73	1.51	3.5%
Dafabet	5.80	4.90	1.51	3.9%
1xBet	5.67	4.74	1.53	4.1%
Bet365	6.00	4.50	1.50	5.6%
BetVictor	6.00	4.75	1.45	6.7%
Marathonbet	5.50	4.60	1.48	7.5%
Betfair	5.50	4.60	1.47	7.9%
William Hill	5.50	4.20	1.44	11.4%
SBO	4.35	3.88	1.52	14.6%
Best of all books	6.30	4.90	1.53	1.6%
Average	5.68	4.57	1.49	6.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ExcelsiorTwente

Last 10#12Table position#41.10Points per game2.004Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.82.8Goals against · last 51.031Attack rating6926Defence rating749Form rating9138H2H rating6223Goals model7726Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:11 UTC

Excelsior

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:19 · per match 1.5 for, 1.9 against

28 Oct	A	MVV	3-0	W
25 Oct	A	Fortuna Sittard	0-1	L
16 Oct	A	Heerenveen	0-4	L
11 Oct	H	Groningen	1-5	L
19 Sep	A	Ajax	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Utrecht	1-2	L
8 Sep	A	NEC Nijmegen	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Willem II	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	Sparta Rotterdam	2-1	W
15 Aug	H	PSV Eindhoven	1-2	L

Twente

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:8 · per match 2.4 for, 0.8 against

25 Oct	A	AZ Alkmaar	2-0	W
22 Oct	A	Lincoln Red Imps FC	4-1	W
18 Oct	H	Utrecht	1-2	L
15 Oct	H	FC Thun	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Fortuna Sittard	1-1	D
2 Oct	H	Werder Bremen	7-0	W
20 Sep	H	PSV Eindhoven	3-2	W
12 Sep	H	ADO Den Haag	2-0	W
9 Sep	H	Telstar	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Groningen	2-2	D

Head to head

5Excelsior wins

6draws

7Twente wins

18 meetings · goals 18:26 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Excelsior

24 Jan 2026Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Twente0-0Excelsior
30 Aug 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Excelsior1-0Twente
10 Feb 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Excelsior0-3Twente
8 Dec 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Twente4-2Excelsior
1 Apr 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Excelsior0-0Twente
31 Aug 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Twente4-0Excelsior
23 Dec 2017Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Excelsior0-0Twente
27 Oct 2017Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Twente1-3Excelsior
12 Feb 2017Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Excelsior1-1Twente
6 Aug 2016Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Twente1-2Excelsior

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, Excelsior sit 12th with 11 points from 10 games, while Twente are 4th with 20 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	11	7	4	0	33:12	+21	25
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	30:13	+17	24
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	2	2	35:13	+22	23
4	Twente	10	6	2	2	19:10	+9	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	2	3	20:13	+7	20
6	Fortuna Sittard	11	5	4	2	18:18	0	19
7	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	19:13	+6	18
8	Groningen	10	4	3	3	24:21	+3	15
9	GO Ahead Eagles	10	3	5	2	23:23	0	14
10	Cambuur	10	3	3	4	19:22	-3	12
11	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	17:27	-10	12
12	Excelsior	10	3	2	5	16:19	-3	11
13	NEC Nijmegen	11	2	5	4	17:19	-2	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	17:24	-7	9
15	PEC Zwolle	10	2	2	6	11:23	-12	8
16	Telstar	10	1	3	6	12:21	-9	6
17	ADO Den Haag	10	1	3	6	13:23	-10	6
18	Willem II	11	0	2	9	10:39	-29	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.68X21%4.56263%1.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.94 → 5.68 +15.0%X4.36 → 4.56 +4.6%21.57 → 1.49 -5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.50	2.70	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.48	2.72	4.3%
Bet365	1.48	2.60	6.0%
Betfair	1.44	2.70	6.5%
1xBet	1.45	2.66	6.6%
BetVictor	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.50	2.72	3.4%
Average	1.46	2.65	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Betano	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
1xBet	1.54	2.32	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.28	8.8%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.45	4.5%
Average	1.54	2.33	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Excelsior 0%Draw 50%Twente 50%

The statistical model rates Excelsior at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Twente at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.68 | 4.56 | 1.49, which imply roughly 21.9% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: Excelsior are 12th (11 pts, 16-19 goals), Twente 4th (20 pts, 19-10).

Over their last five matches, Excelsior averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Twente averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Twente.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.68	4.56	1.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.49	1.14	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
4.33	1.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.33

1st half

1	X	2
5.20	2.57	1.95

2nd half

1	X	2
4.79	2.96	1.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.06	15.6	17.8
HT X	12.1	7.47	4.56
HT 2	39.3	15.1	2.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.75	20.5	1.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.13	5.62
2.5	1.46	2.65
3.5	2.15	1.69
4.5	3.57	1.27
5.5	6.65	1.09
6.5	11.7	1.03
7.5	17.1	1.02
8.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.80
1.75	1.12	4.95
2	1.15	4.52
2.25	1.29	3.18
2.75	1.54	2.36
3	1.71	2.10
3.25	1.93	1.84
3.75	2.42	1.53
4	2.94	1.38
4.25	3.13	1.30
4.75	4.20	1.17
5	5.59	1.10
5.25	5.85	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.61	1.49
+0.75	2.29	1.60
+1	2.02	1.79
+1.25	1.78	2.00
+1.5	1.62	2.24
+1.75	1.46	2.58

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	11.1	1.03
-0.75	6.74	1.07
-0.5	5.90	1.13
-0.25	4.85	1.15
0	4.40	1.19
+0.25	3.19	1.33
+2	1.33	3.23
+2.25	1.26	3.60
+2.5	1.21	3.89
+2.75	1.15	4.80
+3	1.07	6.72
+3.5	1.05	7.41

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.29	3.35
2.5	1.75	2.00
3.5	2.65	1.44

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.8
5.5	1.05	8.00
6.5	1.11	5.31
7.5	1.24	3.51
8.5	1.47	2.49
9.5	1.80	1.91
10.5	2.30	1.55
11.5	3.12	1.31
12.5	4.36	1.17
13.5	6.13	1.09
14.5	8.12	1.04
15.5	11.8	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.34	2.78
8.75	1.47	2.39
9	1.55	2.34
9.25	1.66	2.09
9.75	1.84	1.82
10	1.97	1.82
10.25	2.09	1.61
10.75	2.38	1.46
11	2.50	1.48
11.25	2.78	1.34

Next Eredivisie matches

1 Nov	PEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag
1 Nov	Telstar – Utrecht
1 Nov	Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eredivisie results

31 Oct	Ajax 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
31 Oct	Cambuur 4-0 GO Ahead Eagles
31 Oct	Heerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
31 Oct	PSV Eindhoven 7-0 Willem II
31 Oct	Feyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard
25 Oct	AZ Alkmaar 0-2 Twente