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Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#141.8:3.01-2FT25/10 · Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam3.6:1.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.30BTNX5.42PIN21.481XBMargin at best1.9%Books9Markets95Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L54.9

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano6.405.301.472.5%
Dafabet6.205.201.463.9%
1xBet5.995.061.484.0%
Pinnacle6.355.451.434.0%
Bet3656.255.001.445.4%
BetVictor6.505.001.406.8%
Marathonbet5.804.901.437.6%
Betfair6.005.001.408.1%
William Hill5.504.801.4010.4%
Best of all books6.505.451.481.3%
Average6.115.081.435.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sparta RotterdamAjax
Last 10#14Table position#20.90Points per game2.185Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 53.63.0Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6732Defence rating6831Form rating6925H2H rating7512Goals model8828Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:11 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam

2W 4D 4L · goals 19:25 · per match 1.9 for, 2.5 against

28 OctHFortuna Sittard2-2D
25 OctHAjax1-2L
17 OctHWillem II3-2W
10 OctAGO Ahead Eagles3-3D
19 SepHHeerenveen0-4L
13 SepAPSV Eindhoven1-4L
4 SepHPEC Zwolle2-2D
29 AugAExcelsior1-2L
22 AugHUtrecht3-3D
14 AugATelstar3-1W

Ajax

6W 2D 2L · goals 28:13 · per match 2.8 for, 1.3 against

25 OctASparta Rotterdam2-1W
22 OctHAtalanta2-0W
18 OctAGroningen5-2W
15 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2L
10 OctHNEC Nijmegen1-1D
19 SepHExcelsior2-2D
15 SepHWillem II5-1W
12 SepAFortuna Sittard5-1W
5 SepHPSV Eindhoven1-3L
30 AugATelstar4-0W

Head to head

0Sparta Rotterdam wins
3draws
15Ajax wins

18 meetings · goals 15:47 · last 10: 0W 3D 7L for Sparta Rotterdam

14 Mar 2026EredivisieEredivisieAjax4-0Sparta Rotterdam
4 Oct 2025EredivisieEredivisieSparta Rotterdam3-3Ajax
27 Apr 2025EredivisieEredivisieAjax1-1Sparta Rotterdam
22 Dec 2024EredivisieEredivisieSparta Rotterdam0-2Ajax
17 Mar 2024EredivisieEredivisieSparta Rotterdam2-2Ajax
9 Dec 2023EredivisieEredivisieAjax2-1Sparta Rotterdam
19 Feb 2023EredivisieEredivisieAjax4-0Sparta Rotterdam
21 Aug 2022EredivisieEredivisieSparta Rotterdam0-1Ajax
9 Apr 2022EredivisieEredivisieAjax2-1Sparta Rotterdam
28 Nov 2021EredivisieEredivisieSparta Rotterdam0-1Ajax

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, Sparta Rotterdam sit 14th with 9 points from 10 games, while Ajax are 2nd with 24 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Feyenoord1174033:12+2125
2Ajax1173130:13+1724
3PSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223
4Twente1062219:10+920
5AZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720
6Fortuna Sittard1154218:18019
7Heerenveen1153319:13+618
8Groningen1043324:21+315
9GO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014
10Cambuur1033419:22-312
11Utrecht1033417:27-1012
12Excelsior1032516:19-311
13NEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211
14Sparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79
15PEC Zwolle1022611:23-128
16Telstar1013612:21-96
17ADO Den Haag1013613:23-106
18Willem II1102910:39-292

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%6.01X19%5.08266%1.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 15:401 6.01X 5.082 1.44
14.89 → 6.01 +22.9%X4.61 → 5.08 +10.2%21.55 → 1.44 -7.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.353.353.9%
Bet3651.333.404.6%
Betano1.373.154.7%
Betfair1.333.256.0%
1xBet1.353.086.5%
BetVictor1.333.137.1%
Marathonbet1.302.9710.6%
Best of all books1.373.402.4%
Average1.343.196.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.502.477.2%
1xBet1.462.538.0%
Marathonbet1.462.498.7%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.502.634.7%
Average1.472.527.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sparta Rotterdam 0%Draw 50%Ajax 50%

The statistical model rated Sparta Rotterdam at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Ajax at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.01 | 5.08 | 1.44, which imply roughly 19.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: Sparta Rotterdam are 14th (9 pts, 17-24 goals), Ajax 2nd (24 pts, 30-13).

Over their last five matches, Sparta Rotterdam averaged 1.8 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Ajax averaged 3.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Ajax and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam

5-4-1

Coach: R. Meijer

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Brouwer

Defence

  • 2L. Martes
  • 3M. Young
  • 6N. Verschuren
  • 4B. Martins Indi
  • 5B. Kuipers

Midfield

  • 7Robin van Cruijsen
  • 10Cedric Hatenboer
  • 8J. Toornstra
  • 11I. Babadi

Attack

  • 9M. Zonneveld
Substitutes (11)
  • 15G. Vianello
  • 17M. van Bergen
  • 21C. Terho
  • 18A. Roaldsøy
  • 12B. Reith
  • 14Teo Quintero
  • 30P. Kuiper
  • 19Andrej Kostić
  • 22Joel Ideho
  • 20F. Bednarek
  • 16J. Baas

Ajax

4-3-3

Coach: Míchel

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. ter Stegen

Defence

  • 2Lucas Rosa
  • 6T. Kehrer
  • 36D. Janse
  • 15Y. Baas

Midfield

  • 8J. Brandt
  • 4S. Amrabat
  • 24J. Mokio

Attack

  • 11V. Tsygankov
  • 99T. Arokodare
  • 68A. Ouazane
Substitutes (12)
  • 17D. Blind
  • 28Y. Bissouma
  • 43Rayane Bounida
  • 30A. Bouwman
  • 10O. Gloukh
  • 22J. Heerkens
  • 18D. Klaassen
  • 26M. Paes
  • 38Marcos Leonardo
  • 21Jofre Torrents
  • 5O. Wijndal
  • 67Mohamed Abdalla

Match Statistics

Sparta RotterdamAjax
0.93Expected Goals1.43
326Passes accurate538
10Shots insidebox14
1Shots outsidebox2
4Blocked Shots4
7Free Kicks14
5Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves3
2Shots off Goal8
3Offsides1
403Total passes619
11Total Shots16
1Yellow Cards2
5Corner Kicks3
15Fouls7
0Red Cards0
41%Ball Possession59%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
6.115.081.43

Double chance

1XX212
2.721.131.15

Draw no bet

12
4.661.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.472.52

1st half

1X2
5.322.791.85

2nd half

1X2
4.983.171.69

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 19.9416.416.9
HT X14.08.544.56
HT 239.015.52.01

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.7627.51.41

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.4
1.51.097.01
2.51.343.19
3.51.871.90
4.52.891.39
5.55.101.15
6.58.961.06
7.514.71.02
8.520.91.01
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.80
1.751.085.95
21.105.54
2.251.213.83
2.751.372.79
31.492.54
3.251.672.13
3.752.051.74
42.371.56
4.252.541.45
4.753.251.28
54.121.19
5.254.341.15
67.481.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.752.491.50
+12.231.63
+1.251.911.86
+1.51.732.09
+1.751.562.36
+21.422.83
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.511.11.03
-19.231.03
-0.756.271.09
-0.56.001.12
-0.255.061.13
04.651.16
+0.253.411.29
+0.52.871.43
+2.251.343.12
+2.51.293.31
+2.751.204.03
+31.125.40
+3.251.105.67
+3.51.095.88
+41.029.80

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.273.50
2.51.702.07
3.52.551.47

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.029.83
6.51.086.17
7.51.164.29
8.51.342.92
9.51.602.18
10.52.001.74
11.52.511.45
12.53.371.25
13.54.641.14
14.56.071.07
15.58.671.03
16.510.01.03
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.094.60
81.203.27
8.751.372.66
91.442.51
9.251.502.28
9.751.681.99
101.851.92
10.251.891.77
10.752.141.58
112.301.53
11.252.481.43
11.752.831.33
122.681.38
12.252.701.36
133.821.14
144.951.07
155.291.06

Next Eredivisie matches

1 NovPEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag
1 NovTelstar – Utrecht
1 NovExcelsior – Twente
1 NovGroningen – Sparta Rotterdam

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eredivisie results

31 OctAjax 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
31 OctCambuur 4-0 GO Ahead Eagles
31 OctHeerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
31 OctPSV Eindhoven 7-0 Willem II
31 OctFeyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard
25 OctAZ Alkmaar 0-2 Twente