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Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#72.2:0.81-0FT31/10 · Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen1.2:1.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.10PINX4.181XB23.25B365Margin at best2.3%Books10Markets86Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 13:04 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.133.903.283.1%
1xBet2.094.183.084.2%
Dafabet2.144.003.054.5%
Betano2.074.003.155.1%
Bet3652.103.903.105.5%
BetVictor2.054.003.007.1%
Betfair2.103.803.007.3%
Marathonbet2.034.052.997.4%
William Hill2.003.753.0010.0%
SBO2.023.482.7314.9%
Best of all books2.144.183.281.1%
Average2.073.913.046.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
Last 10#7Table position#131.64Points per game1.0012Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.865Attack rating3569Defence rating3171Form rating2950H2H rating5055Goals model4558Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 23:20 UTC

Heerenveen

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

28 OctAExcelsior Maassluis2-0W
24 OctAADO Den Haag3-2W
16 OctHExcelsior4-0W
9 OctAPSV Eindhoven0-2L
19 SepASparta Rotterdam4-0W
13 SepHTelstar0-0D
6 SepHAZ Alkmaar2-3L
30 AugAWillem II2-2D
22 AugHPEC Zwolle0-2L
16 AugAAjax2-2D

NEC Nijmegen

1W 6D 3L · goals 14:22 · per match 1.4 for, 2.2 against

25 OctHGroningen2-2D
22 OctADinamo Zagreb4-2W
18 OctHFortuna Sittard2-2D
15 OctHLevski Sofia1-1D
10 OctAAjax1-1D
20 SepHGO Ahead Eagles1-1D
17 SepAJuventus0-5L
12 SepACambuur0-3L
8 SepHExcelsior2-2D
5 SepHFeyenoord1-3L

Head to head

5Heerenveen wins
9draws
8NEC Nijmegen wins

22 meetings · goals 27:34 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Heerenveen

22 Mar 2026EredivisieEredivisieNEC Nijmegen2-2Heerenveen
21 Sep 2025EredivisieEredivisieHeerenveen3-2NEC Nijmegen
27 Apr 2025EredivisieEredivisieHeerenveen1-0NEC Nijmegen
19 Oct 2024EredivisieEredivisieNEC Nijmegen3-0Heerenveen
10 Mar 2024EredivisieEredivisieNEC Nijmegen2-0Heerenveen
7 Oct 2023EredivisieEredivisieHeerenveen1-1NEC Nijmegen
6 May 2023EredivisieEredivisieNEC Nijmegen2-3Heerenveen
4 Sep 2022EredivisieEredivisieHeerenveen0-0NEC Nijmegen
13 Feb 2022EredivisieEredivisieHeerenveen0-1NEC Nijmegen
6 Nov 2021EredivisieEredivisieNEC Nijmegen1-1Heerenveen

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, Heerenveen sit 7th with 18 points from 11 games, while NEC Nijmegen are 13th with 11 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Feyenoord1174033:12+2125
2Ajax1173130:13+1724
3PSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223
4Twente1062219:10+920
5AZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720
6Fortuna Sittard1154218:18019
7Heerenveen1153319:13+618
8Groningen1043324:21+315
9GO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014
10Cambuur1033419:22-312
11Utrecht1033417:27-1012
12Excelsior1032516:19-311
13NEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211
14Sparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79
15PEC Zwolle1022611:23-128
16Telstar1013612:21-96
17ADO Den Haag1013613:23-106
18Willem II1102910:39-292

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.07X24%3.91231%3.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Oct 00:0131 Oct 06:501 2.05X 3.932 3.07
12.07 → 2.05 -1.0%X3.93 → 3.93 0.0%23.01 → 3.07 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.432.934.1%
Bet3651.333.404.6%
Betano1.393.005.3%
Betfair1.363.105.8%
1xBet1.372.986.5%
BetVictor1.333.107.4%
Marathonbet1.322.8810.5%
Best of all books1.433.40-0.7%
Average1.363.066.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.363.105.8%
Bet3651.333.256.0%
Betano1.363.006.9%
1xBet1.333.048.1%
William Hill1.362.888.3%
Marathonbet1.332.988.7%
BetVictor1.303.109.2%
Best of all books1.363.254.3%
Average1.343.057.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Heerenveen 45%Draw 45%NEC Nijmegen 10%

The statistical model rated Heerenveen at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and NEC Nijmegen at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.07 | 3.91 | 3.04, which imply roughly 48.3% for a Heerenveen win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: Heerenveen are 7th (18 pts, 19-13 goals), NEC Nijmegen 13th (11 pts, 17-19).

Over their last five matches, Heerenveen averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; NEC Nijmegen averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Heerenveen or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Veldeman

Goalkeeper

  • 1B. Klaverboer

Defence

  • 45O. Braude
  • 4S. Kersten
  • 3M. Willemsen
  • 19V. Zagaritis

Midfield

  • 16M. Linday
  • 8N. Courtens
  • 20J. Trenskow
  • 14L. Smans
  • 7M. Rivera

Attack

  • 9D. Vente
Substitutes (12)
  • 28H. Petrov
  • 6D. Proper
  • 17R. Uldriķis
  • 44A. Noppert
  • 11L. Oyen
  • 23D. Bladi
  • 15M. Egbring
  • 21M. Farji
  • 2M. Hilgers
  • 29L. Machine
  • 10R. Meerveld
  • 30T. Schreuder

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-2-1

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Goalkeeper

  • 1G. Crettaz

Defence

  • 4P. Schuurs
  • 22A. Kaplan
  • 24Deveron Fonville

Midfield

  • 21T. Storm
  • 6D. Nejašmić
  • 35Jamiro Monteiro
  • 99Clement Bischoff
  • 9T. Chery
  • 20N. Lebreton

Attack

  • 30B. Linssen
Substitutes (11)
  • 73Gabriel Brás
  • 36Freek Entius
  • 8I. Hansen-Aarøen
  • 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
  • 34Kevin Kers
  • 42Y. Moslih
  • 12N. Polster
  • 14K. Sierhuis
  • 19Adam Tahaui
  • 77A. Thomas
  • 11W. Willumsson

Match Statistics

HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
1.46Expected Goals1.33
266Passes accurate471
7Shots insidebox15
1Shots outsidebox6
3Blocked Shots4
7Free Kicks6
2Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
3Shots off Goal15
343Total passes547
8Total Shots21
3Yellow Cards3
5Corner Kicks7
0Offsides1
7Fouls7
0Red Cards0
38%Ball Possession62%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.073.913.04

Double chance

1XX212
1.351.751.22

Draw no bet

12
1.562.31

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.343.05

1st half

1X2
2.472.563.35

2nd half

1X2
2.282.903.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.1113.022.7
HT X5.857.307.79
HT 218.513.34.77

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7227.02.07

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.2
1.51.096.72
2.51.363.06
3.51.921.85
4.53.081.35
5.55.481.14
6.59.571.05
7.514.81.02
8.522.8–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.80
1.751.085.85
21.115.38
2.251.233.63
2.751.452.65
31.552.38
3.251.742.06
3.752.161.65
42.481.51
4.252.711.40
4.753.521.23
54.581.15
5.254.841.13
68.701.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.851.41
-0.752.331.58
-0.52.041.78
-0.251.811.97
01.582.33
+0.251.442.67
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.81.02
-39.801.02
-2.56.451.08
-2.256.201.09
-25.811.10
-1.754.221.19
-1.53.411.28
-1.253.131.35
+0.51.383.10
+0.751.263.62
+11.154.80
+1.251.135.18
+1.51.125.70
+2.51.0310.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.273.50
2.51.702.07
3.52.551.47

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.029.50
6.51.085.92
7.51.174.13
8.51.342.88
9.51.612.17
10.52.021.72
11.52.581.43
12.53.491.23
13.54.781.13
14.56.521.07
15.59.381.03
16.510.81.03
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.084.72
81.193.37
8.751.352.74
91.422.58
9.251.482.33
9.751.642.04
101.801.98
10.251.841.80
10.752.101.62
112.241.56
11.252.401.46
11.752.781.34
122.801.28
133.701.15
144.821.08

Next Eredivisie matches

1 NovPEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag
1 NovTelstar – Utrecht
1 NovExcelsior – Twente
1 NovGroningen – Sparta Rotterdam

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eredivisie results

31 OctAjax 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
31 OctCambuur 4-0 GO Ahead Eagles
31 OctPSV Eindhoven 7-0 Willem II
31 OctFeyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard
25 OctAZ Alkmaar 0-2 Twente
25 OctSparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax